Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

2020 NBA Re-Draft: Anthony Edwards or LaMelo Ball at No. 1?

Dan Favale

There's no better time for a 2020 NBA re-draft than with the 2022 Rising Stars Game right around the corner.

Some people aren't fans of these revisionist shindigs. They tend to be more about ranking the best players from the respective class than an actual re-draft that takes into account the needs of the teams back on the clock.

And in the interest of honesty, that's exactly what we're doing here.

But re-drafts are more of a thought-provoking exercise when they're taking aim at a class not yet two years into its NBA tenure. Everything that's happened on the court to date shapes who gets selected where. With such a finite sample, though, there's more room to account for trajectories—to indulge the conceptual over the practical.

And in the interest of continued honesty, that's also what we're doing here. Players will be selected based upon who we'd most want for the rest of their career, which won't always perfectly align with what's happened so far. And that's OK!

Now, to the 2020 draft board...again!

End of First Round (21-30)

Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press

30. Memphis Grizzlies (via Boston): Precious Achiuwa

Actual Pick: Desmond Bane

Achiuwa's career to date is populated largely by lowlights and glimpses into the theoretical. You're free to take a swing on Aaron Nesmith, Killian Tillie, Freddie Gillespie, Paul Reed, Saben Lee, Udoka Azubuike, Jalen Smith, Trent Forrest or someone else in this spot. But Achiuwa can make plays around the rim on defense and has explored adding the three-ball to his arsenal. This is a flier on the abstraction of what he might, technically, one day be able to provide.

          

29. Toronto Raptors: Malachi Flynn

Actual Pick: Malachi Flynn

The actual Raptors probably wouldn't take Flynn again if given a do-over. His role has diminished as a sophomore, even amid a rotation that desperately needs to rest its key players, and he doesn't offer much game management from the 1 spot. Still, give me the dude who will work his behind off defending on-ball and party-crashing passing lanes.

            

28. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Lakers): Josh Green

Actual Pick: Jaden McDaniels

More consistent playing time looks pretty good on Green, and it has vaulted him back into the first round of our redo. Since joining the Dallas Mavericks' rotation just after Christmas, he is converting more than 69 percent of his looks at the rim and hovering around league average on twos in the paint but outside the restricted area. His outside shot needs work, but he's shown promise from the strong-side corner, in addition to flashing functional explosion at both ends.

               

27. Utah Jazz: Xavier Tillman Sr.

Actual Pick: Udoka Azubuike

A deeper, healthier Grizzlies frontcourt has shoehorned Tillman into a smaller role, but he remains super high energy around the basket and knows how to handle himself when guarding in space. His offensive game is complementary, his range finite. He has, however, demonstrated a nice blend of brute force and touch outside the restricted area.

            

26. Boston Celtics: Killian Hayes

Actual Pick: Payton Pritchard

Some may not have Killian Hayes, the No. 7 pick in 2020, on the re-draft board at all. I can't go that far. There is a real composure to his game when he has room to maneuver around screens—kick-outs and entry passes that imply a higher-level feel. Hayes has already forged some impromptu chemistry with Marvin Bagley III, and if he can ever develop a reliable standstill three or in-between touch, his first year-plus in the league will quickly become a distant memory.

              

25. New York Knicks (via Oklahoma City): R.J. Hampton

Actual Pick: Immanuel Quickley

Those of us who predicted an R.J. Hampton breakout in Orlando will never give up. His scoring needs work. He is inconstant at the basket and when pulling up, but he was draining 36.4 percent of his triples before suffering a sprained left MCL and can bust out changes in tempo when given room to maneuver. And while he isn't what you'd call a lockdown defender, he battles through screens and will exploit players with loosey-goosey handles.

            

24. Denver Nuggets (via Milwaukee): Kira Lewis Jr.

Actual Pick: R.J. Hampton

Suffering a torn ACL and sprained MCL in his right knee on the heels of an unimpressive rookie season is hardly the ideal start for Lewis' NBA career. His stock has plummeted accordingly. But his potential utility as a human blur on the ball endures, even if his ACL injury is a longer-term concern. Lewis also began the season showing improved finishing, quicker decision-making off the catch and more complicated footwork on the ball. He continues to be worth a first-round flier despite not yet living up to his lottery-pick status (No. 13).

              

23. Minnesota Timberwolves (via New York): Payton Pritchard

Actual Pick: Leandro Bolmaro

The aesthetics of Pritchard's skill set continue to outstrip his efficiency. There is an under-control flair to how he handles the ball; he is getting better at maintaining his dribble and has kick-outs to trailing shooters down to a science. His own shot selection could stand to diversify. He stalls out before the rim, and taking more than 60 percent of your looks from beyond the arc holds only so much value when you're not an entrenched off-the-dribble sniper or threat from other levels. He has hinted at an in-between jumper fleetingly, but on any given night he remains on the fringes of Boston's rotation.

     

22. Denver Nuggets: Jordan Nwora

Actual Pick: Zeke Nnaji

Nwora is the quintessential blessing-and-curse package. His shot creation and general aplomb can prop up lineups thin on the former, but he looks out of place as a smaller cog in more talented lineups. Off-the-bounce confidence is an asset on its own, though. And Nwora is splashing in 36.7 percent of his pull-up treys while having bumped up his efficiency around the basket. The apex of his highs are worth the turbulence of his lows.

            

21. Philadelphia 76ers: Tre Jones

Actual Pick: Tyrese Maxey

Tre Jones has quietly looked the part of an NBA player in measured doses this season. His command in the half court isn't overwhelming, but it exists. He knows how to throw a quality bounce pass and feed players coming around screens. His long-range volume and accuracy leave much to be desired, but he puts genuine pressure on the rim and has downed 51 percent of his pull-up two-point jumpers (25-of-49) as a sophomore.

20-16: Martin Jr., Nnaji, Wiseman, Toppin, Pokusevski

Jeff Chiu/Associated Press

20. Miami Heat: Kenyon Martin Jr.

Actual Pick: Precious Achiuwa

Martin is an expert at playing off others. He doesn't infringe upon the runway of his ball-handlers and is forever slithering through cracks in the defense for efficient and powerful finishes at the basket. His set three-point shot needs to fall at a higher clip, but the defensive intensity he provides across nearly every position—and especially at the 2, 3 and 4—more than offsets work-in-progress range.

             

19. Detroit Pistons (via Brooklyn): Zeke Nnaji

Actual Pick: Saddiq Bey

Zeke Nnaji doesn't have the size nor play with the physicality necessary to be deployed as a full-time 5. That's quite alright. His offense as a combo big is nothing short of standout. He is shooting 45.2 percent from deep for his career, including a mind-melting 50.0 percent from the corners, and his floor navigation away from the ball fits like a glove beside Nikola Jokic while optimizing threat levels on out-of-bounds plays. This year, specifically, he has also emerged as an opportunistic putback machine.

          

18. Dallas Mavericks: James Wiseman

Actual Pick: Josh Green

Where in the actual hell are we supposed to put Wiseman? He has played in fewer than 50 games since leaving high school—and none this season as he recovers from a torn meniscus in his right knee. The very idea of him on offense is enough to push late-lottery boundaries. Screen-and-dive-savvy bigs who may have above-average range and might wield more ball skills than their peers are plug-and-play dreams. Sticking him in front of higher-sample kiddies with narrower ranges of outcomes is fine. Slotting him higher than players verging on proven contributors or comparably high-upside talents is a tall ask.

             

17. Minnesota Timberwolves: Obi Toppin

Actual Pick: Alexsej Pokusevski

New York Knicks fans will inevitably claim this is too low. Toppin infuses every lineup in which he plays with frenetic pace and is an all-purpose finisher around the basket. His stream-of-conscious floor game is worth further exploration, too. But his three-ball hasn't fallen consistently enough, and it isn't yet clear whether he's incapable of sponging up real center reps or head coach Tom Thibodeau is just a stubborn-ass buzzkill.

           

16. Detroit Pistons (via Portland): Aleksej Pokusevski

Actual Pick: Isaiah Stewart

So much of Pokusevski's mystique is rooted in spurts—dribs and drabs of excellence peppered in between completely disastrous or irrelevant stretches. I'm inclined to bet on the glimpses. There are multiple levels of "Holy crap!" to what he can do. He might actually be enjoying the best stretch of his career right now. Since rejoining Oklahoma City's rotation five games ago, he's averaging 10.8 points, 1.0 steals and 1.2 blocks while nailing more than 42.0 percent of his threes. He has never more effectively toggled between on- and off-ball duty while using his size and length to bust up opponent possessions from a variety of angles. No one should be entirely sold. We should all be cautiously optimistic.

15-11: Okongwu, Okoro, McDaniels, Bey, Stewart

Ron Jenkins/Getty Images

15. Orlando Magic: Onyeka Okongwu

Actual Pick: Cole Anthony

Injuries and limited playing time make it tough to place Okongwu. He could be lower. But the flickers of a more advanced skill set warrant a dice roll. His defensive portability is as advertised—positionless in practice. His offense is more refined than expected. He is sneaky-good at establishing position when paths to the basket aren't unimpeded and looks comfortable putting the ball on the floor if he needs to gather himself around the hoop, and his floater-flip-shot-thingamabob is no joke. Within a draft class light on allure beyond role-player magnetism, Okongwu's peeks into positional stardom remain worth lottery consideration.

              

14. Boston Celtics: Isaac Okoro

Actual Pick: Aaron Nesmith

Okoro needs to drop in more of his threes to be any sort of offensive force, and there will be those who bemoan how many bigger wings he shouldn't be guarding. But his defense, overall, is legit—and scales to the point of attack. Among everyone who has logged at least 1,000 minutes this season, Lu Dort and Matisse Thybulle are the only players who have faced tougher assignments in the aggregate, according to BBall Index's matchup difficulty.

      

13. New Orleans Pelicans: Jaden McDaniels

Actual Pick: Kira Lewis Jr.

McDaniels juuust edges out Okoro. He isn't equipped to handle the same high-end defensive assignments, but his size and speed translate to roughly four positions. His shooting, while down this season, is less of a hypothetical. Both McDaniels and Okoro know how to finesse their way through open spaces away from primary actions, and there is probably more directionality to the latter's on-ball attacks. But McDaniels' quicker decision-making off the catch is more complementary—an important distinction given the roles they play.

                   

12. Sacramento Kings: Saddiq Bey

Actual Pick: Tyrese Haliburton

Bey's stock is often oversimplified down to that of a three-and-D contributor with underperforming shooting splits. That's not accurate. The Pistons need his long ball to hit more often than 34.0 percent of the time, and he's not a dependable option around the basket. For both better and worse, though, there are more ball skills and vision to his offense. He can shimmy between defending 2s, 3s and 4s and then work off the dribble, from a standstill, at the other end. It's seldom efficient, but there is value in self-discovery, and it's not hard to envision his on-ball ventures yielding more amid better spacing.

                 

11. San Antonio Spurs: Isaiah Stewart

Actual Pick: Devin Vassell

Stewart's offense isn't yet defined. Can he do more in the post? Or as a rim runner? Or as a pick-and-popper? Can Detroit test out his three-pointer more often? Should they? Can he make better decisions after grabbing offensive boards? Waiting for his offense to take a steadier, more discernible form would be a nuisance if he wasn't so high-octane on defense. The dude flat-out hustles. He's quick enough to step out and recover, and rival teams are once again reaching the rim much less often when he's on the court. Energy ad infinitum is worth a lottery flier in this class.

10-6: Quickley, Anthony, Avdija, Williams, Vassell

Eric Gay/Associated Press

10. Phoenix Suns: Immanuel Quickley

Actual Pick: Jalen Smith

Quickley deserves more agency in New York—a longer rope with which to make mistakes and plumb the depths of his ability to direct an offense. The expectation shouldn't be "Point Guard of the Future," but his comfort level uncorking off-the-dribble and ultra-deep threes and quick-twitch floaters keeps defenses on tilt even when said shots aren't falling. And make no mistake: This year, they haven't been falling. But functionality can trounce exact returns so early into a career. Quickley no doubt has a certain it quality about him on offense.

          

9. Washington Wizards: Cole Anthony

Actual Pick: Deni Avdija

From-scratch shot creation reigns supreme, and though Anthony has cooled off from his early-season heater, he is saddled with an impossibly difficult workload in Orlando. His array of moves in the lane can freeze defenses, he has varied up his passes on the move and he's still good for one to six highlight threes per game. Anthony's efficiency needs to sniff the league average in time. But he's nudged up his true shooting percentage and free-throw-attempt rate on higher usage, and when so few players in this class look equipped to regularly top the 20-points-per-game threshold, any progress within Anthony's role, at all, is unassailable currency.

              

8. New York Knicks: Deni Avdija

Actual Pick: Obi Toppin

Avdija's scoring arsenal is unfinished—and that's terrifying. He has already shown he can lead fast breaks, devastate with standstill passes and just generally keep the ball moving without ever having a true offensive license. He is also hitting 55.0-plus percent of his twos, including 50.6 percent on drives, which have featured a blend of moderate speed and defenders-bouncing-off-his-body physicality. Also, also: He's upped the ante as both an on-ball and team defender, all while guarding up and down the positional spectrum. Comprehensive skill sets can leapfrog louder production. Avdija has the look and feel of someone who can make a ruckus by virtue of his well-roundedness.

          

7. Detroit Pistons: Patrick Williams

Actual Pick: Killian Hayes

Williams will go a touch higher for many, perhaps even earning lateral placement at the No. 4 spot where he was originally drafted. But his trajectory as a top-shelf wing defender who sprays threes at the other end is still very much an idea. He has buoyed a 39.6 percent career clip from distance on just 144 attempts, and the praise he garnered for his defensive performance last season was just as much about the scope of his assignments as the job he did. Even if you're drunk with optimism—which, justifiably so!—he needs to make strides post-left-wrist injury before rocketing up the re-draft board.

             

6. Atlanta Hawks: Devin Vassell

Actual Pick: Onyeka Okongwu

Please do not pigeonhole Vassell into a specialist's trajectory. His offense has spanned more than just looks teed up for him by those around him. More than one-quarter of his attempts have come as pull-up jumpers inside the arc, and he's burying them at a 45.5 percent clip. He has yet to clear 35.0 percent shooting from downtown since entering the league, but he's hitting enough of his spot-up triples (36.4 percent) and finishing well enough in transition to alleviate this absence of a 40.0 percent success rate on treys. No, Vassell is not someone who profiles as a pick-and-roll engineer or off-balance, high-volume, unassisted jump-shooter. But his offensive bag is absolutely deeper than that of a niche scorer.

5. Cleveland Cavaliers: Desmond Bane

Ned Dishman/Getty Images

Actual Pick: Isaac Okoro

Desmond Bane has transitioned from "How did he fall to No. 30?" to "Surefire lottery pick" to "Should-be-a-consensus top-five re-draft pick" at a blistering pace.

Outperforming expectations last year apparently wasn't enough. The bar was raised, and he has not just cleared it but soared miles above it.

Even those who watched him go kaboom at the Las Vegas Summer League couldn't have predicted this stark of a functional expansion. Bane has gone from taking around 25.0 percent of his shots as pull-up jumpers last year to 40.0 percent this season—and leveled up his efficiency on these looks in the process. His drives per 36 minutes are up from 2020-21, and the Memphis Grizzlies have him running appreciably more pick-and-rolls, as well.

Noticeable improvement may be par for the course in Year 2, but Bane's development is atypically dramatic even by those standards. What initially looked like a highly efficient accessory shooter who could play a bunch of minutes without hurting the defense has since turned into a cornerstone wing—and a relatively easy top-five inclusion.

4. Chicago Bulls: Tyrese Maxey

Jesse D. Garrabrant/Getty Images

Actual Pick: Patrick Williams

Ben Simmons' absence thrust Tyrese Maxey into an outsized role that, as it turns out, is actually an adequately manageable role for which he's capably, perhaps ideally, suited.

The Philadelphia 76ers have wanted for every-level scoring since the (brief) days of Jimmy Butler. Maxey is the best option they've had—and is, in some ways, more of an every-level threat given his volume and efficiency (39.5 percent) from downtown. There are higher-end options from the point of attack, but the importance of a 21-year-old sophomore stroking it at an above-average clip from downtown and mid-range and at the rim cannot be overstated.

Though Maxey's total offensive load percentage has decreased from last year, per BBall Index, we are in no way witnessing a simplification of role. Going from the bench to the starting point guard, he defers more to Joel Embiid, because obviously. But he has more agency over the offense, both the team's and his own. He is assisting on a larger share of the Sixers' buckets when on the court and is more at home firing off self-generated jumpers, and the wide-angled layups he uses to finish around size and length are religion.

Slotting Maxey at No. 4 feels right. For now. There's a chance he works his way into the No. 3 conversation if he continues fighting his butt off on defense and develops into more of a playmaking hub.

3. Charlotte Hornets: Tyrese Haliburton

Dylan Buell/Getty Images

Actual Pick: LaMelo Ball

Any outrage over Sacramento's decision to send Tyrese Haliburton to the Indiana Pacers had less to do with the value of Domantas Sabonis and more to do with the Kings' evaluation of the former. Moving him now, in Year 2, put a cap on his development, even if subconsciously. There was, and still is, no reason to do that.

Haliburton probably isn't Chris Paul 2.0. So-the-bleep what? There is a galaxy's worth of stardom outcomes spanning the distance between CP3 and role player, and Haliburton has the chops to fit comfortably inside it, if not on its higher end.

Harping on his inconsistent offensive aggression is fair. It also isn't. He is 21 years old. This is his second season. His bandwidth for running an offense as the primary maestro is just as important as measuring his Takeover Gene.

And at the risk of being reductive, there's adequate evidence that Haliburton has some scoring alpha in him. He can disarm defenders with blow-bys when going downhill and has no problem dribbling into his own jumpers.

Among 111 players who have attempted at least 50 pull-up threes, only Mike Conley is converting his at a higher clip (43.1 percent) than Haliburton (42.7 percent). That doesn't happen by accident.

2. Golden State Warriors: Anthony Edwards

Dylan Buell/Getty Images

Actual Pick: James Wiseman

Anthony Edwards has noticeably improved his year-over-year efficiency, no small feat considering the sheer volume incumbent of his role. He is one of just 22 players to notch a usage rate of 27.0 or higher in each of the past two seasons.

Much like his draft-board rival, Edwards' off-the-bounce jumper figures to be a swing skill. He has enjoyed stretches of red-hot accuracy on these looks but is still posting a sub-44.0 effective field-goal percentage on pull-up jumpers. He mitigates this fringe averageness with a more comfortable spot-up touch (41.5 percent on standstill threes) and zero-to-100 downhill attacks that include more shifts in direction and require no runway to generate.

Defenses now overreact from the moment he catches the ball, a testament to his rim pressure and the threat he poses from beyond the arc. His passes no longer feel like last resorts nor matters of convenience but quicker decisions borne from forethought, sometimes before he even takes possession.

The defensive uptick Edwards delivered to close last season appears to have stuck. He shouldn't be so easy to screen when on-ball, but he's smart and fast enough to rejoin plays, and he can erode possessions away from the action, both around the rim and in passing lanes.

Putting Edwards in the No. 2 spot is far from a settled matter. The debate at the top should rage on for years, if not for entire careers. And Edwards' almost immediate emergence as potent stability rather than polarizing volatility is a big reason why.

1. Minnesota Timberwolves: LaMelo Ball

Nic Antaya/Getty Images

Actual Pick: Anthony Edwards

LaMelo Ball's claim to No. 1 on the re-draft board is not beyond argument. Anthony Edwards is the deadlier scorer, with an amalgam of strength and explosion that gives him more ammo at the rim and on defense.

And yet, LaMelo's control over the game verges on unparalleled, not just relative to his draft class but the entire league. Defenses are drawn to him when he's on the ball, their eyes laser-focused on a playmaking force they can't forecast, whose unpredictability manifests in ways beyond imagination.

There is neither a pass he won't try nor a connection he can't make. LaMelo is revered through retweets and adjectives on hydraulics, but the flair with which he operates is more substance than theater. For every no-look, or impossibly threaded, or brazenly confident dime he throws, there are countless more dump-offs and hit-aheads and kick-outs and perfectly placed lobs and touch passes that uplift the offense. He alone can give the ball energy—and his teammates a reason to move.

Oh, and for someone not necessarily known as a scorer, LaMelo sure can friggin' score. His efficiency is nearly static compared to last season but ever so slightly higher overall. That's huge for someone so intimately responsible for the inner workings of the offense, from distributing touches and creating shots to his own raw usage.

He is still a coin-toss finisher around the basket, but defenses fear and try to plan around his floater. There is space for his off-the-dribble triple to improve, but his 41.5 percent clip on catch-and-fire threes not only constitutes range but lends itself a certain scalability; no team with LaMelo has to worry about retrofitting the personnel to complement him when the way he plays is so universally complementary.

         

Unless otherwise noted, stats courtesy of NBA.comBasketball ReferenceStathead or Cleaning the Glass and accurate entering Wednesday's games. Salary information via Spotrac.

Dan Favale covers the NBA for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter (@danfavale), and listen to his Hardwood Knocks podcast, co-hosted by NBA Math's Adam Fromal.

   

Read 202 Comments

Download the app for comments Get the B/R app to join the conversation

Install the App
×
Bleacher Report
(120K+)