Don Wright/Associated Press

NFL Playoff Picks 2018: Odds and Over/Under Predictions for Postseason Games

Chris Roling

On paper, the second round of the 2018 NFL playoffs shouldn't hold as many surprises as the first.

Like when the Kansas City Chiefs inexplicably coughed up a home lead to lose yet another playoff game in front of a friendly crowd. Or the Los Angeles Rams looking like the most dominant team in football before laying a gigantic egg in the playoffs. Heck, the Jacksonville Jaguars actually winning a playoff game could fit the theme here as well. 

But with the dominant teams entering the fray after a week of rest, the second round doesn't look like it will hold as many surprises. The schedule should still feature some of the best football games of the year, but even oddsmakers out of Las Vegas seem to paint the slate in a predictable light. 

Below, let's look at every bit of information surrounding the games and nail down predictions for each. 

          

Divisional-Round Weekend

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles

Date and Time: Saturday, January 13, at 4:35 p.m. ET 

TV: NBC

Odds: Atlanta (-3), O/U 41

Prediction: Falcons 27, Eagles 24

       

Game: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots

Date and Time: Saturday, January 13, at 8:15 p.m. ET

TV: CBS

Odds: New England (-14) O/U 47

Prediction: Patriots 30, Titans 17

       

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers

Date and Time: Sunday, January 14, at 1:05 p.m. ET

TV: CBS

Odds: Pittsburgh (-7.5) O/U 41

Prediction: Steelers 24, Jaguars 20

       

Game: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings

Date and Time: Sunday, January 14, at 4:40 p.m. ET

TV: Fox

Odds: Minnesota (-4) O/U 45.5

Prediction: Vikings 23, Saints 21

       

Easiest Call: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots

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This has been a fun run by the Tennessee Titans. But Marcus Mariota's team is a two-touchdown 'dog in this one for a reason. 

The team closed the season with a 1-3 record. Going to Kansas City and stealing an upset sounds great, yet one could argue the unexpected result was more a typical Chiefs collapse than anything else. Derrick Henry looked good with 156 yards and a score, but a run-first approach won't always work. 

Hence the problem with this matchup from a Tennessee perspective: Tom Brady and the New England Patriots shouldn't have too many problems jumping out to an early lead. 

Other than simple matchup logistics (who on the Titans can match up with Rob Gronkowski?), this matchup has some history riding on it, as NFL Research noted: 

The Patriots won three of their last four games to close the season and would have won every game dating back to Week 4 if not for an odd hiccup against the Miami Dolphins during a Week 14 Monday night game. 

Brady has played well enough (66.3 completion percentage, 4,577 yards, 32 touchdowns and eight interceptions) that the team felt comfortable enough to trade away the guy behind him on the depth chart. New England shouldn't have any problems against a Tennessee team ranked 25th against the pass via coughing up 239.3 yards per game through the air. 

As much as it might be fun to see an upset here as Mariota grows into his own, he had a miserable season with 13 touchdowns and 15 interceptions and his team simply isn't bringing enough firepower to Gillette Stadium to properly counteract the numbers Brady's offense can put on the board in a hurry. 

Brady is the type of player capable of making the biggest line feel like the easiest, which is the case here. 

Prediction: Patriots 30, Titans 17

     

Biggest Upset Potential: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers

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On paper, those surprising Jaguars have what it takes to upend the Pittsburgh Steelers. 

The Jaguars are simply dominant defensively, something they stressed in the first round of the playoffs during a 10-3 win over the Buffalo Bills. They held two Buffalo quarterbacks to 133 yards passing with two interceptions and limited LeSean McCoy to 3.9 yards per carry. 

Stretched out across the entire season, the Jaguars boast 55 sacks, 21 interceptions and 17 forced fumbles while only allowing 16.8 points per game. Even the secondary matches up well with Pittsburgh's elite duo at wideout, as NFL Network's Aditi Kinkhabwala pointed out: 

For those counting, the Jaguars even took down the Steelers in 30-9 fashion in Week 5 while picking off Ben Roethlisberger five times. 

But that's the consistent story around the Steelers, right? There was a gross inconsistency to starting the season 3-2 with a loss to the Chicago Bears and a near loss to the Cleveland Browns. 

They've lost one game since, a three-point loss to the Patriots in Week 15. As usual, the Steelers got their act together as the season went on, getting 28 touchdowns and 14 interceptions from Big Ben and 1,291 yards and nine scores on four yards per carry from Le'Veon Bell. An injury to Antonio Brown seems like a non-storyline at this point, and the team quietly has a defense allowing only 19.3 points per game. 

The loss to the Jaguars? The Steelers, headlined by offensive coordinator Todd Haley, see it as the turning point of the season. 

Haley said, according to ESPN.com's Katherine Terrell:

"That game for our entire group was a watershed moment. A lot of outside factors that could have been divisive for our group. Take my hat off for my guys. They stuck together. Bad football, probably not as bad as it appeared. How we responded to it was very critical. Our guys handled adversity well and moved forward."

Again, the theme here is the potential for an upset. Those who want to take a risk on a big upset payout or simply like the thrill will find the best chance at one here.   

But the chances Big Ben throws another five interceptions in a game to key a Jaguars win? Slim—it was one of two multi-interception games for him on the season. Keep in mind the Jaguars only asked Blake Bortles to attempt 14 passes in the victory over the Steelers during the regular season. In the playoff win, he only had to attempt 23. 

This won't cut it for the Jaguars in Pittsburgh. Big Ben and the Steelers know the key here is jumping out to an early lead and taking away what the Jaguars do best, so look for it to unfold as the fading Jaguars, 0-2 to close the season, shrink in the spotlight. 

Prediction: Steelers 24, Jaguars 20

               

Stats courtesy of NFL.com. Odds according to OddsShark.

   

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