Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Predicting College Basketball's Best Coaches in 2025

Kerry Miller

A decade from now, most of the great college basketball coaches of the past quarter-century will be retired. Bo Ryan has already announced this will be his final season. Jim Boeheim will turn 71 at the start of this coming season and is allegedly retiring in three years. And don't be fooled by Mike Krzyzewski's never-changing hair color; the 68-year-old head coach will almost certainly call it a career within the next 10 years.

But fear not, college hoops lovers, because we'll still have a bevy of outstanding coaches by the time 2025-26 rolls around.

In fact, there are so many great candidates that we had to apply three criteria to narrow the massive field down to just the 20 best coaches one decade into the future.

First, the coach must have a career winning percentage of at least .550. That should be fairly self-explanatory. Kind of tough to be considered one of the best coaches in the sport when you're losing half of your games.

Second, the coach is required to have at least 150 career wins. This was a much tougher pill to swallow, as great young coaches like Archie Miller, Cuonzo Martin, Kevin Ollie, Steve Prohm and Michael White fell by the wayside, but it's hard to be considered one of the best of the best until one is really making a dent in the record books.

ESPN.com ranked the 50 greatest coaches heading into this past season. The top nine coaches on that list currently have an average of 575 career D-I wins. Of the nine coaches, Bo Ryan has the least number of D-I wins with 387, but he also won 353 with a D-III program.

Great as Miller may be, he would need to average 29.7 wins per season for the next decade just to match Ryan's current D-I win total by 2025-26.

The third and final criterion is age. Anyone already over the age of 60 was immediately removed from the list, and anyone already over the age of 50 needs to be pretty darn special in order to make the cut.

After that, the ranking system pretty much boils down to deciding which coaches should be expected to contend for multiple national championships in the latter half of the 2020s.

Honorable Mentions

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Ed Cooley (171-125 career; 79-56 at Providence)

Ed Cooley is obviously a skilled recruiter, landing Kris Dunn and Ricky Ledo in one summer and somehow convincing Dunn to stay at Providence for the upcoming season, but let's wait until he actually wins a tournament game before we start really considering his spot among the game's best.

Ben Jacobson (197-105 career; 197-105 at Northern Iowa)

Gregg Marshall will eventually leave Wichita State or retire, and that will be Ben Jacobson's time to shine in the Missouri Valley. However, there's no telling when he and the Panthers will be able to get out of Wichita State's shadow.

Tom Crean (311-207 career; 121-111 at Indiana)

Tom Crean meets the criteria to be included, but the complete and utter loathing from much of the Hoosiers fanbase makes it hard to imagine he'll still be there in 10 years.

Mick Cronin (254-142 career; 185-118 at Cincinnati)

Mick Cronin just turned 44 this July and has done very well to this point in his career, but the health conditions that caused him to miss much of last season are more than enough to keep us from assuming he'll be one of the elites in 10 years.

Billy Donovan (502-206 career; 467-186 at Florida)

If Billy Donovan hadn't taken the job with the Oklahoma City Thunder, he would easily be No. 1 on our list, considering he was one of the only coaches on pace to eventually reach 1,000 career wins. Maybe he stays in the NBA for good, but he could also join Rick Pitino and John Calipari on the list of all-time great college basketball coaches who spent a few years with the pros.

20. Travis Ford, Oklahoma State

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Age: 45

Record: 266-206 overall; 143-91 at Oklahoma State

NCAA tournament success: Six appearances in 15 seasons; no Sweet 16s

5-star recruits signed past decade: Marcus Smart (2012), Le'Bryan Nash (2011)

There are four Big 12 coaches in our top 20 and three others who are great but didn't meet the criteriaLon Kruger and Bob Huggins are too old; Steve Prohm doesn't have enough career wins.

Unlike the ACC, which is likely going to lose Mike Krzyzewski, Roy Williams, Rick Pitino, Jim Boeheim, Jim Larranaga and Leonard Hamilton to retirement over the course of the next decade, the Big 12 has been arguably the best conference in the country over the past eight seasons and has the young coaching prowess to remain on top for a long time.

Before arriving at Oklahoma State, Travis Ford's D-I coaching career began with a couple of rebuilding projects. Eastern Kentucky had a winning percentage of .170 in the two seasons before he turned the Colonels into the annual OVC contender that they are today. By his fifth season, they went 22-9 and made the NCAA tournament, opening the door for Ford to take a step up to the Massachusetts job.

In the nine seasons after John Calipari led the Minutemen to a 35-2 season and the Final Four, they went 136-137 before Ford's arrival. He only stayed for three years, but they won 24 games and the A-10 regular-season crown in year two and won 25 games in year three.

Since then, he has led Oklahoma State to five tournaments in seven years, signed a pair of 5-star studs and somehow went dancing in 2014 despite a season filled with injuries, Marcus Smart's on-court issues and Stevie Clark's off-court problems.

Ford will have his work cut out for him this season, but he has proven capable of drastically exceeding expectations on multiple occasions.

19. Tommy Amaker, Harvard

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Age: 50

Record: 337-218 overall; 161-79 at Harvard

NCAA tournament success: Five appearances in 18 seasons; one Sweet 16 (2000)

5-star recruits signed past decade: None

Regardless of what happens the rest of the way, Tommy Amaker will forever be a legend at Harvard for turning a laughingstock of a basketball program into an annual NCAA tournament team and Cinderella candidate.

In just eight seasons, Amaker has 161 wins with the Crimson. Take out his inaugural 8-22 year, and he has averaged 21.9 wins per year since 2008-09. The last time Harvard won 21 or more games in a single season was never.

What was once unimaginable has become par for the course.

In his last seven years, Amaker won more games than the last coach (Frank Sullivan) did in his first 14 seasons with the program.

The moral of the story is that Amaker has accomplished something quite remarkable.

And he wasn't exactly awful in his prior positions, either. He led Seton Hall to the Sweet 16 in 2000the only time in the past 23 years the Pirates have gotten there. He also won 56.3 percent of his games at Michigan while the Wolverines navigated the fallout from the Fab Five scandal.

If he stays at Harvard, fringe top 20 feels right. It's always going to be next to impossible to get big-name recruits at that school, but he should be able to keep winning 20 games per season, nonetheless. If, however, Amaker becomes the head coach at Duke when Coach K steps down, he might come to be regarded as one of the five best coaches in 2025.

18. Steve Alford, UCLA

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Age: 50

Record: 435-229 overall; 50-23 at UCLA

NCAA tournament success: Nine appearances in 20 seasons; no Elite Eights

5-star recruits signed past decade: Kevon Looney (2014), Isaac Hamilton (2013)

Steve Alford has had some great rosters over the past 16 seasons at Iowa, New Mexico and UCLA. He hasn't experienced a losing season since going 14-16 with the Hawkeyes in 1999-2000.

So, it's kind of hard to believe that he has never led a team to the Elite Eight. In fact, in his 14 years at the two schools, he never even took Iowa or New Mexico to the Sweet 16. Heck, in six tries, he failed to lead a single team to the "elite eight" of the NIT.

What gives? Alford has a career winning percentage of .655 and won at least a share of four Mountain West titles in his final five seasons with the Lobos. However, for some reason, his teams fall apart in the postseason.

If and when he gets over that hump, he could become one of the greats. Despite all those early flameouts in the NCAA and NIT, Alford has averaged 22.9 wins per year for the past 15 yearsand you better believe he'll continue to get great recruits for as long as he stays at UCLA. If he can maintain that average for another 15 years, he'll be closing in on 800 career wins by the time he's 65.

It's not quite as pretty as 1,000 wins, but there are currently just seven coaches who have reached the 800-win plateau. The closer Alford gets to that mark, the more he'll be praised as one of the best. Let's just hope he actually reaches a Final Four somewhere along the way.

17. Buzz Williams, Virginia Tech

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Age: 42

Record: 164-108 overall; 11-22 at Virginia Tech

NCAA tournament success: Five appearances in eight seasons; one Elite Eight (2013)

5-star recruits signed past decade: None

There have been many theories and investigative stories into why Buzz Williams decided to leave Marquette and take a pay cut to become the head coach at a historically awful program in Virginia Tech.

Gary Parrish provided the best deep dive into the conundrum for CBS Sports last summer, but the crux of the story is that Williams did a ton of homework and came to the conclusion that the Hokies gave him a better chance to succeed. It seemed like an impulsive and crazy decision for an entire world that expected him to either be the face of Marquette or succeed in a higher-profile position for many years to come, but for Williams, it was a thought-out decision a year in the making.

Over the course of the next decade, we'll find out how well Williams did on that homework assignment.

Year one at Virginia Tech was not great, but there were more than a few games in which it was readily apparent that Williams is already building something. This is an extremely young team that has reloaded nicely between the 2014 and 2015 recruiting classes and should be a middle-of-the-pack ACC program in the near future.

But can you imagine the amount of praise Williams will get if the Hokies actually get good? We're talking about a program that has been to just two of the past 29 NCAA tournaments. In just one season in school history has Virginia Tech been ranked in the Top 10 of the AP poll, and never higher than No. 8.

With so many ACC coaching legends presumably stepping down in the next decade, could Williams eventually lead the Hokies to their first ACC Championship Game and their first top-two finish in the ACC regular-season standings?

If he does, it would certainly get us discussing him as one of the best coaches in the game.

16. Mark Gottfried, North Carolina State

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Age: 51

Record: 370-207 overall; 92-52 at NC State

NCAA tournament success: 11 appearances in 17 seasons; one Elite Eight (2004)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Rodney Purvis (2012), T.J. Warren (2012), JaMychal Green (2008) 

There were three coaches who were extremely difficult to place on this list: John Calipari, Mark Turgeon and Mark Gottfried.

In Gottfried's case, it's because he has been marginally better than average to this stage in his career, but he could be headed for a huge boost in the near future.

On the past front, yes, Gottfried has been to 11 tournaments in 17 chances—but rarely in a position to do any damage. Only three times in his career has he finished the season in the AP Top 25, and only once he entered the tournament ranked in the Top 20and that No. 2-seeded Alabama team got crushed by Kent State in the 2002 round of 32.

Of Gottfried's 11 tournament teams, nine received a No. 8 seed or worse. It's been just enough to keep a job at a major conference school for more than a decade-and-a-half.

However, he could be in the running for a No. 1 seed in 2017 if CBS Sports' Matt Norlander is right about NC State being the team most likely to land the 2016 recruiting package of Dennis Smith Jr. and Bam Adebayo.

The Wolfpack were already going to be a trendy sleeper pick with every noteworthy player from last year's roster presumably coming back for another season. If they also add a pair of 5-star freshmen to the mix, you could be looking at one of the favorites to win the national championship in two years.

Even if they don't win the title, it could definitely be the type of 28-win, Elite Eight season that really elevates Gottfried onto the national radar as he eclipses 400 career wins. He's one of the older coaches on the list, but he's still plenty young enough to have a few bullets left in the chamber by 2025.

15. John Thompson III, Georgetown

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Age: 49

Record: 317-157 overall; 249-115 at Georgetown

NCAA tournament success: 10 appearances in 15 seasons; one Final Four (2007)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Greg Monroe (2008), Austin Freeman (2007), DaJuan Summers (2006) 

Much like Mark Gottfried, John Thompson III has pretty much mastered the art of getting to the NCAA tournament and being content with his participation ribbon.

Since that Final Four run in 2007which darn near ended with an upset loss to Vanderbilt in the Sweet 16the Hoyas have not advanced to the second weekend of the tournament. Even with their 4-1 record in 2007, Thompson has a career record of 9-10 in the NCAA tournament.

And yet, he has posted a winning record in each and every one of his 15 seasons. He won at least a share of three Ivy League titles in four seasons with Princeton and has won at least a share of three Big East titles at Georgetown. Right up until Selection Sunday, he's one of the best coaches in the country.

You simply don't win 63.6 percent of your 187 Big East games without knowing a little something about X's and O's.

Georgetown's postseason struggles over the past eight years hang like an albatross on Thompson's legacy. At some point in the next few years, though, a Hoyas team is bound to get hot and make a deep run that allows us to forget about this silly theory that a coach with a career winning percentage of .669 somehow doesn't know how to win when it matters most.

14. Mark Fox, Georgia

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Age: 46

Record: 229-132 overall; 106-89 at Georgia

NCAA tournament success: Five appearances in 11 seasons; no Sweet 16s

5-star recruits signed past decade: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (2011), Luke Babbitt (2008)

If you're about to have a son and you want him to eventually become a D-I head coach, maybe go ahead and name that bundle of joy Mark. Of the 351 current head coaches, 10 are named Mark, including four on this list.

Mark Fox is one of those coaches, and he has done a pretty fine job with Georgia over the past six years.

Trying to build something lasting in the SEC is not easy these days. Few teams have been more consistently dominant than Kentucky and Florida. The Gators went 8-10 in conference this past season, but that was the first time since 1997-98 that either team failed to win at least 50 percent of its SEC games. More often than not, they're at the top, battling for the conference title and leaving everyone else in their wake.

Moreover, there seems to always be some TBD third team that sprouts up for a season or two of dominance. Vanderbilt and Tennessee shared that role for the first half of Fox's tenure. Then it was Ole Miss and Arkansas in advance of Texas A&M presumably being that team this season.

Through it all, Fox has gotten the Bulldogs competitive and kept them there for a few years nowmuch like the annual 20-plus wins he had in his five seasons at Nevada.

What has been perhaps most impressive about Fox is his ability to keep great players close to home. Nevada isn't supposed to sign 5-star talent, but when Luke Babbitt came up through Reno, Fox somehow got him to play two years with a program that has never been to an Elite Eight.

Similarly, McDonald's All-American Kentavious Caldwell-Pope grew up in Georgia before signing with a Georgia program that had won four tournament games in his entire lifetime.

Fox has already landed a pair of 4-star recruits in the class of 2016. Both hail from Georgia. As long as he keeps getting some of those homegrown studs, he'll be successful for years to come.

13. Matt Painter, Purdue

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Age: 44

Record: 237-130 overall; 212-125 at Purdue

NCAA tournament success: Eight appearances in 11 seasons; two Sweet 16s (2009, 2010)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Caleb Swanigan (2015)

Save for an understandable hiccup in 2012-13 and a less forgivable last-place finish the following season, Matt Painter has done quite the commendable job with the Boilermakers over the past decade.

Better yet, he's just now finally adding the first 5-star recruit of his coaching career, so it's about time to see how high he can fly.

Everyone else we've encountered thus far had a moderately lengthy stay with at least one other program before his current home, but Painter spent just one season as a head coach before getting the Purdue job. It was a dandy of a season, though, as he took over Bruce Weber's Southern Illinois Salukis for a 25-5 season.

Painter then served one season as Purdue's associate head coach during Gene Keady's farewell year before becoming the full-time head honcho. The transitional year and his first season as the head coach were beyond rocky (combined record of 16-40), but he quickly got the Boilermakers back to peak-Keady levels, reeling off six straight seasons with at least 22 wins.

After losing Robbie Hummel, Lewis Jackson, Ryne Smith and Kelsey Barlow in one offseason, Purdue took a step back for a couple of years, but this was one of the hottest teams in the second half of last season and should be one of the better teams in the country in the year ahead.

If Caleb Swanigan is just a sign of things to come on Painter's recruiting trail, it will only be a matter of time before this program reaches its first Final Four since 1980.

12. Jay Wright, Villanova

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Age: 53

Record: 441-237 overall; 319-152 at Villanova

NCAA tournament success: 12 appearances in 21 seasons; one Final Four (2009)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Jalen Brunson (2015), Maalik Wayns (2009), Dominic Cheek (2009), Corey Fisher (2007)

Without a doubt, Jay Wright is one of the best coaches in the game today.

Despite rarely having NBA talent and playing in a conference that KenPom.com has ranked as one of the five best for 13 consecutive seasons, Wright has won 71.6 percent of his games since the start of the 2004-05 season. The NCAA tournament has not been very kind to him over the past six years, but that's a phenomenal stretch, nonetheless.

However, 53 plus a decade is where age really starts to become a factor in our prognostications.

If he has anything close to the longevity of his mentor Rollie Massimino, though, 63 is barely even over the hill. Massimino will turn 81 this November and is still coaching for NAIA Northwood, where he is 245-60 over the past nine years.

Plus, Villanova coaches stay forever. Alex Severance became the head coach in 1936, bequeathed the job to Jack Kraft in 1961, who handed it off to Massimino in 1973. He coached for 19 seasons before Steve Lappas served as a nine-year placeholder for Wright. In case you weren't counting on the fingers of one hand, that's five coaches in 79 seasons. Meanwhile, Tulsa is currently on its ninth coach in two decades.

But the pressure to win and the year-round rigors of recruiting, coaching and politicking are more intense than they were a decade ago and will probably only get worse over the next 10 years. Once the current wave of legendary coaches retires, college basketball coaching may become even more of a young man's game than it already has become.

Could Wright coach until 2025? Absolutely. Even 2030 isn't a huge stretch of the imagination. But there's enough of a chance that he'll either retire or be on the brink of doing so 10 years from now that we're unable to put him in our top 10even though he's arguably one of the 10 best current coaches.

11. Mark Turgeon, Maryland

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Age: 50

Record: 337-209 overall; 87-50 at Maryland

NCAA tournament success: Six appearances in 17 seasons; one Sweet 16 (2006)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Diamond Stone (2015), DeAndre Jordan (2007)

As mentioned earlier, Mark Turgeon was one of the toughest coaches to rank, almost entirely because of the massive opportunity/expectation for the upcoming season.

Maryland will probably open the season ranked No. 1 in the nation. At any rate, the Terrapins should be a unanimous No. 1 seed in preseason bracket projections.

Live up to those expectations and reach the Final Four or even win the national championship, and Turgeon instantly becomes a legend. He's got a long, long way to go before the Terrapins put his name on the court instead of Gary Williams' name, but it's a pretty big step in the right direction.

If, however, the Terrapins struggle a bit before getting bounced in the first weekend of the Big Dance, it'll be pretty tough for Turgeon to avoid being typecast as the guy who has been to precisely one Sweet 16 in 18 seasons as a D-I head coach.

Mark Few has won more than 80 percent of his career games, led Gonzaga to the NCAA tournament in every single season he has coached and advanced to the Sweet 16 in four of his first 10 seasons, and we still insisted on spending the past half-decade postulating that he/Gonzaga can't win the big one.

How much worse will that stigma be for Turgeon with a 61.7 career winning percentage and a current position with a program that can and should be an annual title contender?

No pressure, though, coach. This 2015-16 season merely dictates whether we glowingly praise or incessantly doubt you for the rest of your career.

10. Gregg Marshall, Wichita State

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Age: 52

Record: 398-159 overall; 204-76 at Wichita State

NCAA tournament success: 11 appearances in 17 seasons; one Final Four (2013)

5-star recruits signed past decade: None

Gregg Marshall has never signed a 5-star recruit. He has yet to coach a player who went on to play at least 57 games in the NBA. But he has won more than 71 percent of his career games and is annually regarded as one of the top options for every opening at a big-name school.

As was our case for Tommy Amaker, Marshall will continue to be one of the best coaches for as long as he stays with his mid-major program, but he just might be able to become the best if and when he takes one of the game's iconic positions.

There's absolutely no denying his skill. Aside from the two years spent cleaning up the mess of a roster that Mark Turgeon left behind at Wichita State, Marshall has never finished lower than third place in his conference standings. In 17 seasons, he has won nine outright conference titles and finished in second place five times.

If Marshall was doing at Wisconsin what he has done at Winthrop and Wichita State, we would already be crying for him to be inducted into college basketball's Hall of Fame at the age of 52. It's unbelievable what he has accomplished, given the dearth of professional talent he has had on most of his rosters.

However, he's only 14 months younger than Jay Wright, so we're required to consider the age factor here, too. Combined with the mid-major factor and the fact that he's not even on pace to hit 600 career wins by the age of 60, it's just a little bit tougher to see him becoming an all-time legend than it is with these other nine (primarily) younger coaches at bigger programs.

9. Scott Drew, Baylor

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Age: 44

Record: 250-171 overall; 230-160 at Baylor

NCAA tournament success: Five appearances in 13 seasons; two Elite Eights (2010, 2012)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Isaiah Austin (2012), Quincy Miller (2011), Perry Jones III (2010)

The career winning percentage (.594) is nothing special, but keep in mind how completely fouled up things were at Baylor when he first took the job. Go ahead and read up on Dave Bliss and Patrick Dennehy if you're unfamiliar with the back story, but it was easily one of the biggestfor lack of a better word"scandals" in college basketball history.

While that debris was still being cleared, here comes Scott Drew. A 32-year-old youngster with one year of head coaching experience at Valparaiso, he had a less than zero percent chance of fixing things in a hurry.

The Bears went 21-53 in his first three seasons, including the 2005-06 season in which they played only 17 games, barred from playing any nonconference games as part of the fallout from the aforementioned scandal.

Over the past eight seasons, though, Drew has won 68.1 percent of his games, including three Sweet 16 appearances and two Elite Eights.

More so than any other coach on the list, he built something pretty special out of absolutely nothing.

Not only can he coach, the guy can recruit, too. For Baylor to reel in a 5-star recruit in three consecutive years right after its probation ended is a testament to Drew's ability to sell himself and his program to high school kids.

Because of those awful first few years, Drew has an uphill battle to make a real mark on the all-time wins leaderboard, but don't rule it out. He's only 44 and has won an average of 24.75 games since 2007-08. If he can keep up that pace, he'll be right around 650 career wins at the age of 60.

Not bad for someone who was thrown into an impossible situation so early in his career.

8. Jamie Dixon, Pittsburgh

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Age: 49

Record: 307-111 overall; 307-111 at Pittsburgh

NCAA tournament success: 10 appearances in 12 seasons; one Elite Eight (2009)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Steven Adams (2012), Khem Birch (2011), Dante Taylor (2009)

Most of the coaches on this list were blessed to receive a head coaching position fairly early in their careers. Steve Alford somehow played four years in the NBA before becoming a D-III head coach by the time he turned 27. John Calipari was 29 when his head coaching career began at Massachusetts. Scott Drew was 32. Matt Painter was 33.

Jamie Dixon, on the other hand, spent 14 years as an assistant coach before finally head coaching his first game just four days after celebrating his 38th birthday.

It was time well spent, though, because he won at least 20 games in each of his first 11 seasons with the Panthers and is rapidly closing in on becoming Pittsburgh's all-time winningest coach. That honor currently belongs to Doc Carlson, who won 366 games in 31 seasons of a career that started long before the NCAA tournament even existed.

Dixon hasn't yet struck gold in the form of a Final Four appearance, but a career average of 25.6 wins per season is nothing to shake a stick at. Even the great Mike Krzyzewski can only boast 25.5 wins per season in his 40-year career.

(Yes, Krzyzewski had one season cut short because of a surgery and only averaged 27.1 games played per year for his first eight seasons, but just hush and be astounded by the comparison.)

Dixon won the 2009 Naismith National Coach of the Year Award. The other coaches to have received that honor in the past decade were Jay Wright, Tony Bennett, Jim Boeheim, Gregg Marshall, Bill Self, Steve Fisher, Jim Larranaga and Calipari twice.

Just in case you needed further proof that Dixon is one of the best in the business.

7. Shaka Smart, Texas

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Age: 38

Record: 163-56 overall; 0-0 at Texas

NCAA tournament success: Five appearances in six seasons; one Final Four (2011)

5-star recruits signed past decade: None 

The youngest coach on the list by a gap of more than four years, Shaka Smart is one of the only guys who could potentially hit 1,000 wins in his career.

Even that might be a bit of a stretch. He has averaged 27.2 wins per season thus far in his six-year career. If he maintains that pace, he would hit 1,000 wins just before turning 69.

But let's not put the cart 30 years before the horse. Maybe he gets there, maybe he doesn't. But Smart is absolutely one of the best young coaches in the country and could be getting even better in his new home with Texas.

Just so we're clear on the standard at Texas, Rick Barnes averaged 23.6 wins per year over the past 17 seasons, made the NCAA tournament in every year but one and fans were ecstatic when he "finally" got the boot this year.

Smart is an excellent coach entering a situation where excellence is expected.

It might be a match made in heaven.

If nothing else, we're pretty thrilled to find out what Smart can do with players who get scholarship offers from all over the country yet actually want to don the uniform he's offering them. Smart developed some great players at VCU over the past few years, but now he can sign guys who are already great.

If it works out how it should, 27.2 wins per season might actually be on the low end of what to expect over the next few decades of Smart's career.

6. Tony Bennett, Virginia

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Age: 46

Record: 205-97 overall; 136-64 at Virginia

NCAA tournament success: Five appearances in nine seasons; two Sweet 16s (2008, 2014)

5-star recruits signed past decade: None 

The only minor concern with Tony Bennett that keeps him out of our top five is the unknown of how he'll handle the new rules this season. Shorter shot clocks and increased emphasis on freedom of movement fly right in the face of the "grind out every possession" mentality with which Bennett has always coached.

In each of his nine seasonsthree at Washington State, six at VirginiaBennett's teams have ranked in the bottom 10 percent in the nation in adjusted tempo, including third-to-last this past season and sixth-to-last the year before that. The goal for every opposing coach has been to speed Bennett's teams up, and now the NCAA is basically prohibiting his style of play.

However, the greatest coaches adapt to changing climates. Imagine trying to tell Mike Krzyzewski at the beginning of his career that he'd be winning national championships by starting three freshmen and fully embracing something called a three-point arc.

There may be an adjustment period, but Bennett's pack-line defense will remain one of the toughest to penetrate. If he's still at Virginia a decade from now, there's a reasonable expectation that he'll be the most highly regarded head coach in the ACC, given the considerable age of the current giants of the conference.

As is the case for Jamie Dixon, don't expect to see Bennett at the top of the all-time wins leaderboard when he calls it a career, as he didn't become a head coach until the age of 37. Still, his ability to transform Virginia into an annual contender has been something to watch and more than enough for us to assume he'll be one of the greats in 10 years.

5. John Calipari, Kentucky

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Age: 56

Record: 635-178 overall; 190-38 at Kentucky

NCAA tournament success: 16 appearances in 23 seasons; one national championship (2012); five Final Fours

5-star recruits signed past decade: Skal Labissiere (2015), Jamal Murray (2015), Isaiah Briscoe (2015), Karl-Anthony Towns (2014), Trey Lyles (2014), Devin Booker (2014), Tyler Ulis (2014), Julius Randle (2013), Aaron Harrison (2013), Andrew Harrison (2013), James Young (2013), Dakari Johnson (2013), Marcus Lee (2013), Nerlens Noel (2012), Alex Poythress (2012), Archie Goodwin (2012), Anthony Davis (2011), Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (2011), Marquis Teague (2011), Brandon Knight (2010), Terrence Jones (2010), Enes Kanter (2010), John Wall (2009), DeMarcus Cousins (2009), Daniel Orton (2009), Tyreke Evans (2008), Derrick Rose (2007) 

By far the most difficult placement on the list.

On the one hand, John Calipari is almost three full years older than anyone else who made the list. He will be 66 years old when the 2025-26 season begins, and we already expressed possible concerns about Jay Wright continuing to coach beyond the age of 63.

However, that's hardly a mandatory retirement age. Larry Brown will be 75 when the upcoming season begins, and he'll still be on SMU's sidelineprovided the NCAA allows it. Jim Boeheim will be 71 by the start of this season, and he's still going strong. Mike Krzyzewski is already 68 with no end in sight.

If we take out the vacated wins at Memphis and Massachusetts, Calipari is sitting on 593 career wins. But he has averaged a ridiculous 31.7 wins per season since becoming the head coach at Kentucky. If he keeps up that pace for another decade, he'll be at 910 official wins and 952 unofficial ones in 2025. At that point, do you really think he's not going to tough it out for a few more years to reach 1,000?

Moreover, the recruiting grind that eventually breaks a coach's will to live isn't even a factor with Calipari. Just look at that list of studs he has signed in the past decade. For him, they aren't 5-star recruits; they're 5-star requests. Other coaches bend over backward to sign one player per half-decade with that much talent, but Calipari is currently working on a streak of six recruiting classes with at least three 5-star guys.

For a guy who can pretty much just sit back and let the stars come to him, age isn't nearly as much of a factor. Unless another scandal comes to light, we fully expect to still see Calipari on Kentucky's sideline a decade from now, regarded as one of the best to ever coach.

4. Mark Few, Gonzaga

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Age: 52

Record: 438-103 overall; 438-103 at Gonzaga

NCAA tournament success: 16 appearances in 16 seasons; one Elite Eight (2015)

5-star recruits signed past decade: None 

Mark Few is older than most of the coaches on the list and is currently employed at a non-major program, which served as a detriment in our ranking of Tommy Amaker and Gregg Marshall.

But good luck finding another 16-year veteran who has never missed the NCAA tournament in his career.

Better yet, try to find me an active coach with a higher winning percentage than Few. You can't. At 80.96 percent, Few ranks fourth on that all-time listand not one of the other guys in the top five has coached a single game in the past four decades.

Stamp your feet about the annual weakness of the West Coast Conference all you want, but Few's consistent level of greatness at Gonzaga might be the most impressive long-term coaching feat that any millennial has witnessed.

The only real question is whether it will ever be enough to win four or more games in a single NCAA tournament. Few has won 82.8 percent of his career games before Selection Sunday, but he has a 19-16 record (54.3 percent) in the Big Dance.

Obviously, the level of competition is much higher in the tournament, but isn't that the exact point that Few's detractors are trying to make? Every year, we seem to hear the same hypothetical gripe that Gonzaga would be an average team at best in the Pac-12.

It's because of Few's tournament struggles that the narrative persists. But eventually he'll make the Final Four and maybe even win a title. Then, and only then, will the world fully embrace Cinderella's coach as a king.

3. Sean Miller, Arizona

Casey Sapio-USA TODAY Sports

Age: 46

Record: 283-99 overall; 163-52 at Arizona

NCAA tournament success: Eight appearances in 11 seasons; four Elite Eights (2008, 2011, 2014, 2015)

5-star recruits signed past decade: Ray Smith (2015), Allonzo Trier (2015), Stanley Johnson (2014), Aaron Gordon (2013), Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (2013), Kaleb Tarczewski (2012), Brandon Ashley (2012), Grant Jerrett (2012), Nick Johnson (2011), Josiah Turner (2011)

Choosing the order of the top three coaches was almost impossible. There are six possible combinations, and at one point or another, I was ready to jump on board with each of them. So even though Sean Miller checks in at No. 3 in our final draft, feel free to view these top guys as Nos. 1A, 1B and 1C.

Ultimately, Miller got the shaft because he doesn't have nearly as many career wins as the other two. He's the youngest of the trio, but he would need to average 31.2 wins per season to hit 1,000 career wins by the age of 70. But that has much less to do with his talent as a head coach than with how long it took him to become one.

Miller spent five years as a player at Pittsburgh and 12 years as an assistant at various schools before getting the head gig at Xavier, winning the first game of his career just two days after turning 36.

Since then, though, it's been green grass and high tides for Miller, posting a winning record in each of his 11 seasons, including four Elite Eight seasons that garnered at least 30 wins apiece.

He just can't seem to get over the hump into the Final Four, which also hurt his case against the other two coaches at the top of the list. With the Musketeers, he ran into the UCLA juggernaut in the 2008 Elite Eight, was chopped down by Kemba Walker in 2011 by a two-point margin and couldn't get past Wisconsin in either of the past two West Regional finals.

Someday soonmaybe in 2016he'll lead a team to the national semifinals, and people will need to come up with some new, silly excuse for why he doesn't belong among the sport's elite.

2. Thad Matta, Ohio State

Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports

Age: 48

Record: 401-125 overall; 299-94 at Ohio State

NCAA tournament success: 13 appearances in 15 seasons; two Final Fours (2007, 2012)

5-star recruits signed past decade: D'Angelo Russell (2014), Jared Sullinger (2010), Deshaun Thomas (2010), B.J. Mullens (2008), William Buford (2008), Kosta Koufos (2007), Greg Oden (2006), Mike Conley (2006)

Do you know how many head coaches have at least 400 career wins and are currently under the age of 50? If you guessed that Thad Matta is the only one, congratulations on identifying the leading question.

Here's another softball: Can you name the current D-I head coaches under the age of 50 with multiple Final Four appearances? If your list starts and ends with Matta, that's another job well done.

In his 15 seasons at Butler, Xavier and now Ohio State, Matta has never finished a season with fewer than 20 wins and has posted at least 24 wins in all but two years. He has won at least a share of eight regular-season conference titles, including five in the Big Ten in the span of seven years. The only other Big Ten school with at least three titles since 2003-04 is Michigan State.

Matta has a career winning percentage of .762 and has done a pretty fine job of convincing 5-star players to suit up for the Buckeyes.

It continuously astounds me that Matta's name doesn't appear more often and more prominently on the lists of the greatest current coaches.

Should he have won a title in 2007 with Greg Oden and Mike Conley or at some point in that great 2009-13 run with the likes of Jared Sullinger, Evan Turner, William Buford, David Lighty, Aaron Craft, Jon Diebler and Deshaun Thomas? Yeah, probably. But Ohio State ran into some nearly impossible matchups in each of those tournaments.

Here's the thing, though: People somehow feel let down by Matta becausedespite just turning 48 this monthhe has "only" been to six Sweet 16s, four Elite Eights and two Final Fours.

Eventually, he'll get the attention he deserves. At his current career rate of 26.7 wins per year, Matta would have 668 career wins at the start of the 2025-26 season and would be on pace to hit 1,000 career wins midway through his age-70 season.

1. Bill Self, Kansas

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Age: 52

Record: 559-183 overall; 352-78 at Kansas

NCAA tournament success: 17 appearances in 22 seasons; one national championship (2008); seven Elite Eights or better

5-star recruits signed past decade: Cheick Diallo (2015), Carlton Bragg (2015), Cliff Alexander (2014), Kelly Oubre (2014), Andrew Wiggins (2013), Wayne Selden (2013), Joel Embiid (2013), Josh Selby (2010), Xavier Henry (2009), Darrell Arthur (2006)

With Billy Donovan now in the NBA, I'm not entirely sure how one can argue that there's a better college basketball coach under the age of 55 than Bill Self. The only reason he wasn't a no-brainer for our top spot is because he has both Thad Matta and Sean Miller covered by a few years, so they've got extra time to pull some tricks out of their sleeves.

As things currently stand, though, and how they figure to stand 10 years from now, Self is the sole king of the hill.

How's this for a stretch of 17 seasons? Since 1998-99, Self has won at least 23 games, advanced at least to the NCAA tournament and finished in either first or second place in his conference every single year. We marvel at what Mark Few has accomplished at Gonzaga, but Self has won 80.83 percent of his games at Illinois and Kansas over the past 15 years.

Self has averaged 28.9 wins per year for the past 16 years. If he can keep that going for another 16 years, he'll hit 1,000 career wins right around the time that he celebrates his 68th birthday.

If that sounds like something you've heard before, that's because Coach K became Coach 1K about three weeks before his 68th birthday.

There are quite a few years remaining between now and Self's retirement, but there's at least a chance you're looking at the man who will be the all-time wins leader two decades from now.

Recruiting data courtesy of 247Sports.

Kerry Miller covers college basketball for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on Twitter @kerrancejames.

   

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