The Denver Nuggets (37-22) have won all 11 of their games this season when the betting total is 210 or higher, which is important to consider when making your NBA picks on Friday night, when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (42-15) at the Pepsi Center on ESPN.

Sports bettors will find that the Nuggets are one-point home underdogs in the pro basketball odds (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total sits at 221 in the market.

Let's take a closer look at this Western Conference matchup from a betting perspective, while offering up a prediction on the total along the way. 

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won three games in a row, including a 119-74 blowout victory over the New Orleans Hornets as 14.5-point home favorites on Wednesday night.

Sports bettors will find that the Thunder are 2-5 against the spread as road favorites of three points or less this season, with the OVER going 4-3 in that situation. 

Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets are 24-3 overall at the Pepsi Center during the 2012-13 NBA season. That includes a 15-1 record versus Western Conference opponents.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Nuggets are 4-2 against the spread as home underdogs of three points or less, with the UNDER going 3-2-1 in that situation. 

Prediction

I'm going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks on Friday night, as the UNDER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in this series when playing in the Mile High City.

NBA Pick: Under 221 

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