The Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers will square off in Boston on Saturday in Game 7 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series. This will be the seventh Game 7 in which the Celtics have played in the last eight years.
It will be Philadelphia’s first Game 7 since the 2001 Eastern Conference finals, when they defeated the Milwaukee Bucks to advance to the NBA Finals. The 76ers did, however, play a decisive Game 5 in 2002 in a five-game, first-round series against the Celtics. The Celtics won that contest.
Here’s a look at the last 21 Game 7s (since 2005) and a handful of statistics that may determine who wins this weekend's series finale.
1. Points
In the past 21 Game 7s, the winning team has averaged 98.5 points per game, while the losing team has averaged only 82.9. Teams that have scored 100 or more points have won eight and lost two.
Teams that score 90 or more points are 15-7, while teams that score 80 or more points are 20-11. The winning team has given up 90 or more points in only seven of the last 21 Game 7s.
2. Point Differential
None of the last 21 Game 7s have been decided by three or fewer points. Eight of the games were decided by four to nine points. Teams won by 10 or more points in seven of the games, and teams won by 20 or more points in six of the Game 7s.
3. Home Team
The home team won 14 of the last 21 Game 7s, including seven of the last eight. The last away team to win a Game 7 was this year, when the Clippers defeated Memphis in the first round of the playoffs.
There doesn’t seem to be an advantage for the team that wins Game 6. The team that won Game 6 has only won eight of the last 21 Game 7s.
5. Leads at the End of the Quarter
The team that leads at the end of the first quarter has won 18 of the 21 games. The team leading at halftime won 19 of 21. The team leading going into the fourth quarter won 17 of 20 (there was one tie at the end of the third quarter).
6. 20-Point Scorers
Twenty of the 21 teams that won Game 7 had at least one player score 20 or more points. The losing team had a 20-point scorer in 14 of the 21 games. The Game 7-winning team had two 20-point scorers in 10 of the 21 games, while the losing team had a pair of 20-point scorers in five games.
7. Turnovers
Committing fewer turnovers was not a significant stat in the last 21 Game 7s. The winning team had fewer turnovers in only nine of the 21 games.
8. Shooting Percentage
The winning team had a higher field-goal percentage in 16 of 20 games (in one game, both teams had the same percentage). In 19 of the 21 games, the winning team made a higher percentage of three-point shots than its opponent.
9. Rebounds
The Game 7-winning team had more rebounds than the losing team in 15 of 19 contests (in two games, the teams had the same number of rebounds).
10. Game 7 Appearances
The Boston Celtics have played in six of the last 21 Game 7s, tops in that category. The Celtics are 3-3 in those games.
The Los Angeles Lakers and Houston Rockets have each played in four Game 7s since 2005. The Lakers won three of those four games, and the Rockets have lost all four of their Game 7s since ’05.
Detroit, San Antonio and Atlanta have each played in three Game 7s since 2005.
Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp
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