Bettors have one more chance to cash in on NFL games until the 2025 preseason. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will go head-to-head in Super Bowl LIX, and there are plenty of ways to make extra money on the title matchup.
Bleacher Report NFL analysts Brad Gagnon, Gary Davenport, Brent Sobleski, and Maurice Moton, along with editors Wes O'Donnell and Ian Hanford will do a deep dive into Super Bowl LIX, going beyond picks against the spread.
You will also get their thoughts on the over-under total, which players will be standout performers to build your parlays and straight props.
Our panel has hit 80 percent of its consensus picks in the playoffs. B/R's experts accepted the extra challenge of projecting individual performances to help you cash on more bets.
ATS Playoff Standings
T-1. Davenport: 8-3-1
T-1. Hanford: 8-3-1
T-3. Gagnon: 7-4-1
T-3. Moton: 7-4-1
T-5. Knox: 6-5-1
T-5. Michelino: 6-5-1
T-5. O'Donnell: 6-5-1
8. Sobleski: 5-6-1
Consensus picks: 8-2
Lines are from DraftKings as of Wednesday, Feb. 5, at 4 p.m. ET. Check DraftKings for the latest odds info. Information on public betting trends is courtesy of the Action Network. ATS records are provided by Team Rankings.
The Details

When: Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET
TV: Fox
Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
Expected attendance: 83,000
Early line: Kansas City -1.5
Referee: Ron Torbert
Kansas City Chiefs injuries to watch: The Chiefs are the healthier team. Only five players are on their injury report: quarterback Patrick Mahomes (ankle), offensive tackle Jawaan Taylor (knee) safety Bryan Cook (quad) and cornerback Jaylen Watson (ankle). Four of them have logged full practices. Last week, Kansas City designated Moore for return from injured reserve, but the club has listed him as doubtful to play.
Philadelphia Eagles injuries to watch: Center Cam Jurgens (back) and guard Landon Dickerson (knee) missed practice last week, though they both expect to suit up on Sunday. Wide receiver DeVonta Smith has a hamstring injury, but he's not worried about it.
Running back Kenneth Gainwell suffered a concussion in the NFC Championship Game, and he's still going through protocol. If Gainwell can't play, rookie fourth-rounder Will Shipley could spell Saquon Barkley in the run game.
The ATS Pick
Davenport: Kansas City -1.5
As much as folks like to see any "evil empire" (i.e. a team that has enjoyed continued success—people are mean) thwarted, the Chiefs are going to do what no team in NFL history has and win a third consecutive Super Bowl.
There's not really a facet of the game that can be pointed to that puts Kansas City over the top, either. The Eagles arguably have the better team on paper. Philly can use Saquon Barkley to keep Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense off the field. But the Chiefs are just so battle-tested. They've turned winning close games into a routine this season. And the Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid.
Cue the Imperial Theme from Star Wars.
Gagnon: Kansas City -1.5
In this exact spot last year, I wrote this: "I'm done. I can't pick against the Chiefs anymore. They had an off year? Doesn't seem to matter. The 49ers are the more talented team? Don't care. At this point, you just can't go against Mahomes and Andy Reid, especially with points in your back pocket."
This year, same deal but replace "49ers" with "Eagles" and change "with points in your back pocket" to "while having to lay less than a field goal."
Hanford: Philadelphia +1.5
My gut picks the Chiefs while my brain tells me the Eagles and this time, I'll trust my head, knowing that I may regret it, but Philadelphia has the ingredients you need to slow down Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The Eagles dominate the trenches on both sides of the ball, but their pass rush should have a major impact. Mahomes was sacked 36 times this season, and I expect Vic Fangio to find ways to continue that trend. Keeping Mahomes in a shrinking pocket and not allowing him to create should slow down the Chiefs offense enough to allow the Eagles to control the tempo, lean on the run game, grind out an upset win and complete their revenge tour.
Knox: Kansas City -1.5
I keep thinking back to Super Bowl LV, when a banged-up Chiefs line was steamrolled by an aggressive Buccaneers pass rush. That game quickly turned into a rout, and I do expect the Chiefs' line to struggle against a talented Philadelphia front. Kansas City's line has been an issue for most of the season, and while moving Joe Thuney to tackle did help, it also made the Chiefs more vulnerable along the interior. If the Chiefs lose, I expect that matchup along the line of scrimmage to be the reason.
That said, I can't bring myself to pick against Mahomes and Andy Reid with two weeks to prepare. I expect a relatively low-scoring game, and I trust those two to conjure scoring drives in such a game a lot more than I trust Jalen Hurts and Kellen Moore. Hurts remains shaky under pressure, and I believe Moore will struggle with the different looks that Steve Spagnuolo throws at him on Sunday.
Moton: Philadelphia +1.5
During the regular season, Kansas City ranked eighth against the run, giving up 4.1 yards per carry, which ranked seventh leaguewide. If you exclude Week 18, when they sat their starters, the Chiefs have allowed 166 rushing yards per game while giving up 5.4 yards per carry.
Meanwhile, Saquon Barkley has been on a mission, averaging 147.3 rushing yards and scoring five touchdowns through three playoff games. Unless Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo has a switch to flip, the Eagles will ground and pound their way to victory.
O'Donnell: Philadelphia +1.5
I'm prepared for this. As a Giants fan with nearly as much dislike for the Eagles as I have love for the Giants, I wasn't ready during the Philly Special year, nor really for Super Bowl LVII's close call, but I am ready this time around. I'm also simply taking history's side. As incredible as Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid, Steve Spagnuolo and the Chiefs are, three in a row is daunting and the Eagles have the pieces in place to upend that bid for glory. Getting points here is a bonus, as I'll take Philadelphia outright.
Sobleski: Philadelphia +1.5
Well, I've picked against the Chiefs this entire season. Why stop now? The thought has always been this team isn't as good as previous incarnations, particularly at specific points within the roster. While this may be true, the experience the Chiefs have, particularly in big games and critical moments, means an opponent must be good enough to not just win, but knock the back-to-back champs out. Based on style of play, the Eagles have that ability.
Philadelphia is the NFL's best team in the trenches. The squad has the ability to create big plays in both the run and pass games. Quarterback Jalen Hurts can create as both a runner and passer. Defensively, coordinator Vic Fangio is the most influential coach of this generation and he has the best defensive tackle in the world with Jalen Carter to take over the contest. If not now, when?
The O/U Pick
Davenport: Over 48.5
Every rational part of my body is screaming take the under here. Super Bowls often start off choppy until nerves settle. The Chiefs and Eagles both fielded top-five scoring defenses that allowed fewer than 20 points a game during the regular season. But betting the under is as much fun as having your taxes done. It's rooting for the offenses to fail. Where's the fun in that? Here's to a back-and-forth affair that comes down to the wire—and a final that comes close to the 73 total points these teams scored in Super Bowl LVII.
Gagnon: Under 48.5
Is it still a secret that both of these teams are better on defense than offense? Saquon Barkley could be set up for a big evening, and we know Patrick Mahomes will be good when it matters most, but Steve Spagnuolo and Vic Fangio will be big factors here, and we'll see plenty of great defense. The over has hit in the last two Chiefs Super Bowl wins, but that trend will die here.
Hanford: Over 48.5
While I trust Steve Spagnuolo's and Vic Fangio's defenses, there are just too many weapons on both sides to completely slow down these offenses. I don't think we hit the over by much, but I'm picturing a 30-27 type of game.
Knox: Over 48.5
I don't think either team reaches 30 points in this game because we have two really good defenses, and I think both offensive lines are vulnerable. Philly has the edge in the O-line matchup, but its blocking unit might not be as dependable as most folks think. While the Eagles finished the year with Pro Football Focus' top-ranked offensive line, the unit ranked just 24th in pass-blocking efficiency (tied).
However, I think there will be too many opportunities for big plays to be comfortable with the under here. Saquon Barkley is a threat to score from anywhere on the field, and Patrick Mahomes is going to do something silly at some point that leads to a walk-in touchdown. I doubt we'll see 70-plus points as we did two years ago, but a 27-24 final feels perfectly reasonable.
Moton: Under 48.5
Kansas City defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will likely try to force the Eagles to win with the passing game, which isn't their strong suit. Philadelphia fields the 29th-ranked aerial attack. The Chiefs won't completely shut down Barkley and Co., but they'll do enough to slow down the Eagles' second-ranked ground game while struggling to score against Philadelphia's second-ranked scoring defense.
Don't get caught up in the star names for both offensive units. This matchup also features arguably the league's most accomplished defensive coordinator, Spagnuolo, and an elite defense led by Vic Fangio, another longtime top-tier defensive play-caller.
Both teams will struggle to score 24 points—take the under.
O'Donnell: Under 48.5
The last time these two teams met in the Super Bowl, they played to 73 points. Different teams, different times. Kansas City has scored 30 or more points in only three games. Two stingy defenses that allowed fewer than 20 points per game throughout the regular season—with an extra week to prepare—pushes me to a lower-scoring game.
Sobleski: Over 48.5
Traditionally, a bit of a lag occurs at the start of every Super Bowl, where teams play it safe as they try to feel out the situation and adjust to the moment. These two squads are simply too good to let that happen, considering how they've played throughout their entire postseason. The Chiefs and Eagles' combined scores over the last two rounds of the playoffs sit at 55 and 83, respectively. It's difficult to envision either participant holding their opponent mostly in check.
The MVP Prediction
Davenport: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
I know, this is a stunning, completely out-of-left-field prediction that leaves you completely gobsmacked. After all, Mahomes hasn't won a Super Bowl MVP Award since all the way back in last year. And the year before that. But Mahomes fatigue aside, there's a reason he is the clear betting favorite for MVP. The quarterback for the winning team always has the inside track here, and if this is a high-scoring, close affair, Mahomes will have all the chances he needs to make a case for a fourth Super Bowl MVP award before his 30th birthday.
Gagnon: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
In this exact spot last year, I wrote this: "Come on..." I again have nothing more to add.
Hanford: Saquon Barkley, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
Barkley caps off a magical first season in Philadelphia by winning Super Bowl MVP. It hasn't mattered all season who the Eagles face when it comes to Barkley finding a way to produce. He's that good, and the Philadelphia offensive line knows how to dominate the point of attack against even the best run defenses. Barkley runs for 100-plus yards and two scores.
Knox: George Karlaftis, EDGE, Kanas City Chiefs
We haven't seen a defensive player named Super Bowl MVP since Von Miller in Super Bowl 50. I think the time is right to see another. Third-year pass-rusher George Karlaftis has been on a tear in the postseason, recording three sacks, seven QB hits and three tackles for loss in two games. Philly's line is average in pass protection when healthy, and Cam Jurgens (back) and Landon Dickerson (knee) are both dealing with injuries—though both are expected to play.
Hurts, meanwhile, ranks 43rd in the NFL in pressure-to-sack ratio, according to PFF, and has fumbled nine times in the regular season and playoffs—though he only lost five. I expect Spagnuolo to force Philly to throw, I expect Chris Jones to command attention, and I expect Karlaftis to feast.
Moton: Saquon Barkley, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
One way or another, Barkley will eclipse 100 scrimmage yards as he's done in all but three games in the 2024 campaign, including the playoffs. If you're picking the Eagles to win this game, the 2024 rushing champion is the obvious choice.
The Chiefs defense has allowed 147 and 149 rushing yards in the team's previous two playoff outings. Whether the Eagles win or lose, Barkley can reach 150-plus scrimmage yards in this matchup.
O'Donnell: Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles
He loves to steal goal-line touchdowns from the former Giants running back even when No. 26 does all the heavy lifting. A big pass play here and there, likely to DeVonta Smith, will boost his passing yardage. Accounting for three total scores in the game, I'll take the winning QB with some decent-enough odds.
Sobleski: Saquon Barkley, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
Barkley caps the greatest season by a running back in NFL history. He needs just 30 yards to post the most productive rushing campaign ever, including the postseason. Unlocking individual achievements isn't the goal, though. What makes Barkley special is that he has the ability to turn small gains into big gains and big gains into home runs.
The Eagles offensive line—which is the best in the business—doesn't need to give him much, but it usually does. Now, the Chiefs are a good run defense. The group ranked among the league's top 10 during the regular season. However, the Eagles faced four teams ranked higher on five different occasions and Barkley still averaged nearly 100 yards per game. Kansas City is merely hoping to contain the game's best back. Barkley just needs one small sliver of open space.
Best Defensive Performance
Davenport: George Karlaftis, EDGE, Kanas City Chiefs
One of the keys to a Kansas City victory is going to be getting in Jalen Hurts' grill, and while some might take that to mean a big game from defensive tackle Chris Jones, it's Karlaftis who will steal the show. Karlaftis' sack numbers were actually down in 2024 compared to the year before, but he had as many QB hits (28) last year as in his first two seasons combined. The Eagles allowed 45 sacks in the regular season, and Karlaftis is going to register a pair Sunday night—including one that results in a turnover.
Gagnon: Zack Baun, LB, Philadelphia Eagles
In a stacked defense, he's slid under the radar with an excellent season and is currently playing his best football all year. He's got good playmaking instincts, and with attention on more lauded Eagles defenders, watch for Baun to make a potential game-changing play on Sunday.
Hanford: Josh Sweat, EDGE, Philadelphia Eagles
The Chiefs are going to give Jalen Carter, rightfully, a lot of attention, and that should open things up for a guy who is looking to make a big final impression on free-agency suitors this offseason after changing agents this week. Sweat doesn't have a sack in the postseason after having eight in the regular season, but the Chiefs' offensive tackles have been an issue all season long. Sweat makes his presence felt off the edge all game as the Chiefs devote resources to keeping Carter out of the backfield.
Knox: George Karlaftis, EDGE, Kanas City Chiefs
I'm picking Karlaftis to win MVP, so it goes without saying that I think he'll have the most impressive performance. However, I also expect to see a huge defensive performance from Eagles linebacker Zack Baun. The 28-year-old was a consistent stat-racker during the regular season and has been arguably even better during the playoffs. In three games, he tallied 17 solo tackles, two tackles for loss, a forced fumble and an interception while allowing an 80.5 opposing quarterback rating in coverage. Baun should be in line for another huge game, though if the Eagles manage to win, I fully expect Barkley to be named MVP.
Moton: Jalen Carter, DT, Philadelphia Eagles
Since Week 15, the Chiefs have shifted Joe Thuney from left guard to left tackle to protect Patrick Mahomes' blind side. Third-year offensive lineman Mike Caliendo has filled in for him on the interior.
Including the playoffs, Caliendo only has five career starts. The Eagles may single him out on the interior and use Jalen Carter to exploit that potential weakness. In his first Pro Bowl year, Carter could have a memorable Super Bowl performance with multiple sacks and several pressures.
O'Donnell: Jalen Carter, DL, Eagles
As long as he doesn't make a silly mistake, I'm jumping on the guy with the second-best odds of any defensive player to win game MVP. The Chiefs will try to scheme a way to keep him at bay in the run game, but it'll be in the passing game, pressing the pocket and Mahomes, that Carter's impact will be felt the most. The Eagles won't let Mahomes burn them on the ground the way he's proven capable in games of this magnitude—he boasts a career Super Bowl rushing average of over 40 yards per game—and Carter's activity and hands will get home and prove to be a difference maker.
Sobleski: CB Quinyon Mitchell, Eagles
Mitchell may be the front-runner for NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year if he played a position where statistics were more plentiful. Even so, he's been everything the Eagles had hoped he could be and more. The best part about Mitchell is that he's fearless. Ever since he went to the 2024 Senior Bowl and shut down everyone from a bigger and more prestigious school, he hasn't stopped. His pure coverage skills are special. He knows he's good. The moment shouldn't be too big for this rookie. Instead, he can take away a part of the Chiefs offense that's struggled to maintain a consistent threat at wide receiver, thus allowing Philadelphia's front seven to go to work.
Top Prop Recommendation
Davenport: Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+140)
I was tempted to go with Kelce as the first touchdown scorer at 10-to-1—I'm a sucker for Super Bowl props with more juice than a Welch's convention. But we'll play it relatively safe here and still get decent odds. I picked the Chiefs to win, and while Kelce may not be the force of nature he once was anymore, it's still difficult to imagine a Kansas City victory that doesn't involve 87 finding the end zone. For what it's worth, Kelce scored Kansas City's first touchdown in Super Bowl LVII. Plus, it gives Fox an excuse to show Taylor Swift 16 more times—and when that happens, we all win.
Gagnon: First TD Scorer, Saquon Barkley (+450)
At the very least, you can get safer with Barkley at -195 to score any time. Regardless, the man has scored 12 times in his last 10 games and you know the Eagles are going to want to roll with him frequently early on in order to establish control of the game. Even if the Eagles lose, it'd be shocking if Barkley didn't find the end zone at least once. And my money's on him opening the scoring in the first quarter of what is sure to be a close, back-and-forth affair.
Hanford: Dallas Goedert Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Goedert had six catches for 60 yards when these two teams met in Super Bowl 57, and I expect him to play a key role here once again. Spagnuolo's game plan is going to center around keeping Barkley corralled, leaving the Goedert open against a Chiefs defense that surrendered more yards to tight ends than any other team in the regular season. Goedert has been the Eagles' leading receiver this year in the playoffs, and I expect him to be a focal point for Kellen Moore once again.
Knox: Dallas Goedert Anytime TD (+290)
While I expect the Chiefs defense to have a massive impact on this game, I don't think Philly will be held out of the end zone. I also expect tight end Dallas Goedert to get there at some point. Goedert only had two touchdowns in the regular season, but he recorded one—and saw 18 total targets—in the playoffs. Kansas City's defense has also had its issues covering opposing tight ends, surrendering 114 receptions, 1,276 yards and five touchdowns to the position in the regular and postseasons, according to CBS Sports. At plus-290 odds, I like Goedert as an anytime touchdown option.
Moton: Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+140)
In the Divisional Round of the playoffs, Kelce had his most productive outing of the 2024 campaign, hauling in seven passes for 117 yards and a touchdown. He followed up a quiet performance, catching just two passes for 19 yards in the AFC Championship Game.
When asked about retirement, Kelce said, "I still got a lot of football left in me." You should believe him and expect a bounce-back performance on Sunday.
The Eagles have had issues covering tight ends in their last two outings. They allowed Zach Ertz to catch 11 passes for 104 yards and surrendered seven receptions for 54 yards and a touchdown to Tyler Higbee.
Mahomes will find his most reliable target for a touchdown. This prop shouldn't be plus money.
O'Donnell: First TD Scorer, Xavier Worthy (+1100)
The Chiefs love to manufacture touches for the rookie speedster in the red zone, and he's a threat to break a bigger play should something silly happen. Once into Philly territory, he could be the target from 30-plus, or in the red zone he will see an end around, bubble screen and or shovel pass. If you're scared of the "first TD" option here because this is still football where anything and everything can happen, you can get him at plus-money for an anytime TD (+155) with some strong confidence.
Sobleski: Saquon Barkley 22-Plus Carries (-124)
Aside from what turned out to be a blowout in the NFC Championship Game, Barkley averaged nearly 28 carries during the previous four contests. The Eagles are going to lean on their running game. They do so when other offenses wouldn't, such as third down. The approach isn't going to change in the Super Bowl. If anything, Philadelphia should lean heavily into what it does best in order to punch the Chiefs in the proverbial mouth.
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