Jace LaViolette David Buono/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

MLB 2025 Mock Draft 2.0: Predictions for Every 1st-Round Pick

Joel Reuter

The Washington Nationals hold the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 draft after winning the draft lottery back in December at the annual winter meetings, and they will be on the clock when the annual festivities kick off on July 13.

There is a lot of baseball to be played between now and then both at the high school and college levels, and the draft class is still taking shape as a result.

Oklahoma prep shortstop Ethan Holliday and Texas A&M outfielder Jace LaViolette are the consensus top two players in the draft heading into the 2025 season, while Florida State left-hander Jamie Arnold and UC Santa Barbara right-hander Tyler Bremner represent the best arms on the board.

What follows is a full first-round mock draft, including the Compensation Round and Competitive Balance Round A through pick No. 43.

That gives us a chance to include all 30 teams, since the Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Mets and New York Yankees each had their first pick moved back 10 spots as a penalty for how far they exceeded the luxury-tax threshold.

Nos. 1-3

Jamie Arnold Isaiah Vazquez/Getty Images

1. Washington Nationals: SS Ethan Holliday, Stillwater HS (OK)

With a 6'4", 200-pound frame and 65-grade raw power, Holliday has a profile that more closely resembles his run-producing father than his hit-over-power, middle infielder brother. He will likely wind up at third base once he fully matures, and his game is polished enough that he could quickly join James Wood and Dylan Crews as the Nationals offensive core of the present and future.

2. Los Angeles Angels: OF Jace LaViolette, Texas A&M

A 24.3 percent strikeout rate and 81 strikeouts in 68 games last season is all that is keeping LaViolette from being the no-doubt No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 draft class. Even with those modest swing-and-miss concerns, he still hit .305/.449/.726 with 29 home runs and 78 RBI as a sophomore in the SEC. A step forward in his contact rate this spring could make the decision a lot tougher for the Nationals, while the Angels are in a great spot to sit back and see who falls.

3. Seattle Mariners: LHP Jamie Arnold, Florida State

With an elite fastball-slider combination and plus command, Arnold went 11-3 with a 2.98 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 159 strikeouts in 105.2 innings last season to finish as a semifinalist for the Golden Spikes Award. His stuff plays up thanks to a deceptive arm slot, and he has shown the ability to carry his stuff deep into games even with a 6'1", 188-pound frame. The development of his changeup will be important at the next level.

Nos. 4-6

Xavier Neyens Jessica Tobias/MLB Photos via Getty Images

4. Colorado Rockies: RHP Tyler Bremner, UC Santa Barbara

Bremner spent the past two seasons bouncing between the rotation and bullpen for UC Santa Barbara, posting a 3.63 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 184 strikeouts in 144 innings spanning 17 starts and 19 relief appearances. He had a 104-to-21 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 88.2 innings in 2024, and with a polished three-pitch repertoire and plus command there is little doubt he has the stuff to start. The question is whether he can hold up over a larger workload.

5. St. Louis Cardinals: 3B Xavier Neyens, Mount Vernon HS (WA)

The Cardinals have often targeted prep hitters with loud raw power early in the draft, and Neyens fits the mold with a strong 6'4", 200-pound frame and a 50-hit, 65-power offensive profile. He has been up to 95 mph with his fastball off the mound and that arm strength plays well at the hot corner where he should be able to stick long-term.

6. Pittsburgh Pirates: RHP Seth Hernandez, Corona HS (CA)

One of three Corona High School players who could wind up hearing his name called in the first round, Hernandez enters the spring as the top prep arm in the country. With an extremely projectable 6'4", 190-pound frame and electric present stuff that includes a fastball that has touched 98 mph and a plus changeup, the Vanderbilt commit checks all the boxes to be a future ace.

Nos. 7-9

Cam Cannarella John Byrum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

7. Miami Marlins: OF Cam Cannarella, Clemson

With a plus hit tool, good speed and the defensive chops to stick in center field, Cannarella offers one of the highest ceilings of any college bat in the 2025 class. He played through a torn labrum in his shoulder last season and still hit .337/.417/.561 with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 60 RBI. With a clean bill of health, he could quickly solidify his status as a top-tier prospect in this class.

8. Toronto Blue Jays: SS Kayson Cunningham, Johnson HS (TX)

Cunningham is the top prep shortstop in the 2025 class not named Ethan Holliday, and his 60-hit, 60-speed profile and plus defensive tools give him the potential to be an offensive catalyst and a defensive cornerstone. His undersized 5'9", 170-pound frame and pure hitting skills have drawn comparisons to New York Mets prospect Jett Williams.

9. Cincinnati Reds: OF Brendan Summerhill, Arizona

Summerhill has only scratched the surface of the raw power potential in his 6'3", 200-pound frame after he hit .324/.399/.550 with 18 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 59 RBI in 58 games last season. He played center field in the Cape Cod League last summer where he logged a .790 OPS with eight extra-base hits and 12 steals in 24 games, and more in-game power production would send his stock soaring this spring.

Nos. 10-12

Marek Houston Isaiah Vazquez/Getty Images

10. Chicago White Sox: LHP/1B Kruz Schoolcraft, Sunset HS (OR)

The White Sox hit on a lanky prep left-hander a few years ago when they selected Noah Schultz in the first round, and Schoolcraft has a similar profile. The 6'8" southpaw is one of the better two-way prospects in the 2025 class and has some similarities to Giants top prospect Bryce Eldridge, though he has a higher ceiling on the mound than he does in the batter's box.

11. Athletics: SS Eli Willits, Fort Cobb-Broxton HS (OK)

Willits stands out for his advanced 60-grade hit tool and polished overall game, which should come as no surprise given he is the son of a six-year MLB veteran and grew up around the game. He reclassified from the 2026 class and does not turn 18 years old until Dec. 9, likely making him the youngest Day 1 prospect on the board. Even if he peaks at 15 home runs, he provides value in enough other areas to make an impact.

12. Texas Rangers: SS Marek Houston, Wake Forest

Houston was a surprise winner of Vanderbilt's starting shortstop job as a true freshman in 2023 on the strength of his defensive tools, and he has steadily developed an offensive game to match. He hit .326/.434/.516 with 25 extra-base hits in 54 games last season, and he followed that up with a .465 on-base percentage and more walks (26) than strikeouts (21) over 114 plate appearances in the Cape Cod League. His glove is good enough that even average offensive tools would make him an everyday shortstop.

Nos. 13-15

Ethan Petry Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

13. San Francisco Giants: OF Ethan Petry, South Carolina

After posting a 1.157 OPS with 44 home runs and 128 RBI in 124 games during his first two seasons at South Carolina, Petry gave his draft stock a further boost last summer when he hit .360/.480/.760 with 11 home runs and 25 RBI in 31 games in the Cape Cod League to take home MVP honors. The 6'4", 235-pound slugger is limited athletically and he struck out at a 25.3 percent clip last spring, but his playable power is tough to ignore.

14. Tampa Bay Rays: 2B Aiva Arquette, Oregon State

Arquette tallied just 56 plate appearances as a freshman but broke out last spring when he hit .325/.384/.574 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 36 RBI in 48 games. He played well in the Cape Cod League after entering the transfer portal and ended up landing at Oregon State where he will replace Travis Bazzana at second base. With a 6'5", 220-pound frame and 55-grade power, he is not the prototypical second baseman, though he has the defensive tools to stick up the middle and perhaps even handle shortstop.

15. Boston Red Sox: SS/RHP Billy Carlson, Corona HS (CA)

Carlson is the most well-rounded two-way player in the 2025 class with five-tool potential at shortstop and electric stuff on the mound, including a fastball that touches 96 mph and a good breaking ball. His 6'1", 160-pound frame raises some questions about his durability on the mound and he might have a higher ceiling as a shortstop, but if he comes out bigger and stronger on the mound this spring that could change. Regardless, his talent belongs somewhere in the middle of the first round.

Nos. 16-18

Ike Irish Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

16. Minnesota Twins: OF Max Belyeu, Texas

Belyeu won Big 12 Player of the Year honors during a breakout 2024 season, hitting .329/.423/.667 with 18 home runs and 53 RBI in 59 games, and now he will join the rest of his Longhorns teammates in making the move to SEC competition. He has a 55-hit, 55-power profile and a great understanding of the strike zone, which allows him to maximize his raw tools. The Twins have targeted college bats time and time again in the first round.

17. Chicago Cubs: C Luke Stevenson, North Carolina

One of the best draft-eligible sophomores in the 2025 class, Stevenson hit .284/.420/.535 with 14 home runs and 58 RBI in 64 games as a true freshman. With a strong arm and solid receiving skills, he is the most complete prospect of the three college catchers who could go in the first round, ahead of Ike Irish (Auburn) and Caden Bodine (Coastal Carolina).

18. Arizona Diamondbacks: C Ike Irish, Auburn

Irish has a 55-grade hit tool and enough power potential to be a 20-homer hitter at the next level, though his defensive game is still a work in progress behind the plate. He is athletic enough to handle an outfield corner if he needs to move out from behind the plate, but that would undercut his offensive value. The D-backs have a solid track record of developing young catchers, and he is arguably the best college bat on the board at this point.

Nos. 19-21

Tre Phelps Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

19. Baltimore Orioles: OF/3B Tre Phelps, Georgia

Phelps gave his draft stock a major boost by playing well for Team USA last summer, and that came on the heels of a freshman season in which he hit .353/.441/.699 with 12 home runs in 161 plate appearances. He started games at both corner infield and corner outfield spots last season, and it remains to be seen where he will end up long-term, but his ability to make consistent, hard contact will drive his value.

20. Milwaukee Brewers: SS Brady Ebel, Corona HS (CA)

Ebel has been a strong performer on the showcase circuit, outperforming his average physical tools thanks to his polished overall game and high baseball IQ. The 6'3", 190-pound infielder might fit best at third base once he fills out physically, though he will need to continue adding pop to his smooth left-handed swing. The Brewers pick again at No. 32 and No. 33, so expect a mix of high-ceiling preps and high-floor college players.

21. Houston Astros: OF Devin Taylor, Indiana

The top draft prospect in the Big Ten this season, Taylor hit .357/.449/.660 with 20 home runs last spring, then followed that up with a .907 OPS and 10 extra-base hits in 29 games in the Cape Cod League. He had almost as many walks (37) as strikeouts (38), showcasing the advanced approach to maximize his power tool, and he will go as far as his bat carries him with limited defensive value and speed.

Nos. 22-24

Trent Caraway Jeff Moreland/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

22. Atlanta Braves: LHP Cameron Appenzeller, Glenwood HS (IL)

The Braves are one of the few teams that has not shied away from drafting high school pitching in the first round, and that gives them their pick of high-ceiling preps here with only Seth Hernandez and Kruz Schoolcraft off the board from that demographic in this mock scenario. Appenzeller is a projectable 6'6", 180-pound lefty with three quality pitches, repeatable mechanics and good command.

23. Kansas City Royals: 1B/OF Ethan Conrad, Wake Forest

If Oregon State infielder Aiva Arquette is the most notable transfer among position players heading into the 2025 season, Conrad is a close second after hitting .389/.467/.704 with 40 extra-base hits in 55 games at Marist College in 2024. He posted a .385/.433/.486 line over 30 games in the Cape Cod League to showcase his skills against high-level competition, and now he will look to follow in the footsteps of Seaver King who went D-II to first-round by way of Wake Forest a year ago.

24. Detroit Tigers: 3B Trent Caraway, Oregon State

A top draft prospect out of California prep powerhouse JSerra Catholic in 2023, Caraway ended up going undrafted because of his strong commitment to Oregon State. A broken finger limited him to 18 games as a freshman in 2024, but he made up for lost time with an All-Star turn in the Cape Cod League. He has the offensive tools to be one of the breakout hitters of the college season with good health, and he could play his way much higher up the draft board.

Nos. 25-27

Chase Shores Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images

25. San Diego Padres: SS/OF Sean Gamble, IMG Academy (FL)

There are always a handful of Day 1 and Day 2 prospects at IMG Academy each spring, and Gamble is the best of the bunch heading into the 2025 season. The 6'1", 185-pound has a chance to be a true five-tool center fielder, though he has also shown the chops to potentially handle shortstop. His 55-hit, 50-power offensive profile plays up thanks to his athleticism, and he could continue to climb draft boards this spring after a strong run on the showcase circuit last summer.

26. Philadelphia Phillies: OF Nick Dumesnil, Cal Baptist

Dumesnil has a strong, athletic 6'2", 210-pound frame and profiles as a potential 20/20 player in center field. He hit .362/.440/.702 with 19 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 RBI in 61 games last spring, then proved he can handle top-tier competition with an .866 OPS and 26 steals in 36 games in the Cape Cod League.

27. Cleveland Guardians: RHP Chase Shores, LSU

A highly regarded prep prospect who made it to LSU because of a high bonus asking price, Shores posted a 1.96 ERA in 18.1 innings as a freshman before blowing out his arm and missing the remainder of the 2023 season and all of the 2024 season recovering. He returned to the mound during fall practice and was back up to 99 mph with his fastball, which could pave the way for a breakthrough spring. The 6'8", 245-pound flame thrower is a project of sorts, but Cleveland knows how to develop pitching.

Compensation/Competitive Balance A Picks

Henry Ford Samuel Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Compensation Picks

If a player was rated as a preseason Top 100 prospect by MLB Pipeline, Baseball America, and/or ESPN (at least two of the three) and was on his team's Opening Day roster and goes on to win the Rookie of the Year Award or place in the top three in MVP or Cy Young voting prior to qualifying for arbitration, the club is awarded a Prospect Promotion Incentive pick after the first round. As a result, Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) earned his team a draft pick.

28. Kansas City Royals: RHP Kyson Witherspoon, Oklahoma

If a team that loses a qualifying free agent, is a revenue-sharing recipient and the free agent signs for at least $50 million, the team will be awarded a pick between the first round and Competitive Balance Round A. Christian Walker (ARI), Corbin Burnes (BAL), Anthony Santander (BAL) and Willy Adames (MIL) each earned their former team a pick.

29. Arizona Diamondbacks: 3B Gavin Fien, Great Oaks HS (CA)
30. Baltimore Orioles: SS Wehiwa Aloy, Arkansas
31. Baltimore Orioles: RHP James Ellwanger, Dallas Baptist
32. Milwaukee Brewers: 1B/OF Nolan Schubart, Oklahoma State

Competitive Balance Round A Picks

All teams that have either one of the 10 smallest markets or 10 smallest revenue pools receive an additional pick at the end of the first or second round. The groups of teams alternate between the two rounds each year. These are the only picks that are eligible to be traded.

The Dodgers, Mets and Yankees also each received a 10-pick penalty on their first picks for exceeding the second luxury tax threshold, leaving their first picks as part of the Competitive Balance Round A.

33. Milwaukee Brewers: OF Brock Sell, Tokay HS (CA)
34. Detroit Tigers: C Caden Bodine, Coastal Carolina
35. Seattle Mariners: RHP Matt Scott, Stanford
36. Minnesota Twins: 2B Henry Godbout, Virginia
37. Tampa Bay Rays: OF Slater de Brun, Summit HS (OR)
38. New York Mets: RHP Landon Harmon, East Union HS (MS)
39. New York Yankees: 3B/OF Quentin Young, Oaks Christian HS (CA)
40. Los Angeles Dodgers: RHP Aaron Watson, Trinity Christian Academy (FL)
41. Los Angeles Dodgers (via CIN): RHP Angel Cervantes, Warren HS (CA)
42. Tampa Bay Rays (via OAK): SS Dean Curley, Tennessee
43. Miami Marlins: 1B Henry Ford, Virginia

Note: Pick explanations courtesy of MLB.com

Read 45 Comments

Download the app for comments Get the B/R app to join the conversation

Install the App
×
Bleacher Report
(120K+)