Georgia F Asa Newell Jeffrey Vest/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

2025 NBA Draft: Biggest Risers and Fallers from B/R Mock Drafts So Far

Jonathan Wasserman

Bleacher Report's most recent NBA mock draft looks different from the preseason projections.

As always, a number of prospects improved behind the scenes during the offseason. Aside from being more productive or raising certain percentages, they've made big enough impressions to earn mentions in NBA scouting conversations and meetings.

It worked the other way as well, with projected one-and-done freshmen struggling to earn minutes and upperclassmen who've failed to break out.

Here, we're looking at the players who've moved most from our October mock draft to this week's updated mock.

Riser: Jeremiah Fears (Oklahoma, PG/SG)

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Key stats: 16.6 points, 4.3 assists, 46.4 percent FG, 17 3PTM, 1.9 steals

Mock draft position 10/28: Off the board

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 6

Jeremiah Fears wasn't on our mock draft to start the season, but he's been persuasive with how quick and explosive he is off the bounce. The speed at which he moves looks translatable to the NBA, and while he still needs work executing certain shots and reads, his ability to create advantages and easy opportunities is valuable.

Fears has demonstrated impressive explosion, adjustments and physicality at the rim, all of which indicate a guard who should be able to finish and get to the free-throw line. His scoring remains ahead of his playmaking, but his 29.9 assist percentage still reflects a feel for setting up teammates as well.

Though he's struggled from three, he's been dangerous in the mid-range (14-of-16), showing he can separate into balanced jumpers with elevation. He has made 17 threes and 84.0 percent of his free throws, both of which are encouraging signs for an 18-year-old whose birthday isn't until after the draft.

At his age, considering how dangerous he is creating and attacking, plus the fact that he's been pretty competent hitting pull-ups, NBA teams will be willing to gamble on Fears' range and decision-making being improvable.

Faller: Nolan Traore (Saint-Quentin, PG)

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Key stats: 10.9 points, 4.8 assists, 34.7 percent FG, 25.8 percent 3PT

Mock draft position 10/28: No. 5

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 13

The arrow was pointing up for Nolan Traore after the Nike Hoop Summit and U18 European Championships. But scouts are now starting to question how translatable his scoring will be to the NBA after his first 22 games with Saint-Quentin in France's Pro A and Basketball Champions League.

Shooting continues to be a weak spot for Traore, who's struggle mightily pulling up from three (16-of-70). A lack of burst has also forced him into contested finishes or tough runners he has to loft over his man and rim protection. And he's had very little success using touch, having missed 20-of-25 floater attempts.

Traore still remains in our lottery projections, mostly thanks to an outstanding 44.5 assist percentage that highlights his signature playmaking IQ. He's also still 18 years old playing against pros, and aside from a handful of games this year when he has logged 15 or more points, NBA scouts and execs got to see him score 18 points against Team USA's Cooper Flagg, Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper at April's Nike Hoop Summit.

Still, concerns over his inefficiency due to issues with self-creation, shotmaking and athleticism around the basket have become daunting for a point guard whom teams will have to invest heavily in with a top pick and full-time usage at point guard.

Riser: Asa Newell (Georgia, PF/C)

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Key stats: 15.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, 1.2 blocks, 1.1 steals, 58.1 percent FG

Mock draft position 10/28: No. 23

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 7

Asa Newell, who has scored in double figures in 15 of 16 games, has been a constant producer in Georgia's offense despite possessing minimal creativity.

It's not luck that has helped him consistently pick up easy baskets. He's third in the nation in dunks. Newell has done an excellent job reading plays from off the ball, timing his cuts/crashes and putting himself in position to optimize his length and bounce around the rim.

He's an outstanding leaper off one foot, which comes into play in transition. And in the half court, he looks to have a powerful standing vertical, which allows him to rise up with force off two feet and easily clear the rim without needing momentum.

But a key selling point to Newell is his shooting potential. Despite a slow start from behind the arc, he's made six of his last 13 threes. The tape and numbers from Montverde Academy back up the idea that he's focused on developing into a threat who can pick-and-pop or catch-and-shoot from the wings and corners.

Newell has also delivered encouraging defensive activity with the type of tools/measurements and mobility that can translate to more shot-contesting, switchability, deflections and shot-blocking in the NBAl. He's had success closing out on perimeter players, showing quick hips and the ability to make recovery plays. Opponents are 6-of-23 when they put the ball down against Newell in spot-up situations.

Riser: Derik Queen (Maryland, PF/C)

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Key stats: 16.2 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 56.5 percent FG

Mock draft position 10/28: Off the board

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 17

Derik Queen hasn't ditched the post game or changed his 246-pound frame that felt too outdated for the NBA at Montverde Academy. Instead, he's added to it, surprising scouts with his face-up skill and athletic fluidity than expected.

The play-finishing, back-to-the-basket scoring and offensive rebounding—using his signature combination of strength and soft hands—will likely always be Queen's bread-and-butter. His passing will also be an important, translatable plus on his scouting report.

However, he's put himself in this year's top-20 conversation with self-created dunks off drives and mid-range touch. Queen looks coordinated off the dribble with some surprise explosion leaping off one foot.

One could argue his three-point misses should also be considered more promising than alarming. It's good to see he has the confidence and range. In 27 logged games with Montverde, he took only two threes. He's taken 20 so far this season. He's also made 76.5 percent of his free throws.

He's given scouts enough reasons to look past a body type and archetype that aren't conducive to high-upside outcomes.

Faller: Jalil Bethea (Miami, SG)

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Key stats: 7.1 points, 0.9 assists, 40.4 percent FG, 32.6 percent 3PT

Mock draft position 10/28: No. 21

Mock draft position: 1/13: Off the board

Miami is 4-12, and Jalil Bethea has been relatively quiet.

Part of the blame for the freshman's falling stock should go to the team and circumstances out of his control. His scoring potential still remains intriguing long-term based on his high school tape and the brief flashes of self-creation and mid-range and three-point shotmaking.

He's actually had a few productive outings with more minutes over the past few weeks. But his creation hasn't been overwhelmingly advanced. Most of it has resulted in contested pull-ups. He's struggled to finish around the basket as well, and we've seen little evidence of Bethea playmaking for teammates.

Unless something drastically changes over the next two months, he seems unlikely to have a body of work that will sway teams to draft him with confidence in 2025.

Riser: Kam Jones (Marquette, PG/SG)

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Key stats: 19.7 points, 6.4 assists, 1.6 turnovers, 50.6 percent FG, 1.8 3PTM

Mock draft position 10/28: No. 47

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 28

Kam Jones averaged 17.2 points on 50.1 percent shooting and 40.6 percent from three last year, yet he still didn't have a lot of support from NBA scouts. It's become difficult to nitpick his fit now that's he raised his assist percentage from 16.6 percent to 40.6 percent.

At his current rate, he'd be the only NCAA player on record to register a 40.0 assist percentage and a turnover percentage under 10.0. That's also with a high usage rate.

With Tyler Kolek gone, Jones has seemingly taken on a new mentality. He's put a clear emphasis on being a setup guy for Marquette. He's thinking pass in pick-and-rolls, and he's making sound reads. His head is always up and surveying in transition. He's processing quickly and identifying corner shooters who have some room.

At the least, Jones is making a case that he can offer secondary playmaking from the 2-guard/combo spot. He's showing more versatility and layers of offense.

Meanwhile, Jones has proven plenty as a shotmaker (279 career threes) for scouts to bet on NBA-level shooting. And he's consistently been one of the nation's best rim-finishing guards, with an ability to make unteachable reads and physical adjustments.

Jones is turning 23 next month, which history says will work against him during the draft. But I've moved him into the first round, thinking a rotational guard at the 1 and 2 looks like a reasonable outcome for him.

Riser: Sergio De Larrea (Valencia, SG)

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Key stats: 12.1 minutes, 6.1 points, 2.9 assists, 52.5 percent FG, 48.6 percent 3PT

Mock draft position 10/28: Off the board

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 32

Sergio De Larrea has made a strong impression with his shooting and passing in just 12.1 minutes per game. Even with limited action, he's been a legitimate contributor for a Valencia team that's tied for first in the Spanish ACB and 12-2 in Eurocup play.

He's looked ultra confident and decisive stepping into pull-ups, including while operating one-on-one. De Larrea so far has made 17-of-35 three-point attempts, showing early signs of improvement over when he shot 33.6 percent from deep in Spain's secondary league last year.

Flashing playmaking feel in ball-screen situations, a willingness to quickly move the ball as a spot-up player and the ability to identify streaking teammates in transition, De Larrea is also dishing out assists at an excellent rate (33.7 percent).

For scouts, there is an interesting mix of valued skills and efficient play in a small sample size of nightly action to evaluate here. The eye test on his size and execution has been fairly convincing so far, and sustaining something close to his current rate of shotmaking, finishing and pick-and-roll reads should lock him into an NBA combine invite at the very least.

Faller: Rocco Zikarsky (Brisbane, C)

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Key stats: 4.7 points, 3.5 rebounds, 0.7 blocks, 50.0 percent FG

Mock draft position 10/28: No. 17

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 41

Only 12.2 minutes per game will make it difficult for any prospect to build confidence/rhythm, particularly an 18-year-old in the NBL. Still, the tape on Rocco Zikarsky has been relatively disappointing for a prospect who'd generated significant hype in limited action with Brisbane last year.

He's blocking shots at less than half the rate he was last year. Zikarsky just looks a split-second slow to react to opponents' shot attempts around the basket. He's also looked hesitant to close out on shooters and choppy/vulnerable when he does get out to the arc.

His defensive outlook is still interesting based on his 7'2" size and some flashes of hip turns and backpedaling in transition. But given Zikarsky's offensive limitations—he's mostly just a catch-and-finish target who doesn't handle, shoot or pass much—the bar has to be extra high for his defensive projection.

Riser: Miles Byrd (San Diego State, SG)

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Key stats: 13.4 points, 2.4 assists, 2.1 threes, 37.5 percent 3PT, 1.8 steals, 1.0 blocks

Mock draft position 10/28: Off the board

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 30

Miles Byrd's analytics popped in limited minutes last year. A 5.0 block percentage and 3.4 steal percentage should have set off at least some alarms signaling to pay closer attention if he was given a larger role.

His offense has arguably been more encouraging than his defense, though he still demonstrates obvious instincts to make plays and create events.

For a 6'7" wing, Byrd's combination of confident shotmaking and ball-screen play should earn him NBA looks. He's shooting 42.9 percent on dribble jumpers with a 16.5 assist percentage and has made some high-level step-backs and passes operating as a pick-and-roll ball-handler.

Off the ball, he's been excellent at scoring from handoffs or curling around a screen. After receiving the ball on the run, he does a good job using his momentum to create an advantage or space, and he's looked sharp squaring his body and feet on movement threes.

It's admittedly early to totally buy into Byrd's shooting. His 190-pound frame has not held up well on below-the-rim finishes, either.

Byrd has still become a prospect to start taking seriously based on the eye test on his jump shot, playmaking flashes and defensive anticipation.

Riser: Thomas Sorber (Georgetown, C)

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Key stats: 14.8 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 2.4 blocks, 1.3 steals, 54.0 percent FG

Mock draft position 10/28: Off the board

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 21

Thomas Sorber has been a tough post-up cover, both playing back-to-the-basket and facing up from the elbows. At 6'10", he's shown good footwork, shake in his hips and use of both hands.

His passing has been a key plus, and Georgetown's offense has executed some nice plays running through Sorber at the top of the key. He has vision and the tools to find shooters out of double-teams. He shows good recognition throwing high-low passes to other bigs who have good position in the paint.

A 9.0 block percentage and 2.5 steal percentage are also huge numbers. The other power-conference freshmen to reach both those numbers were lottery picks: Joel Embiid, Anthony Davis, Onyeka Okongwu and Nerlens Noel. Sorber has kept a low foul rate, shows strong hands around the ball, holds his ground well against physical contact and appears to have enough length for teams to avoid sounding alarms over his 6'10" size (likely in shoes).

Shooting 4-of-25 from three won't convince anyone that he's destined to become a stretch 5. But he clearly has confidence in his shot, and his 73.7 free-throw percentage is encouraging.

Faller: Kwame Evans Jr. (Oregon, PF)

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Key stats: 6.9 points, 4.3 rebounds, 25.0 percent 3PT

Mock draft position 10/28: No. 30

Mock draft position: 1/13: Off the board

Kwame Evans Jr. seemed like a sophomore breakout candidate, but he has instead seen his minutes fall to 15.8 per game this season.

He's struggled from three and the free-throw line in limited action, when scouts were banking on Evans to improve his shooting.

It's too early to write him off as a prospect. There could be a fit and enough versatility tied to his defensive playmaking, finishing and post play. But Evans hasn't been given a chance to build any momentum after putting up 23 points in Oregon's opener.

He's going to need to start making more plays to differentiate himself and steal minutes from teammates TJ Bamba and Brandon Angel.

Riser: Danny Wolf (Michigan, PF/C)

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Key stats: 12.4 points, 10.1 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 1.0 3PTM

Mock draft position 10/28: Off the board

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 34

Danny Wolf's playmaking is starting to feel more real by the week.

Last year, he received 18 pick-and-roll ball-handling possessions all season at Yale. With Michigan, he's already gotten 46, mostly because of how comfortable he looks handling the ball and making passes over the top at 7'0".

NBA teams are often enticed by playmaking bigs, and Wolf practically moves more like a forward or wing in terms of his fluidity off the dribble.

There will undoubtedly be skeptics who question whether his ball-screen success and dribble can translate against defenses. He isn't overly quick or explosive. But he is finishing at an outstanding 72.0 percent clip around the basket, showing the ability to use off-hand touch, timing and impressive coordination to beat defenders and rim protectors.

He's also made seven threes over Michigan's last four games. And he had four three-pointers against Xavier before hitting two more the next time out in the win at Wisconsin.

Some teams will question his low-volume three-point shooting. Others will be skeptical about how well he'll be able to separate offensively or defend inside and out. However, some teams will be willing to bet on Wolf's current effectiveness, skill set and the value of the archetype it creates.

Riser: Maxime Raynaud (Stanford, C)

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Key stats: 20.0 points, 11.5 rebounds, 1.7 3PTM

Mock draft position 10/28: Off the board

Mock draft position: 1/13: No. 38

More usage may have unlocked shooting confidence in Maxime Raynaud. He's gone from 2.6 three-point attempts per 40 to 5.5 attempts, and he's already hit more threes (27) in 16 games than he did in 32 last season.

A 7'1" big man shooting at this clip and rate is sure to draw NBA interest, particularly with how effective he's been inside using his size, footwork and touch around the post.

Scouts will rightfully dock Raynaud for his defensive projection in the NBA. Coaches may be resistant to giving regular minutes to a big who offers minimal rim protection or switchability.

But Raynaud's offensive skill level has gotten sharper each season, and scouts can now see a scoring prospect who'll space the floor and create high-percentage looks for himself around the key.

   

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