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NFL MVP Race 2024-25: Latest Predictions After Updated Odds Entering Week 16

Zach Buckley

Three weeks remain on the 2024 NFL schedule, yet oddsmakers seem ready to call the MVP race.

Josh Allen, whose last three games have yielded a staggering 13 scores (seven passing, six rushing), is the overwhelming favorite to capture the game's top individual honor.

There are others worth watching (or at least mentioning) in this race, though, as Allen's status says much more about him than it does any lack of competition. Lamar Jackson has put a comically sized cavern between his touchdown passes (34) and interceptions (three). Saquon Barkley has tallied nearly a touchdown per game (13 in 14 contests) and is already nearing the 2,000-yard mark from scrimmage (1,964).

Maybe those just become footnotes in Allen's storybook season, but there are a host of players deserving placement somewhere in the MVP picture. We'll spotlight one such player who isn't getting talked about enough after laying out the latest MVP odds from DraftKings Sportsbook and dissecting Allen's candidacy.

MVP Odds

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Josh Allen (-900, bet $900 to win $100)

Lamar Jackson (+550, bet $100 to win $550)

Saquon Barkley (+1300)

Jared Goff (+2000)

Baker Mayfield (+7500)

Joe Burrow (+7500)

Sam Darnold (+7500)

Jordan Love (+10000)

Patrick Mahomes (+10000)

T.J. Watt (+10000)

Jayden Daniels (+15000)

Jalen Hurts (+15000)

Matthew Stafford (+15000)

Kyler Murray (+20000)

Geno Smith (+20000)

Justin Herbert (+20000)

Josh Allen Is Creating Separation

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Buffalo seemingly spent last offseason banking on Allen's ability to make plays regardless what kind of supporting cast surrounds him. The Bills moved on from both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis—who were first and third, respectively, in targets last season—and didn't bring in a marquee replacement.

The Bills apparently knew what they were doing, as Allen has arguably never looked better. As a passer, he's only twice had a higher touchdown percentage (5.9, per Pro-Football-Reference) and never had a lower interception percentage (1.2). Meanwhile, his 11 rushing touchdowns are already the second-most of his career.

He has been essentially unstoppable, and that more or less applies to the Bills, too. Their 11-3 record is second-best in the AFC, while their plus-135 point differential is second-best in the league.

Allen may well have the award sewn up already, but he still seems determined to sprint through the tape. In addition to all of the touchdowns, his last three outings have produced 852 passing yards and another 168 yards on the ground and zero interceptions or fumbles.

Baker Mayfield Spotlight

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Baker Mayfield probably has zero chance of winning the actual award, but maybe he'll consider these flowers as a decent consolation prize.

After a third place finish in last season's Comeback Player of the Year voting, one could argue he's been even more impressive this time around.

His 70.8 completion percentage is easily a new career-high. His 32 passing touchdowns are already a new personal-best (again by a healthy margin). The same holds true for his 104.1 quarterback rating, which ranks sixth overall. And remember, he's spent half of this season without Chris Godwin and endured a stretch were Mike Evans was missing in action, too.

And yet, Mayfield's numbers are as strong as they are, and the Buccaneers might be playoff-bound because of his effort. Tampa, which once lost six games in an eight-week stretch, has ridden a four-game winning streak to the top of the NFC South standings and sits a respectable ninth in scoring differential (plus-77).

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