Ethan Holliday Matt Dirksen/Chicago Cubs/Getty Images

2025 MLB Mock Draft for Every 1st-Round Pick After Draft Lottery Results

Joel Reuter

The Washington Nationals have secured the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 MLB draft after winning the third annual draft lottery, which took place at the winter meetings.

They had the fourth-highest odds of picking first heading into the lottery, while the Colorado Rockies (No. 4) and Miami Marlins (No. 7) both ended up falling out of the top three after entering with the best odds at a 22.5 percent chance each.

Now, we shift our attention to our first mock draft with the newly minted draft order.

Oklahoma high school shortstop Ethan Holliday is the headliner of the 2025 class, and he could follow in the footsteps of his older brother, Jackson, and become the No. 1 overall pick. Texas A&M outfielder Jace LaViolette is the other leading candidate to be the first name called, but a lot can change between now and the draft on July 13-15.

Ahead, you'll find a complete mock draft for the 2025 first round, though not all 30 teams will have a first-round selection. More on that in a bit.

Nos. 1-3

Jace LaViolette Peter Aiken/Getty Images

1. Washington Nationals: SS Ethan Holliday, Stillwater HS (OK)

With a 6'4", 200-pound frame and 65-grade power, Holliday is more of a prototypical power hitter than his older brother who went No. 1 overall in the 2022 draft on the strength of his advanced hit tool. There is some swing-and-miss to his game, but not enough to drag down what looks like the highest offensive ceiling in the 2025 draft class. Even if he outgrows shortstop, he profiles well as a power-hitting third baseman.

2. Los Angeles Angels: OF Jace LaViolette, Texas A&M

LaViolette announced himself as one of the top prospects in the 2025 draft class when he posted a 1.047 OPS with 21 home runs as a true freshman, and he built off that stellar collegiate debut by hitting .305/.449/.726 with 29 home runs and 78 RBI in 68 games last year while leading Texas A&M to the College World Series. His 81 strikeouts and 24.3 percent strikeout rate need to improve, but his elite power and proven track record against SEC competition make him the top college bat in the class.

3. Seattle Mariners: 3B Xavier Neyens, Mount Vernon HS (WA)

With a 6'4", 200-pound frame and 65-grade raw power, Neyens does not look like a rising high school senior. Loud raw power has a way of climbing draft boards as the spring unfolds, and the Washington prep star belongs right alongside Ethan Holliday as the top power bat in the 2025 prep class. He has also been up to 95 mph on the mound, and that arm strength serves him well at the hot corner where he should be able to stick long-term.

Nos. 4-6

Jamie Arnold Grant Halverson/Getty Images

4. Colorado Rockies: LHP Jamie Arnold, Florida State

Only 2024 first-round picks Chase Burns and Hagen Smith had more strikeouts last season than Arnold, who racked up 159 punchouts in 105.2 innings while going 11-3 with a 2.98 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .224 opponents' batting average. He still needs to refine his changeup as a reliable third offering, but his fastball-slider combination and polished command give him a high floor to go along with his impact ceiling.

5. St. Louis Cardinals: RHP Tyler Bremner, UC Santa Barbara

Bremner has three plus pitches, including an upper 90s fastball with good late life and an elite changeup. He used that arsenal to go 11-1 with a 2.54 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 104 strikeouts in 88.2 innings last season. The 6'2", 190-pound right-hander has spent the last two years bouncing between the starting rotation and bullpen at UC Santa Barbara, so there are some questions about his ability to handle a starter's workload at the next level.

6. Pittsburgh Pirates: SS Kayson Cunningham, Johnson HS (TX)

The best pure hitter in the 2025 prep class, Cunningham has drawn comparisons to New York Mets prospect Jett Williams for his undersized frame (5'9", 170 pounds), elite bat-to-ball skills and plus speed. He has the quick-twitch athleticism and arm strength to be a plus defender at shortstop, and his barrel skills also give him some sneaky power. He is the leading candidate to be the first prep shortstop taken in 2025.

Nos. 7-9

Cam Cannarella John Byrum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

7. Miami Marlins: RHP Seth Hernandez, Corona HS (CA)

With a highly projectable 6'4", 190-pound frame, smooth mechanics, a polished four-pitch repertoire led by a fastball that bumps triple digits and a strong track record on the showcase circuit, Hernandez enters the spring as the top prep arm in the 2025 class. There is always risk with the high school right-hander profile, but he checks all the boxes to be a future ace.

8. Toronto Blue Jays: OF Cam Cannarella, Clemson

Cannarella is a no-doubt future center fielder who hit .337/.417/.561 with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 60 RBI in 58 games during his sophomore season at Clemson. He has top-of-the-scale contact skills and all the necessary tools to be a standout defender. A torn labrum caused him to miss two games last year and prevented him from being aggressive on the bases, but he stole 24 bags in 29 tries as a freshman and should also be a factor in the running game.

9. Cincinnati Reds: OF Ethan Petry, South Carolina

The 2024 Cape Cod League MVP, Petry enters his junior season at South Carolina with his stock trending up in a big way. After hitting .306/.471/.639 with 21 home runs last spring, he kept things rolling with a gaudy .360/.480/.760 line and 11 long balls in 125 plate appearances swinging wood bats against some of the nation's top pitching talent. The 6'4", 235-pound outfielder has a power-over-contact profile at the next level.

Nos. 10-12

Ike Irish Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

10. Chicago White Sox: C Ike Irish, Auburn

Irish hit .319/.403/.627 with 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 59 RBI last season at Auburn, showing more playable power than he did as a true freshman while continuing his defensive development behind the plate. A .325 average and .438 on-base percentage in the Cape Cod League last summer further boosted his stock, erasing some questions about how his offensive game would translate to wood bats.

11. Oakland Athletics: OF Brendan Summerhill, Arizona

After tallying just 75 plate appearances as a freshman, Summerhill was a breakout star at Arizona in 2024, hitting .324/.399/.550 with 32 extra-base hits and 59 RBI in 58 games. With an athletic 6'3", 205-pound frame and a smooth left-handed swing, he profiles as a well-rounded offensive player, and he gave his stock an additional boost when he showed he could play a solid center field in the Cape Cod League.

12. Texas Rangers: LHP/1B Kruz Schoolcraft, Sunset HS (OR)

A towering 6'8", 229-pound two-way standout, Schoolcraft shares some similarities to San Francisco Giants top prospect Bryce Eldridge, though his future is likely on the mound rather than in the batter's box. He has been up to 97 mph with his fastball and backs it with a terrific slider and shows the makings of a quality changeup. Equally important, he does a good job repeating his mechanics for a pitcher his size. At the plate, he has a 50-hit, 55-power offensive profile, though his value outside of what he does with a bat in his hand is limited.

Nos. 13-15

Devin Taylor Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

13. San Francisco Giants: SS Eli Willits, Fort Cobb-Broxton HS (OK)

Willits could challenge to be the first prep shortstop taken in the 2025 draft, though he will need to show more offensive impact this spring. The 6'1", 165-pound infielder has a 60-grade hit tool and a line-drive approach, which coupled with his solid defensive game give him a higher floor than most prep middle infielders. He could go significantly higher if he drives the ball more consistently during his senior year. He will be just 17 years, seven months old on draft day.

14. Tampa Bay Rays: OF Devin Taylor, Indiana

The Big Ten is generally not a hotbed for Day 1 draft talent, but there are always a few standouts, and Taylor is the top dog heading into the 2024 season. The Indiana outfielder hit .357/.449/.660 with 20 home runs last spring while tallying almost the same number of walks (37) and strikeouts (38). He then posted a .907 OPS with 10 extra-base hits in 116 plate appearances in the Cape Cod League.

15. Boston Red Sox: 2B Aiva Arquette, Oregon State

Arquette had a breakout sophomore season at Washington after playing sparingly as a freshman, hitting .325/.384/.574 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 36 RBI in 48 games. He followed that up by batting .291 in the Cape Cod League and then entered the transfer portal, landing at Oregon State where he will replace Travis Bazzana as the Beavers' table-setter. He is more hit than power right now, but there is untapped pop in his 6'4", 220-pound frame.

Nos. 16-18

Marek Houston Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images

16. Minnesota Twins: SS Marek Houston, Wake Forest

The starting shortstop at Vanderbilt as a true freshman, Houston profiles as perhaps the best defensive shortstop in the 2025 draft, and his offensive game also improved by leaps and bounds in 2024. After hitting .220 with a .635 OPS as a freshman, he posted a .326/.434/.516 line with 25 extra-base hits and more walks (38) than strikeouts (33) last spring before turning in a strong Cape Cod League performance.

17. Chicago Cubs: C Caden Bodine, Coastal Carolina

A switch-hitting catcher with a 60-grade hit tool, Bodine batted .328/.411/.523 with 20 doubles, nine home runs and 71 RBI in 60 games as a sophomore while logging more walks (31) than strikeouts (23). If he shows more playable power and continues to develop his defensive game this spring, he could make a case to be the first catcher off the board.

18. Arizona Diamondbacks: SS/RHP Billy Carlson, Corona HS (CA)

Carlson might be the best two-way talent in the draft class as a five-tool shortstop who has also been up to 96 mph on the mound while showing a good feel for his breaking stuff. His undersized 6'1", 160-pound frame will likely steer him toward shortstop where he has a higher ceiling. And while his performance at the plate on the showcase circuit boosted his stock, his defensive ability is his best present tool.

Nos. 19-21

Trent Caraway Jeff Moreland/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

19. Baltimore Orioles: OF Nick Dumesnil, Cal Baptist

There always seems to be a hitter from a mid-major conference who posts offensive numbers that are simply too gaudy to ignore on Day 1 of the draft, and Dumesnil could be that guy in 2025. The 6'2", 205-pound outfielder hit .362/.440/.702 with 19 home runs last spring, and he erased some concerns about the level of competition he faced by batting .311/.378/.489 over 152 plate appearances in the Cape Cod League.

20. Milwaukee Brewers: 3B Trent Caraway, Oregon State

One of the better 2023 prep prospects to make it to campus, Caraway hit .339/.431/.516 in 72 plate appearances as a true freshman before a broken finger cut his collegiate debut short. He made up for lost time in the Cape Cod League, posting an .811 OPS in 28 games while earning an All-Star nod. He still has a lot to prove, but the high offensive ceiling that put him on the MLB draft radar coming out of high school is still there.

21. Houston Astros: RHP Chase Shores, LSU

A high asking price kept Shores from being selected in the 2022 draft, and he lasted just 18.1 innings as a freshman before blowing out his arm and needing Tommy John surgery. He missed the entire 2024 season recovering, but he was generating buzz during fall practice, again showcasing a 70-grade fastball that bumped triple digits with good life. His lack of a track record makes him a huge wild card, but he has the stuff to fly up draft boards with a strong season.

Nos. 22-24

Max Belyeu David Buono/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

22. Atlanta Braves: LHP Cameron Appenzeller, Glenwood HS (IL)

Appenzeller is the latest Day 1 pitching prospect to emerge from the Illinois high school ranks in recent years, following in the footsteps of Quinn Priester, Owen Murphy, Noah Schultz, Blake Wolters and Ryan Sloan. The 6'6", 180-pound southpaw offers a ton of physical projection and has already seen a nice uptick in his fastball velocity during his high school career. He repeats his mechanics well and shows a good feel for his slider and changeup behind a fastball that bumps the mid 90s.

23. Kansas City Royals: 1B/OF Nolan Schubart, Oklahoma State

An imposing 6'5", 223-pound slugger, Schubart hit .370/.513/.838 with 23 home runs and 68 RBI in 49 games as a sophomore at Oklahoma State. He has shown the ability to work a walk, but there is also significant swing-and-miss to his game as he tallied 62 strikeouts last spring. There isn't much meat on the bone outside of what he does in the batter's box, but his raw power is loud enough for him to fit at the back of the first round.

24. Detroit Tigers: OF Max Belyeu, Texas

With a 55-hit, 55-power offensive profile, Belyeu is one of the more well-rounded offensive players in the 2025 college class. He hit .329/.423/.667 with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 53 RBI in 59 games last spring to take home Big 12 Player of the Year honors, though he struggled to a .222 average and .658 OPS swinging wood bats in the Cape Cod League. That lackluster summer will quickly be forgotten if he puts together a big junior campaign.

Nos. 25-27

Kyson Witherspoon David Buono/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

25. San Diego Padres: SS Brady Ebel, Corona HS (CA)

Ebel is the son of former Dodgers third base coach Dino Ebel, and he has the high baseball IQ you might expect from a prospect who grew up around the game. He is playing on a stacked roster at Corona High School, and while he doesn't have one standout tool, he performed well on the showcase circuit and has room to grow into his 6'3", 190-pound frame.

26. Philadelphia Phillies: C Luke Stevenson, North Carolina

One of the top draft-eligible sophomores in the 2025 class, Stevenson hit .284/.420/.535 with 14 home runs and 58 RBI in 64 games as a true freshman for the Tar Heels last spring. He can turn around a fastball, but he still needs to refine his approach against good off-speed stuff, and teams will pitch him more carefully this coming season. He is a solid receiver behind the plate with a strong arm, which puts less pressure on his overall offensive game.

27. Cleveland Guardians: RHP Kyson Witherspoon, Oklahoma

With a fastball that touches 99 mph and a hard-biting slider, Witherspoon went 8-3 with a 3.71 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 90 strikeouts in 80 innings for the Sooners last spring after transferring from the JUCO ranks. His changeup is still developing and he needs to refine his overall command, but his present swing-and-miss stuff, smooth mechanics and plus athleticism give him true breakout potential.

What About the Mets, Yankees and Dodgers?

Shohei Ohtani Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

If not for luxury-tax penalties, the end of the first round would line up as follows:

28. New York Mets
29. New York Yankees
30. Los Angeles Dodgers

However, since all three of those teams exceeded the third level of the luxury-tax threshold ($277 million) with their final 2024 payrolls, their first pick in the 2025 draft will be moved back 10 spots as a penalty, leaving them without a first-round selection.

In their place, the Kansas City Royals will slot in at No. 28 overall as Prospect Promotion Incentive (PPI) compensation for Bobby Witt Jr. finishing in the top three in AL MVP voting, which is further explained in this article from Joe Trezza of MLB.com.

Behind them, the Milwaukee Brewers are expected to pick at No. 29 as compensation for losing Willy Adames in free agency. The Baltimore Orioles are then expected to pick at No. 30 as compensation if they end up losing Corbin Burnes in free agency.

The official MLB draft order will not be finalized until all of the players who rejected qualifying offers sign new contracts, but Joe Doyle of FSS Plus provided a nice breakdown of how the first 40 picks are expected to look.

   

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