Oh, we're in the regular season now.
After a few notable results to begin the 2024 campaign, last Saturday started to bring the chaos. Texas' win over Michigan and Notre Dame's shocking loss headlined a slate in which six ranked teams lost, causing a hefty shake-up in the AP Top 25 entering Week 3.
On paper, it's a pretty tame slate. The lone ranked clashes are between Arizona and Kansas State on Friday night and Boston College's trip to Missouri on Saturday afternoon.
But if Week 2 was any indication, there are upsets lurking.
Along with a preview of each Top 25 team, we've predicted every game involving a Football Bowl Subdivision program.
AP Nos. 25-21
No. 25 Northern Illinois (2-0), Idle
No. 24 Boston College (2-0) at No. 6 Missouri (2-0), 12:45 p.m. ET
For prediction, see No. 6 Missouri.
Northern Iowa (2-0) at No. 23 Nebraska (2-0), 7:30 p.m. ET
That sound you hear is a Huskers Hype Train starting to pick up speed. Northern Iowa is consistently a competent FCS team, but the idea of going into Memorial Stadium against an ascending NU program and pulling of a stunner seems far-fetched.
Prediction: Nebraska 39, Northern Iowa 13
No. 22 Clemson (1-1), Idle
No. 21 Iowa State (2-0), Idle
AP Nos. 20-16
No. 20 Arizona (2-0) at No. 14 Kansas State (2-0), Friday, 8 p.m. ET
For prediction, see No. 14 Kansas State.
No. 19 Louisville (2-0), Idle
No. 18 Notre Dame (1-1) at Purdue (1-0), 3:30 p.m. ET
"This is the prototypical context of a letdown game," I wrote last week, "so perhaps Notre Dame trudges out to a slow start." That happened, but the Irish failed to recover and pull away from Northern Illinois as I anticipated. I'm not panicked about ND because its defense will typically be the best unit on the field, but Riley Leonard and the offense are clearly a work in progress.
Prediction: Notre Dame 31, Purdue 17
Arkansas State (2-0) at No. 17 Michigan (1-1), Noon ET
Similar story at Michigan, where an overhauled offense couldn't threaten Texas' defense in a blowout loss. Arkansas State likely won't be able to manipulate U-M's defense as much, but Michigan's quarterback issues lead me not to rush toward a lopsided, comfortable win.
Prediction: Michigan 27, Arkansas State 13
No. 16 LSU (1-1) at South Carolina (2-0), Noon ET
Talk about a tale of two games, man. South Carolina needed a clutch defensive play to escape Old Dominion at home and then traveled to Kentucky and steamrolled the 'Cats. Make it make sense! I'll lean LSU's way because of its talent edge, but that's not a confident pick.
Prediction: LSU 26, South Carolina 21
AP Nos. 15-11
Tulane (1-1) at No. 15 Oklahoma (2-0), 3:30 p.m. ET
If you're an Oklahoma fan and feeling a little concerned, I don't blame you. Tulane gave Kansas State a 60-minute fight last week as OU struggled to separate from Houston, which previously lost to UNLV by 20 points. Oklahoma is certainly the favorite here, but Tulane is built to make it uncomfortable for the Sooners.
Prediction: Oklahoma 33, Tulane 20
No. 20 Arizona (2-0) at No. 14 Kansas State (2-0), Friday, 8 p.m. ET
Key note: This is not a conference game because the schools had agreed to the matchup well before the latest wave of realignment moved Arizona into the Big 12. Still, the winner will pocket a quality victory for a hopeful College Football Playoff resume. I'm inclined to go with K-State at home, although the variance of both teams—in a two-game sample, but variance nonetheless—likely hasn't inspired much confidence in either fanbase.
Prediction: Kansas State 30, Arizona 27
No. 13 Oklahoma State (2-0) at Tulsa (1-1), Noon ET
I'm a huge fan of power-conference schools traveling to Group of Five in-state opponents. It doesn't happen often, but I appreciate when it does. I promise that's not simply a nicety in advance of picking an Oklahoma State rout, even as that's where I believe this is headed.
Prediction: Oklahoma State 48, Tulsa 24
No. 12 Utah (2-0) at Utah State (1-1), 4:30 p.m. ET
Copy and paste the above section. The status of Utah quarterback Cameron Rising (finger) is still unknown, and the offense may have a few issues if he's unable to play. The prediction is based on Rising being available, but trim the margin if the Utes don't have their QB.
Prediction: Utah 38, Utah State 14
No. 11 USC (2-0), Idle
AP Nos. 10-6
Ball State (1-0) at No. 10 Miami (2-0), 3:30 p.m. ET
Notre Dame's loss to NIU should serve as a timely reminder for these kind of matchups. At the same time, Miami has played so well in the first two games that an upset hardly looks possible at all.
Prediction: Miami 45, Ball State 14
No. 9 Oregon (2-0) at Oregon State (2-0), 3:30 p.m. ET
On the other hand, Oregon floundered past Idaho and barely held off Boise State. There are real concerns—albeit of moderate worry at most—about the Ducks heading into this rivalry game. I still believe Oregon can be dominant if the proverbial switch flips, but we need to see it happen.
Prediction: Oregon 34, Oregon State 20
No. 8 Penn State (2-0), Idle
Kent State (0-2) at No. 7 Tennessee (2-0), 7:45 p.m. ET
Last weekend, Kent State fell to lower-division St. Francis (PA). May the football gods have mercy on their souls in Knoxville.
Prediction: Tennessee 59, Kent State 7
No. 24 Boston College (2-0) at No. 6 Missouri (2-0), 12:45 p.m. ET
After knocking off Florida State on the road, Boston College blanked Duquesne to earn its first AP Top 25 appearance in six years. Now, can the Eagles solve Missouri's defense? Murray State and Buffalo combined for 254 yards and zero points in the opening two weeks. Boston College is obviously a much higher level of competition, but Mizzou deserves its spot as a hefty favorite at home.
Prediction: Missouri 33, Boston College 23
AP Nos. 5-1
No. 5 Ole Miss (2-0) at Wake Forest (1-1), 6:30 p.m. ET
Wake Forest should at least provide a challenge for an Ole Miss defense that has locked down Furman and Middle Tennessee. Road games are traditionally where big upsets happen, too. I just cannot bring myself to believe that a balanced and explosive Ole Miss scoring attack won't figure out a way to score 40 points, though.
Prediction: Ole Miss 43, Wake Forest 27
No. 4 Alabama (2-0) at Wisconsin (2-0), Noon ET
Alabama had a pretty mediocre day against South Florida despite the lopsided final score. That would be more concerning for the Crimson Tide if Wisconsin's offense hadn't been so underwhelming in wins over Western Michigan and South Dakota.
Prediction: Alabama 34, Wisconsin 13
No. 3 Ohio State (2-0), Idle
UTSA (1-1) at No. 2 Texas (2-0), 7 p.m. ET
Texas State racked up 504 yards in a 49-10 smackdown of UTSA last weekend. So, yeah, you're probably not terribly optimistic about the Roadrunners' chances of keeping up with Texas, either.
Prediction: Texas 52, UTSA 7
No. 1 Georgia (2-0) at Kentucky (1-1), 7:30 p.m. ET
Kentucky only mustered 183 yards and six points in a loss to South Carolina. I shudder to think at what Georgia's defense could do against the 'Cats if their passing game doesn't show up again this weekend.
Prediction: Georgia 48, Kentucky 10
Rest of the Slate, Part I
Arizona State (2-0) at Texas State (2-0), Thursday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Texas State 34, Arizona State 30
Northwestern State (0-2) at South Alabama (0-2), Thursday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: South Alabama 41, Northwestern State 14
UNLV (2-0) at Kansas (1-1), Friday, 7 p.m. ET
Prediction: Kansas 28, UNLV 24
Memphis (2-0) at Florida State (0-2), Noon ET
Prediction: Memphis 27, Florida State 20
Louisiana Tech (1-0) at North Carolina State (1-1), Noon ET
Prediction: NC State 38, Louisiana Tech 17
Central Michigan (1-1) at Illinois (2-0), Noon ET
Prediction: Illinois 37, CMU 13
Cincinnati (1-1) at Miami (Ohio) (0-1), Noon ET
Prediction: Cincinnati 24, Miami 19
North Texas (2-0) at Texas Tech (1-1), Noon ET
Prediction: Texas Tech 42, North Texas 31
Massachusetts (0-2) at Buffalo (1-1), 1 p.m. ET
Prediction: Buffalo 27, UMass 20
Coastal Carolina (2-0) at Temple (0-2), 2 p.m. ET
Prediction: Coastal Carolina 31, Temple 20
West Virginia (1-1) at Pitt (2-0), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: West Virginia 34. Pitt 30
VMI (0-2) at Georgia Tech (2-1), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Georgia Tech 45, VMI 3
Washington State (2-0) at Washington (2-0), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Washington 30, Washington State 24
Nevada (1-2) at Minnesota (1-1), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Minnesota 27, Nevada 21
Prairie View A&M (1-1) at Michigan State (2-0), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Michigan State 48, Prairie View A&M 10
Texas A&M (1-1) at Florida (1-1), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Texas A&M 26, Florida 23
Morgan State (1-1) at Ohio (1-1), 3:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Ohio 41, Morgan State 7
Rest of the Slate, Part II
Troy (0-2) at Iowa (1-1), 4 p.m. ET
Prediction: Iowa 27, Troy 10
Appalachian State (1-1) at East Carolina (2-0), 4 p.m. ET
Prediction: Appalachian State 31, East Carolina 24
UAB (1-1) at Arkansas (1-1), 4:15 p.m. ET
Prediction: Arkansas 40, UAB 17
Connecticut (1-1) at Duke (2-0), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: Duke 36, UConn 13
North Carolina Central (1-1) at North Carolina (2-0), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: North Carolina 48, NC Central 10
Virginia Tech (1-1) at Old Dominion (0-2), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: Virginia Tech 34, Old Dominion 17
Gardner-Webb (0-2) at Charlotte (0-2), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: Charlotte 24, Gardner-Webb 20
Florida International (1-1) at Florida Atlantic (0-2), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: FAU 27, FIU 23
UTEP (0-2) at Liberty (2-0), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: Liberty 39, UTEP 21
Colgate (0-2) at Akron (0-2), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: Akron 34, Colgate 14
South Carolina State (1-1) at Georgia Southern (1-1), 6 p.m. ET
Prediction: Georgia Southern 52, South Carolina State 13
Bethune-Cookman (0-2) at Western Michigan (0-2), 6:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: WMU 45, Bethune-Cookman 14
Rest of the Slate, Part III
Vanderbilt (2-0) at Georgia State (1-1), 7 p.m. ET
Prediction: Vanderbilt 31, Georgia State 21
South Florida (1-1) at Southern Miss (1-1), 7 p.m. ET
Prediction: USF 38, Southern Miss 26
Western Kentucky (1-1) at Middle Tennessee (1-1), 7 p.m. ET
Prediction: WKU 33, MTSU 20
Hawaii (1-1) at Sam Houston (1-1), 7 p.m. ET
Prediction: Hawaii 28, Sam Houston 23
Jacksonville State (0-2) at Eastern Michigan (1-1), 7 p.m. ET
Prediction: EMU 26, Jax State 21
Kennesaw State (0-2) at San Jose State (2-0), 7 p.m. ET
Prediction: San Jose State 34, Kennesaw State 20
Indiana (2-0) at UCLA (1-0), 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Indiana 27, UCLA 24
Eastern Illinois (1-1) at Northwestern (1-1), 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Northwestern 31, EIU 14
UCF (2-0) at TCU (2-0), 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: UCF 36, TCU 31
Air Force (1-1) at Baylor (1-1), 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Baylor 27, Air Force 17
Colorado (1-1) at Colorado State (1-1), 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Colorado 34. Colorado State 28
Toledo (2-0) at Mississippi State (1-1), 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Mississippi State 31, Toledo 24
New Mexico (0-2) at Auburn (1-1), 7:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Auburn 48, New Mexico 17
Maryland (1-1) at Virginia (2-0), 8 p.m. ET
Prediction: Virginia 29, Maryland 24
Rice (1-1) at Houston (0-2), 8 p.m. ET
Prediction: Houston 26, Rice 19
BYU (2-0) at Wyoming (0-2), 9 p.m. ET
Prediction: BYU 27, Wyoming 14
San Diego State (1-1) at Cal (2-0), 10:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Cal 24, SDSU 16
New Mexico State (1-1) at Fresno State (1-1), 10:30 p.m. ET
Prediction: Fresno State 31, NMSU 20
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