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Temperature Check on NFL Coach Hot Seats Before 2024 Preseason

Brad Gagnon

With the NFL preseason now officially underway, head coaches are already beginning to feel some pressure.

These seven in particular.

Here's a temperature check on some of the hottest seats in the league as training camps continue.

Dennis Allen, New Orleans Saints

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Dennis Allen may be coming off a winning season in New Orleans, but 9-8 didn't cut it with a veteran quarterback and a seasoned defense. And it's increasingly hard to give the benefit of the doubt to a coach who has won just 24 of 70 career games over the course of stints with the Raiders and Saints.

His defensive units have always been strong, but it's fair to wonder if he's simply better-suited as a defensive coordinator than a head coach.

If the Saints don't deliver again early in 2024 and it becomes apparent they won't contend in what is realistically a do-or-die campaign for an aging roster, it would make a lot of sense of the team to cut bait on Allen ahead of a potential rebuild.

Temperature: Lukewarm but could ignite quickly

Matt Eberflus, Chicago Bears

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The Chicago Bears went from three wins in 2022 to seven in 2023 and are now fully expected to make a similar jump with Caleb Williams and enhanced talent on both sides of the ball in 2024.

And it's possible there will be some leeway for head coach Matt Eberflus in his third season because of that aforementioned trajectory as well as the fact they'll want this staff to find a groove with Williams, Rome Odunze and Co. But keep in mind that Eberflus is a defensive guy, and so he doesn't necessarily have to be tied closely to the rookie No. 1 overall pick.

The Bears have to continue to make strides on both sides of the ball. Another losing season likely means they pull the plug on Eberflus.

Temperature: Just above room temperature

Brian Daboll, New York Giants

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Meanwhile, Brian Daboll's trajectory looks quite different with the New York Giants.

After winning nine games and even experiencing some playoff success in his maiden season with Big Blue, Daboll lost 11 games thanks primarily to the play of an offensive unit that ranked in the bottom four in terms of both yards and points allowed in 2023.

An early-ish-season injury to quarterback Daniel Jones arguably didn't help, but the "franchise quarterback" had thrown just two touchdown passes compared to six interceptions in six games before going down.

Daboll has not been able to bolster Jones' game, and it appears both he and Jones are likely really bad starts to the season away from losing their jobs.

Temperature: Hot

Mike McCarthy, Dallas Cowboys

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This is a no-doubter, as it appears the Joneses are putting everything on the line for the Dallas Cowboys this season. With the head coach, quarterback and top wide receiver all still entering contract years, Dallas may be prepared to completely blow things up if this staff and core don't finally deliver when it matters.

That being the case, it's probably safe to assume that if the Cowboys clearly fall out of contention at any point during the 2024 season, management/ownership will strongly consider moving on from McCarthy.

At the very least, without a run toward the Super Bowl, a 60-year-old coach who has just one playoff win since he was in Green Bay in 2016 will not be a member of the Cowboys organization come 2025.

Temperature: On fire

Doug Pederson, Jacksonville Jaguars

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Yes, Doug Pederson has posted two winning seasons in a row since landing in Jacksonville. But in both cases, the Jags went 9-8 and failed to truly emerge as a Super Bowl contender.

Considering what they're now paying quarterback Trevor Lawrence, team brass certainly expects more from Pederson, Lawrence and Co. in '24.

The Super Bowl winner from Philadelphia will likely get a full season to prove he can take the Jaguars to the next level, but if the team can't win the division and make an impact in the playoffs with Lawrence experiencing the best year of his career, Shad Khan could pull the plug out of frustration before '25 rolls around.

Temperature: Just above room temperature

Robert Saleh, New York Jets

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Robert Saleh has a good excuse for a third consecutive losing season with the New York Jets in 2023. Dude lost his franchise quarterback just moments into said campaign. Saleh's defense was strong but that loss was too much to overcome in a 7-10 season.

But if it doesn't pan out again in 2024, and if the Jets lose anywhere near double-digit games for the fourth time in as many years with Saleh in the head-coaching role, he'll be a goner.

And that could absolutely happen. The division is strong, the conference is the deeper of the two, and there's no telling what a 40-year-old Rodgers will do coming off a serious injury that followed a so-so final season in Green Bay.

Saleh deserves credit for what he's done with a very talented D in New York, and he'd arguably be a victim of circumstances if a lot of the Jets' failures have to do with their decision to roll the dice on Rodgers. Call him a scapegoat or chalk it up to him being a better defensive coach than head coach. Regardless, he's on thin ice.

Temperature: Hot

Nick Sirianni, Philadelphia Eagles

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Pederson won the damn Super Bowl for the Eagles in 2017 and was on the outs just three years later. So it's entirely possible Nick Sirianni could suffer similar fate in Philadelphia just two years after getting the Eagles to the big game.

Sirianni is at a crossroads after the team completely tanked by losing six of their last seven games and embarrassing themselves in the playoffs last year.

If they pick up where they left off and fall out of contention at any point before mid-January, we could be looking at a trend that causes Howie Roseman to cut bait and start fresh in that spot.

But if they get back on track and prove that last year's nosedive was an anomaly, we'll be laughing at the fact Sirianni was ever even included on lists like this in the '24 offseason.

Temperature: Lukewarm but could ignite quickly

   

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