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Paul Skenes, Jackson Merrill and 2024 MLB Rookie Rankings for 2nd Half of Season

Joel Reuter

The All-Star break is now in the rearview and it's time for an updated version of our rookie rankings heading into the season's second half.

These rankings will be updated each month throughout the campaign, with rookies rising and falling based on their recent performances. Our rankings have now been expanded to 25 players, along with a long list of honorable mentions.

Future expectations, long-term upside, preseason prospect rankings and minor league track records were not a factor in these rankings. The sole focus was 2024 production.

Let the debate begin.

Honorable Mentions: Hitters

Andy Pages Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

These rookie hitters made our preliminary list, and while they did not earn a spot inside the top 25, they deserve a mention:

IF Blaze Alexander, ARI
OF Lawrence Butler, OAK
OF Evan Carter, TEX
OF Pete Crow-Armstrong, CHC
IF/OF Tyler Fitzgerald, SF
2B Nick Gonzales, PIT
2B/SS David Hamilton, BOS
C Iván Herrera, STL
1B/2B Spencer Horwitz, TOR
OF Heston Kjerstad, BAL
C Korey Lee, CWS
OF Joey Loperfido, HOU
OF Austin Martin, MIN
C Kyle McCann, OAK
OF Dane Myers, MIA
OF Andy Pages, LAD
1B Ben Rice, NYY
SS Brayan Rocchio, CLE
1B Nolan Schanuel, LAA
SS Max Schuemann, OAK
IF/OF Daniel Schneemann, CLE
IF/OF Davis Schneider, TOR
C Austin Wells, NYY
2B/SS Brett Wisely, SF
OF Jacob Young, WAS

Honorable Mentions: Pitchers

Justin Martinez Chris Coduto/Getty Images

These rookie pitchers made our preliminary list, and while they did not earn a spot inside the top 25, they deserve a mention:

SP Spencer Arrighetti, HOU
RP Cam Booser, BOS
SP/RP Ben Brown, CHC
SP José Buttó, NYM
SP Jonathan Cannon, CWS
SP Cooper Criswell, BOS
RP Declan Cronin, MIA
RP Hans Crouse, LAA
SP Joey Estes, OAK
RP Ryan Fernandez, STL
SP Robert Gasser, MIL
SP Kyle Harrison, SF
RP Tim Herrin, CLE
SP DJ Herz, WAS
RP Porter Hodge, CHC
RP Grant Holmes, ATL
RP Bryce Jarvis, ARI
SP Landon Knack, LAD
RP Jacob Latz, TEX
RP Luke Little, CHC
RP Justin Martinez, ARI
RP Yuki Matsui, SD
RP Erik Miller, SF
RP Dedniel Núñez, NYM
SP Yariel Rodríguez, TOR
SP Spencer Schwellenbach, ATL
SP Christian Scott, NYM
RP Justin Slaten, BOS
SP/RP Mitch Spence, OAK
SP/RP Carson Spiers, CIN
SP Drew Thorpe, CWS
SP Randy Vásquez, SD
RP Victor Vodnik, COL

Nos. 25-21

Colt Keith Tim Warner/Getty Images

25. 2B Colt Keith, Detroit Tigers

Stats: 88 G, 93 OPS+, .249/.304/.387, 21 XBH (9 HR), 37 RBI, 5 SB, 0.2 WAR

Keith hit .395/.480/.861 with five home runs and 13 RBI over his final 12 games before the All-Star break, raising his season OPS by more than 100 points in the process. The 22-year-old still has lackluster numbers overall, but he could be this year's Triston Casas with a big second half to erase a disappointing start to the year.

24. OF Wenceel Pérez, Detroit Tigers

Stats: 79 G, 101 OPS+, .261/.316/.404, 23 XBH (6 HR), 24 RBI, 7 SB, 0.7 WAR

Pérez has leveled off since hitting .305/.388/.542 over his first 20 games in the big leagues, but he has still settled in as the primary right fielder for the Tigers. The 24-year-old has seen the bulk of his at-bats in the leadoff spot or the No. 3 spot in the batting order, which is a shocking turn of events for a player who was well off the MLB radar when the season began.

23. OF Wyatt Langford, Texas Rangers

Stats: 74 G, 97 OPS+, .250/.313/.380, 22 XBH (5 HR), 41 RBI, 8 SB, 1.0 WAR

It looked like Langford had finally turned a corner when he hit .309/.368/.526 with 12 extra-base hits and 22 RBI in June, but he has slumped again this month with a .208/.271/.340 line over 59 plate appearances. The tools are there for him to be a star, he just needs to find consistency.

22. RP Orion Kerkering, Philadelphia Phillies

Stats: 36 G, 9 HLD, 1.72 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9, 10.1 K/9, 36.2 IP, 1.2 WAR

Kerkering pitched his way onto Philadelphia's postseason roster last year as a September call-up and made seven appearances in the playoffs, but he still held rookie eligibility heading into the 2024 season. The 23-year-old has been a key setup arm on a first-place team, and he is tied for second in the Phillies bullpen with nine holds.

21. SP Mitchell Parker, Washington Nationals

Stats: 17 GS, 3.90 ERA (102 ERA+), 1.14 WHIP, 21 BB, 76 K, 92.1 IP, 1.2 WAR

One of baseball's most surprising rookie standouts, Parker was never a top 10 prospect in the Nationals system at any point prior to making his MLB debut on April 15. The 24-year-old has completed at least five innings in 14 of his 17 starts, and with a durable 6'4", 239-pound frame he could be a workhorse in the rotation for the foreseeable future.

Nos. 20-16

Tobias Myers Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

20. OF Colton Cowser, Baltimore Orioles

Stats: 90 G, 113 OPS+, .221/.310/.426, 27 XBH (13 HR), 36 RBI, 6 SB, 1.3 WAR

Cowser was the early AL Rookie of the Year favorite when he hit .303/.372/.632 with six home runs and 18 RBI in April. The 24-year-old is batting just .187 with a .627 OPS and seven home runs in 214 plate appearances since that hot start, but his overall body of work is still enough to earn him a spot inside the top 20.

19. OF Jackson Chourio, Milwaukee Brewers

Stats: 86 G, 91 OPS+, .249/.299/.388, 21 XBH (9 HR), 37 RBI, 12 SB, 1.4 WAR

His numbers are far more impressive when you realize Chourio is the youngest player to appear in a MLB game this season at roughly 20 years, four months old. He hit .315/.363/.534 over 80 plate appearances in June, so he is starting to find some consistency at the plate while also providing Gold Glove-caliber defense (10 DRS, 12.8 UZR/150) in the outfield.

18. RP Cade Smith, Cleveland Guardians

Stats: 44 G, 15 HLD, 2.22 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9, 12.5 K/9, 44.2 IP, 1.1 WAR

Smith signed with the Guardians as a free agent after going undrafted in the shortened 2020 draft, and he put himself on the MLB radar last year with 15 saves and 13.6 K/9 in 47 appearances between Double-A and Triple-A. The 25-year-old has been part of a standout rookie trio in the Cleveland bullpen alongside Tim Herrin and Hunter Gaddis.

17. SP Tobias Myers, Milwaukee Brewers

Stats: 13 GS, 3.13 ERA (135 ERA+), 1.13 WHIP, 20 BB, 62 K, 72.0 IP, 1.4 WAR

Myers is the player the Rays traded to Cleveland to acquire top prospect Junior Caminero prior to the 2022 season when he was still a low-level minor leaguer. After brief stops with the Giants and White Sox, he has found a home in the Milwaukee rotation. The 25-year-old tossed eight shutout innings of four-hit ball against the Pirates in his final start of the first half.

16. IF/OF Ceddanne Rafaela, Boston Red Sox

Stats: 95 G, 90 OPS+, .250/.278/.420, 31 XBH (11 HR), 52 RBI, 13 SB, 1.6 WAR

With power, speed and defensive versatility, Rafaela has been a key contributor for the Red Sox this season, and the front office bet on his future with an eight-year, $50 million extension in April. He has significant room for improvement in his walk rate (3.4%) and strikeout rate (26.8%), but he is also still only 23 years old.

Nos. 15-11

Matt Waldron Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

15. OF Wilyer Abreu, Boston Red Sox

Stats: 73 G, 119 OPS+, .262/.327/.476, 31 XBH (8 HR), 29 RBI, 7 SB, 1.9 WAR

Abreu got off to a terrific start this year, but he suffered an ankle injury in early June that cost him a couple weeks and he has not been the same since returning. The 25-year-old is hitting just .233/.277/.450 with 24 strikeouts in 65 plate appearances since he was activated from the injured list on June 22, and he will look to get back on track in the second half.

14. RP Bryan Hudson, Milwaukee Brewers

Stats: 34 G, 12 HLD, 1.63 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9, 9.6 K/9, 49.2 IP, 2.1 WAR

Hudson was acquired from the Dodgers in an under-the-radar trade that sent pitching prospect Justin Chambers the other way in January. Even with All-Star closer Devin Williams sidelined for the entire first half, the Brewers still rank third in the majors with a 3.35 ERA from the bullpen, and Hudson's emergence has been a big reason for their success.

13. SP Simeon Woods Richardson, Minnesota Twins

Stats: 16 GS, 3.51 ERA (116 ERA+), 1.15 WHIP, 24 BB, 71 K, 82.0 IP, 1.6 WAR

After making one spot start each in 2022 (5.0 IP, 3 H, 2 ER) and 2023 (4.2 IP, 7 H, 5 ER), Woods Richardson has emerged this season to give the Minnesota rotation a much-needed boost after losing Sonny Gray in free agency. The 23-year-old was acquired from the Blue Jays in the deal that sent José Berríos to Toronto at the 2021 trade deadline.

12. SP Jared Jones, Pittsburgh Pirates

Stats: 16 GS, 3.56 ERA (116 ERA+), 1.11 WHIP, 27 BB, 98 K, 91.0 IP, 1.8 WAR

Jones was a rising star in the Pittsburgh rotation before Paul Skenes burst onto the scene, and he has quietly put together a fantastic rookie season while looking like a top-of-the-rotation caliber starter in his own right. His nine quality starts trail only Shōta Imanaga (11) among all rookie starters.

11. SP Matt Waldron, San Diego Padres

Stats: 20 GS, 3.59 ERA (112 ERA+), 1.16 WHIP, 31 BB, 99 K, 112.2 IP, 2.2 WAR

Waldron leads all rookie pitchers in games started (20) and innings pitched (112.2), and he has been a terrific middle-of-the-rotation for the Padres who have been without co-aces Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove for much of the year. The 27-year-old is the only knuckleball pitcher in the majors, throwing the pitch 39.5 percent of the time and limiting opposing hitters to a .210 average against it as part of a five-pitch repertoire.

Nos. 10-6

Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

10. SP Gavin Stone, Los Angeles Dodgers

Stats: 18 GS, 3.19 ERA (126 ERA+), 1.23 WHIP, 28 BB, 79 K, 101.2 IP, 1.8 WAR

The Dodgers have already used 14 different starting pitchers already this season, so the stability that Stone has brought to the staff after winning the No. 5 starter job out of spring training has been invaluable. The 25-year-old does not have a ton of strikeouts, but his 43.7 percent groundball rate ranks 28th among qualified starters.

9. 3B Joey Ortiz, Milwaukee Brewers

Stats: 78 G, 120 OPS+, .260/.363/.424, 22 XBH (7 HR), 30 RBI, 5 SB, 1.9 WAR

Ortiz is viewed as the shortstop of the future in Milwaukee after he was acquired at the prospect centerpiece in the Corbin Burnes blockbuster with the Orioles, but for now he is doing a great job plugging a hole at third base. The 26-year-old might never be a huge power threat, but his glove, on-base ability and contract skills are extremely valuable.

8. RP Hunter Gaddis, Cleveland Guardians

Stats: 48 G, 20 HLD, 1.17 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9, 8.5 K/9, 46.1 IP, 1.9 WAR

Only All-Star relievers Emmanuel Clase (0.81 ERA) and Jeff Hoffman (1.09 ERA) have a lower ERA than Gaddis among pitchers who have worked at least 40 innings this season. His 20 holds also lead all rookie relievers, and he has limited opposing hitters to a .167 average with just 27 hits allowed in 46.1 innings. The 26-year-old throws a mid-90s fastball, wipeout slider and the occasional changeup.

7. SP Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Los Angeles Dodgers

Stats: 14 GS, 2.92 ERA (137 ERA+), 1.07 WHIP, 17 BB, 84 K, 74.0 IP, 1.6 WAR

Despite being sidelined since June 15 with a rotator cuff strain, Yamamoto has still been one of the most productive rookie pitchers in baseball. The 25-year-old looked the part of a staff ace before hitting the injured list, and while he has a long way to go, the early returns on his 12-year, $325 million contract have been positive.

6. 1B Michael Busch, Chicago Cubs

Stats: 93 G, 129 OPS+, .270/.357/.467, 34 XBH (12 HR), 36 RBI, 1 SB, 2.5 WAR

Busch has been a consistent power threat for the Cubs this season, and he leads all rookies with 34 extra-base hits. The 26-year-old has also posted a strong 11.6 percent walk rate and .357 on-base percentage, which has helped offset his high strikeout rate for a strong overall offensive campaign. He has also tallied five Defensive Runs Saved at first base.

5. OF Jackson Merrill, San Diego Padres

Denis Poroy/Getty Images

Stats: 97 G, 108 OPS+, .276/.308/.432, 27 XBH (12 HR), 46 RBI, 10 SB, 1.8 WAR

After hitting for a solid average but providing little offensive impact, Jackson Merrill caught fire at the plate in June and played his way onto the NL All-Star team.

He will be 21 years old for the entire 2024 season, and aside from his strong production at the plate, he has also played a solid center field while learning the position on the fly after starting his pro career as a shortstop.

4. SP Luis Gil, New York Yankees

Diamond Images via Getty Images

Stats: 19 GS, 3.17 ERA (130 ERA+), 1.09 WHIP, 49 BB, 118 K, 102.1 IP, 2.5 WAR

Right-hander Luis Gil only earned a spot in the New York Yankees starting rotation to begin the year as a replacement for the injured Gerrit Cole, but he pitched his way to the top of the AL Rookie of the Year picture in the time before Cole returned from the injured list.

The 26-year-old went 10-2 with a 1.82 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 85 strikeouts in 69.1 innings over his first 19 starts, limiting opposing hitters to a .129 average while thoroughly dominating the competition.

He stumbled a bit at the end of June, but righted the ship with back-to-back quality starts in his final two appearances before the All-Star break.

3. SP Shōta Imanaga, Chicago Cubs

Gene Wang/Getty Images

Stats: 17 GS, 2.97 ERA (142 ERA+), 1.11 WHIP, 16 BB, 98 K, 97.0 IP, 2.0 WAR

Left-hander Shōta Imanaga might still be in the driver's seat of the NL Cy Young race if not for one absolutely disastrous start on June 21 against the New York Mets.

The 30-year-old served up 11 hits and 10 earned runs through just three innings in that one brutal outing, but he rebounded with three consecutive quality starts to close out the first half before representing the Cubs at the All-Star Game.

Imanaga has a 2.01 ERA in 94 innings over his other 16 starts, and he is still capable of making a second-half push in the NL Rookie of the Year race if Paul Skenes loses steam following his brilliant start.

2. SS Masyn Winn, St. Louis Cardinals

Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

Stats: 90 G, 112 OPS+, .288/.334/.418, 28 XBH (5 HR), 33 RBI, 9 SB, 3.9 WAR

Masyn Winn has been so good defensively, anything he has provided at the plate this year for the St. Louis Cardinals has been icing on the cake.

His 14 Defensive Runs Saved lead all shortstop and are tied with Milwaukee Brewers second baseman Brice Turang for the most in baseball across all positions, and he could be a perennial Gold Glove contender for the next decade.

After hitting .172 with a 29 OPS+ over 137 plate appearances in his first taste of the big leagues last year, he has resoundingly answered any questions about whether he will hit enough to be an MLB shortstop.

1. SP Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates

John Fisher/Getty Images

Stats: 11 GS, 1.90 ERA (218 ERA+), 0.92 WHIP, 13 BB, 89 K, 66.1 IP, 3.2 WAR

Paul Skenes did not make his MLB debut until May 11, but there is little question he has been baseball's most impressive rookie.

The No. 1 overall pick in last year's draft, he had nine quality starts in his first 11 outings, and he closed out the first half with seven no-hit innings and 11 strikeouts on the road against the NL Central leading Milwaukee Brewers.

The 22-year-old is averaging 99.1 mph with his fastball, and he has limited opposing hitters to a .202/.251/.319 line with 48 hits in 66.1 innings. After getting the starting nod in the All-Star Game, the NL Rookie of the Year Award is his to lose heading into the second half and he could emerge as a serious threat in the Cy Young race.

   

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