In the NFL offseason, most fans have a highly optimistic perspective of their teams. They will tell you that their squad is Super Bowl-ready or the media is sleeping on an underrated playoff squad.

As we get closer to the start of training camps, let's take a dose of reality.

One team has to finish last in its division, and it could be your club.

After scouring depth charts, practice reports from the spring and schedules, we projected which team will finish last in each division.

In each slide below, we provided an explanation for why these clubs are more likely to get a top-10 draft pick in 2025 rather than a playoff spot in 2024.

Our updated win-loss projections closely resemble predictions from May, with slight alterations to a few team records.

AFC East: New England Patriots

Miami Dolphins: 11-6

New York Jets: 10-7

Buffalo Bills: 9-8

New England Patriots: 4-13

In the AFC East, there's a Grand Canyon-like gap between the New England Patriots and the other three teams.

The Patriots are the only club in the division without a surefire starter at quarterback. New England is also the only squad in the AFC East that went through significant changes within its coaching staff.

First and foremost, in the first year of the post-Bill Belichick era, New England must build a new culture.

This summer, the Patriots have to sort out a quarterback battle between ninth-year veteran Jacoby Brissett and rookie first-rounder Drake Maye.

The Patriots won't surprise everyone like the Houston Texans did last year with a first-time head coach and rookie signal-caller.

According to The Athletic's Chad Graff, New England knows that Maye is a raw prospect who needs to refine his game before he starts under center.

"Even before the Pats drafted Maye, coach Jerod Mayo acknowledged that while they were enamored by how high Maye's ceiling was, they wondered how low his floor is. Essentially, they recognized that Maye, who was the second youngest quarterback drafted at 21 years old, is a bit raw. So if they need to wait to start Maye, they're perfectly content to enter the season with Brissett at quarterback."

We have seen Brissett lead offenses with five different teams. He's a serviceable veteran quarterback, but don't expect him to elevate an offense to new heights.

The Patriots could have a bright future with Maye and a couple of young wide receivers, Ja'Lynn Polk and Javon Baker, but they're not ready to compete with their rivals who have established quarterbacks and playoff aspirations.

AFC North: Cleveland Browns

Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6

Baltimore Ravens: 10-7

Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-8

Cleveland Browns: 8-9

Though the Cleveland Browns made the playoffs last year, how can any objective pundit confidently pick them to make the postseason in back-to-back years with a quarterback who's struggled on the field and with injuries?

Since the Browns acquired Deshaun Watson from the Houston Texans, he's thrown for 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions in 12 games.

In 2022, Watson served an 11-game suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy, stemming from sexual assault and misconduct allegations, and he missed 11 outings because of injuries last year.

By the way, Watson is still recovering from shoulder surgery, though ESPN's Daniel Oyefusi spotted him throwing during spring practices.

Watson hasn't shown many signs of the Pro Bowl-caliber player who led the Texans to the playoffs in 2018 and 2019. In his absence last season, Cleveland made the postseason on the strength of Joe Flacco's arm.

With Watson under center, Cleveland has operated a run-heavy offense, which leads to another subject of concern.

The Browns haven't given a timetable for running back Nick Chubb's return.

Chubb tore his ACL in Week 2 of the previous campaign. Though he's working out in hopes of a speedy comeback, the Browns could be careful with his workload.

With Chubb on the mend, the Browns may have to rely heavily on Watson to play like the Texans version of himself in the upcoming season, which may be troublesome for this offense.

Yes, Watson has wideouts Amari Cooper, Jerry Jeudy and Elijah Moore, but he's completed just 59.8 percent of his passes in two seasons with the Browns.

When you bundle Watson's inefficiencies with Chubb's questionable status and three offensive tackles coming off season-ending injuries, anyone could understand why Cleveland could take a step back in 2024.

AFC South: Tennessee Titans

Houston Texans: 12-5

Indianapolis Colts: 9-8

Jacksonville Jaguars: 8-9

Tennessee Titans: 5-12

The Tennessee Titans are a team with several unknowns, which makes it hard to believe they will be much better than last year despite their splashy offseason acquisitions.

The Titans have a first-time head coach and offensive play-caller, Brian Callahan, a new full-time starting quarterback, Will Levis, and a first-time defensive play-caller, Dennard Wilson.

The Titans could be the biggest surprise in the NFL with inexperienced individuals in key roles, but they will probably experience the expected growing pains as they foster a new identity under Callahan's staff.

Tennessee has a roster that can stack up with the most talented teams across the league.

The Titans have a solid trio of wide receivers: DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd. Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears could be an electric two-man duo out of the backfield.

With the addition of center Lloyd Cushenberry III and rookie first-rounder JC Latham, Tennessee could have one of the most improved offensive lines, assuming second-year guard Peter Skoronski takes another step in his development.

The Titans acquired cornerback L'Jarius Sneed, who's coming off arguably his best season with the Kansas City Chiefs.

But the Titans cannot win games on paper. Tennessee's unproven coach-quarterback tandem should give you enough reason to question whether this club can make a leap out of last place in the AFC South.

Keep in mind that Levis mostly struggled after a sparkling debut performance against the Atlanta Falcons and before he dealt with injuries late in the previous season. Now, he has to learn a new system with multiple additions to his supporting cast.

AFC West: Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs: 11-6

Los Angeles Chargers: 9-8

Las Vegas Raiders: 8-9

Denver Broncos: 6-11

While some may argue that the Las Vegas Raiders have the worst quarterback situation in the AFC West, with 2023 fourth-rounder Aidan O'Connell battling Gardner Minshew for the starting job, they at least have a top-10 scoring defense from the previous campaign.

The Denver Broncos have a quarterback competition as well. Rookie first-rounder Bo Nix, sixth-year journeyman Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson, who flamed out with the New York Jets, will battle through the summer for the starting job.

On top of that, Denver has to find solutions to its defensive issues.

Last season, the Broncos finished in the bottom six in points and yards allowed. They were also 29th in pressure rate.

This offseason, Denver cut one of its most productive defenders, two-time Pro Bowler Justin Simmons, who led the club in interceptions (three) and finished second on the team in pass breakups (eight) for the 2023 term.

The Broncos signed safety Brandon Jones to replace Simmons, but he won't provide the same leadership as the team's former captain.

In head coach Sean Payton's second term with the Broncos, the club seems to be in rebuild mode, while the Los Angeles Chargers—who finished fourth in the AFC West last year—upgraded over former head coach Brandon Staley, hiring Jim Harbaugh.

The Broncos haven't beaten the Raiders since 2019. If that streak continues into 2024, it could be the deciding factor in which team finishes last in the division.

NFC East: New York Giants

Philadelphia Eagles: 12-5

Dallas Cowboys: 8-9

Washington Commanders: 7-10

New York Giants: 4-13

How will the New York Giants score points in 2024?

This offseason, the Giants allowed running back Saquon Barkley to walk in free agency, and he signed with the Philadelphia Eagles. Big Blue inked a deal with Devin Singletary to replace him.

Singletary hasn't rushed for 900 yards or racked up 1,100 scrimmage yards in a single season. Barkley eclipsed both of those marks in 2022 (a Pro Bowl year) and in 2023.

Perhaps quarterback Daniel Jones will take on a bigger responsibility in carrying the offense with his arm in the upcoming campaign, but he hasn't shown that he's capable of doing that for long stretches, which may eventually frustrate first-round rookie wideout Malik Nabers.

Over his last 47 outings, Jones has thrown for 38 touchdowns and 28 interceptions. He's also missed multiple games in four out of his five seasons, sitting out 11 contests because of a neck injury and a torn ACL last year.

Moreover, without tight end Darren Waller (retired) as a mismatch nightmare downfield, Nabers won't have a teammate who can command as much, if not more, attention than him in coverage.

Big Blue will need to muddy up games with its defense, which will be led by a star-studded front line featuring Brian Burns, Kayvon Thibodeaux, and Dexter Lawrence II.

But unless the Giants plan to win several games by holding their opponents under 20 points, they will be the basement-dwelling team in the NFC East.

Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has the upside to immediately help push the Washington Commanders in the right direction as they leapfrog Big Blue in the standings.

NFC North: Minnesota Vikings

Detroit Lions: 13-4

Green Bay Packers: 10-7

Chicago Bears: 10-7

Minnesota Vikings: 8-9

Unlike some of the other teams projected to finish last, the Minnesota Vikings won't fall to the bottom of the overall standings with one of the league's worst records, though they're in a division that could be the most improved between 2023 and 2024.

The Detroit Lions have improved dramatically every year under head coach Dan Campbell, and they're coming off an appearance in the NFC Championship Game.

In 2023, the Green Bay Packers clinched a playoff berth and won a postseason game. They have also likely found their franchise quarterback in Jordan Love, who made notable strides in his first year as a full-time starter.

The Chicago Bears selected Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick, and he's going into an ideal situation.

Williams has a high-end receiver trio with Keenan Allen, DJ Moore and rookie first-rounder Rome Odunze. He also has an offensive line that's mostly intact from last year.

Post-Thanksgiving last year, the Bears fielded one of the league's stingiest defenses with Montez Sweat coming over from the Washington Commanders before the trade deadline.

Meanwhile, the Vikings lost quarterback Kirk Cousins in free agency and signed Sam Darnold, who has had issues with turnovers in his six seasons.

Rookie first-rounder J.J. McCarthy may not be ready to take the reins under center after serving as more of a game manager than a playmaker at Michigan over the last two years.

Head coach and offensive play-caller Kevin O'Connell may be able to get the best out of Darnold as he did with Cousins. Darnold will make plays with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson on the receiving end.

However, the Vikings will likely have to live with Darnold's stretch of erratic plays, which may hurt them in several close games.

NFC South: Carolina Panthers

Atlanta Falcons: 9-8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8-9

New Orleans Saints: 7-10

Carolina Panthers: 3-14

The NFC South has been one of the weakest divisions in recent years. The team that sinks to the bottom of this division clearly needs a lot of work to become a contender.

The Carolina Panthers fit that description. They have a first-time head coach, Dave Canales, and second-year quarterback Bryce Young will look to bounce back from a lackluster rookie campaign.

Besides those factors, Canales told reporters that he wants to make a strong commitment to the run game, but his rookie second-round running back, Jonathon Brooks, is recovering from a torn ACL.

Carolina could feed running backs Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders on the ground, but they both averaged less than 3.9 yards per carry last season.

If the Panthers don't see an improvement up front in their offensive line, Young could lead the league in sacks taken for consecutive terms, and Canales will struggle to establish the run game.

Carolina has two new guards, Damien Lewis and Robert Hunt. The team needs left tackle Ikem Ekwonu to play up to first-round expectations. Center Austin Corbett is recovering from a season-ending knee injury.

The Panthers may need a full year to stamp their identity and use it to string together win streaks.

NFC West: Arizona Cardinals

San Francisco 49ers: 11-6

Los Angeles Rams: 9-8

Seattle Seahawks: 7-10

Arizona Cardinals: 6-11

In the NFC West, the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams are a step ahead of the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals.

The Seahawks and Cardinals have reset their roster or coaching staff over the previous two years, but Arizona will fall to last in the NFC West because of its defense.

The Seahawks have a lot more talent on the defensive side of the ball, with four starters—Leonard Williams, Julian Love, Devon Witherspoon, and Riq Woolen—who have at least one Pro Bowl on their resumes. They also selected defensive tackle Byron Murphy II in the first round of this year's draft.

Seattle head coach Mike Macdonald, who fielded a top-nine scoring and total defense with the Baltimore Ravens in 2022 and 2023, can take pressure off his developing offense by limiting the opponent's scoring opportunities.

Kyler Murray may not have that same luxury.

The Cardinals should have an electric quarterback-receiver tandem with Murray throwing passes to rookie first-rounder Marvin Harrison Jr. Trey McBride could continue to develop into one of the league's best pass-catching tight ends.

Arizona will win games with its offense.

On the other hand, the Cardinals lack the defensive playmakers to slow down opponents, which may force them into way too many scoring shootouts in 2024.

Arizona signed free agents Bilal Nichols and Justin Jones and drafted Darius Robinson in the first round to patch up its run defense, which gave up the most yards last year. The trio may need time to jell, though.

Zaven Collins is still working his way into a new role as he transitions from inside linebacker to outside linebacker.

In a revamped cornerback unit, rookie second-rounder Max Melton may have some ups and downs as a starter opposite Sean Murphy-Bunting, who's in his first year with the team.

Arizona could pick up steam in the second half of the season, but that may not be enough to stay out of last place in a competitive division.

Maurice Moton covers the NFL for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on Twitter @MoeMoton.