There is still a lot of baseball to be played between now and the start of the 2024 MLB postseason on October 1, and 12 playoff spots are still technically up for grabs as no one has officially clinched a berth quite yet.
Entering play on Monday, there are still 17 teams—eight American League and nine National League—that have at least a 10 percent chance of making the postseason, according to the latest odds from FanGraphs.
For five of those teams, a disappointing end to the 2024 season awaits, while the rest will make up this year's playoff field.
Ahead is an updated look at where all 30 teams stand with less than two months to go until the playoffs are underway.
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Nos. 30-22: Season's Over, Bring on 2025
30. Chicago White Sox (28-91)
29. Miami Marlins (44-75)
28. Colorado Rockies (44-75)
27. Toronto Blue Jays (54-64)
26. Oakland Athletics (50-69)
25. Los Angeles Angels (52-66)
24. Texas Rangers (55-63)
23. Washington Nationals (54-65)
22. Detroit Tigers (56-63)
The White Sox finally won a game on Tuesday, snapping a staggering 21-game losing streak in the process, but that didn't stop them from cleaning house when they fired manager Pedro Grifol and several members of the coaching staff. Three-time All-Star Grady Sizemore was named interim manager.
The Rockies (2-1 vs. Braves), Blue Jays (2-1 vs. Orioles), Angels (2-1 at Yankees) and Tigers (2-1 at Mariners) each stole a series from a contending team, and they will look to continue playing spoiler the rest of the way.
Despite opting against being full-blown sellers at the trade deadline, the Rangers now appear to be cooked after suffering series losses to the Astros and Yankees last week. That dropped them to 4-11 in their last 15 games, and they enter play on Monday facing a 10-game deficit in the AL wild-card standings and with a 2.0 percent chance of reaching the postseason, according to FanGraphs.
Nos. 21-16: Still Alive, Work to Do
21. Pittsburgh Pirates (56-61)
20. Cincinnati Reds (57-61)
19. Chicago Cubs (59-60)
18. Tampa Bay Rays (59-58)
17. St. Louis Cardinals (60-58)
16. San Francisco Giants (61-59)
The Cubs (8-2) and Giants (8-2) both appear to have made the right decision by more or less standing pat at the trade deadline, as they have been playing extremely well since July 30 and are both still very much alive in the wild-card race.
On the flip side, the Rays (3-6) are fading fast during that same stretch after a significant roster retooling, and they face a tough week when they welcome the Astros and Diamondbacks to town.
The Pirates were swept by the Padres and Dodgers last week, dealing a significant blow to their hopes of sneaking into the wild-card picture or at least securing a winning record. How many more losses before they shut down Paul Skenes and chalk up 2024 as a promising step forward?
Sticking in the NL Central, the Cardinals and Reds will go head-to-head for three games in Cincinnati to kick off the upcoming week. And after dropping two of three to the Brewers over the weekend, the Reds are in serious danger of slipping to the "season's over" tier of teams.
Nos. 15-11: The Playoff Hopefuls
15. Atlanta Braves (61-56)
Previous Rank: 8
Last Week: 0-3 vs. MIL, 1-2 @ COL
The Braves are 3-7 in August with a minus-25 run differential and fresh off a series loss to the middling Rockies at Coors Field, and they enter the week clinging to a half-game lead over the Mets for the third wild-card spot. Offensive production has been sorely lacking, with Ronald Acuña Jr., Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II all watching from the sidelines.
14. New York Mets (61-57)
Previous Rank: 11
Last Week: 1-0 @ STL, 2-1 @ COL, 0-3 @ SEA
The Mets scored one run in three games against the Mariners over the weekend, squandering a golden opportunity to overtake the slumping Braves in the NL East standings and in the wild-card race. Home series against the Athletics and Marlins this week should give them a chance to make a push up the standings,
13. Boston Red Sox (61-55)
Previous Rank: 12
Last Week: 2-1 @ KC, 0-3 vs. HOU
The Red Sox pitching staff has served up an MLB-worst 6.21 ERA since the All-Star break, and it's becoming increasingly difficult to see how they would avoid a quick exit from the postseason if they do manage to punch their ticket. They will play 24 of their final 46 games against AL East rivals, including a four-game series on the road against the Orioles this coming weekend.
12. Seattle Mariners (63-56)
Previous Rank: 14
Last Week: 1-2 vs. DET, 3-0 vs. NYM
The Mariners have the 22nd-most difficult remaining schedule, according to Tankathon, and they enter the week in a virtual tie atop the AL West standings. They also welcomed back center fielder Julio Rodríguez from the injured list on Sunday, while shortstop J.P. Crawford has started playing catch as he works his way back from a fractured pinky finger.
11. Houston Astros (62-55)
Previous Rank: 16
Last Week: 2-1 @ TEX, 3-0 @ BOS
Less than two months ago on June 18, the Astros faced a 10-game deficit in the AL West standings. Since that point, they have gone 29-15 overall to storm back into the division race and put themselves on the doorstep of an eighth straight playoff appearance. Rookie Spencer Arrighetti has tossed three straight quality starts, including a career-high 13-strikeout performance against the Red Sox on Saturday.
Nos. 10-9
10. Minnesota Twins (65-52)
Previous Rank: 13
Last Week: 1-2 @ CHC, 2-2 vs. CLE
Is there a pitcher who is more underrated in baseball right now than Bailey Ober? The right-hander has rattled off nine straight quality starts, posting a 1.76 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 61.1 innings during that span while emerging as a legitimate frontline option in the Minnesota rotation. The Twins' next 16 games are all against teams fighting for their postseason life as they take on the Royals, Rangers, Padres, Cardinals and Braves.
9. Kansas City Royals (65-53)
Previous Rank: 6
Last Week: 1-2 vs. BOS, 1-1 vs. STL
It looked like the wheels were falling off for the Royals when they went 12-15 with a minus-22 run differential in June, but they have rebounded nicely from that rough patch and are on track for their first playoff appearance since they won the World Series in 2015. However, they have the second-toughest remaining schedule, according to Tankathon, with just 10 of their final 44 games against teams with a losing record.
Nos. 8-7
8. Milwaukee Brewers (67-50)
Previous Rank: 9
Last Week: 3-0 @ ATL, 2-1 vs. CIN
The Brewers have opened up a 7.5-game lead in the NL Central standings and now have the best run differential of any NL team at plus-106, trailing only the Yankees (+117) among all teams. Unheralded starters Colin Rea (7.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 9 K) and Tobias Myers (7.1 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 9 K) each tossed a gem last week as they strengthened their case for a spot in the potential playoff rotation.
7. San Diego Padres (66-53)
Previous Rank: 7
Last Week: 3-0 @ PIT, 2-1 @ MIA
The Padres were 50-50 through their first 100 games, but seven straight series wins since that point have them on the doorstep of being a lock for the postseason field. Ace Joe Musgrove is expected to be activated from the 60-day injured list for Monday's start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, while deadline pickup Martín Pérez has logged back-to-back quality starts to begin his time in San Diego.
Nos. 6-5
6. Arizona Diamondbacks (66-53)
Previous Rank: 10
Last Week: 3-0 @ CLE, 3-1 vs. PHI
The D-backs are 17-5 with a plus-51 run differential since the All-Star break, and they took down two of the top teams last week to push their way into baseball's upper echelon of contenders. Ketel Marte faces an uphill battle chasing down Shohei Ohtani in the NL MVP race, but the second baseman is hitting .299/.370/.563 with 30 home runs and 81 RBI and at least belongs in the conversation.
5. Los Angeles Dodgers (69-49)
Previous Rank: 4
Last Week: 1-2 vs. PHI, 3-0 vs. PIT
The Dodgers are expected to welcome Mookie Betts and Walker Buehler back from the injured list this week, and they have already announced that the former will be returning to right field for the remainder of the year. That means some combination of Gavin Lux, Miguel Rojas, Amed Rosario and Nick Ahmed will continue to hold down the fort at the two middle infield spots.
Nos. 4-3
4. Cleveland Guardians (69-49)
Previous Rank: 3
Last Week: 0-3 @ ARI, 2-2 @ MIN
The Guardians snapped a season-high, seven-game losing streak on Saturday and managed to split their four-game series in Minnesota. However, they have gone from a comfortable six-game cushion in the AL Central standings to a 3.5-game lead. They also have the seventh-toughest remaining schedule, according to Tankathon, and the offense has gone cold with three or fewer runs scored in five of their last six games.
3. Philadelphia Phillies (69-49)
Previous Rank: 5
Last Week: 2-1 @ LAD, 1-3 @ ARI
Zack Wheeler is one of the best active pitchers to never win a Cy Young, and he is building a strong case to finally take home the hardware with a 2.66 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 57 strikeouts in 50.2 innings over his last eight starts. With the Braves and Mets both stumbling, the Phillies now have a 7.5-game advantage in the NL East race even after dropping three of four to the red-hot Diamondbacks.
Nos. 2-1
2. New York Yankees (70-49)
Previous Rank: 2
Last Week: 1-2 vs. LAA, 2-1 vs. TEX
The Yankees are 10-4 in their last 14 games, and with 12 of their next 15 against the White Sox, Tigers, Rockies and Nationals, they should be able to keep things rolling into the final days of August. Catcher Austin Wells is hitting .338/.427/.515 with seven extra-base hits and 13 RBI in 19 games since the All-Star break, and he has given the offense a nice in-house boost alongside the addition of Jazz Chisholm Jr. at the deadline.
1. Baltimore Orioles (70-49)
Previous Rank: 1
Last Week: 1-2 @ TOR, 2-1 @ TB
The Orioles hold onto the No. 1 spot for the time being, but with the top eight teams in these rankings separated by four or fewer games in the win column, there could be a ton of shuffling at the top in the coming weeks. In three starts since joining the O's ahead of the trade deadline, Zach Eflin has gone 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 17 strikeouts in 19.1 innings.
Complete Rankings
Complete Rankings
1. Baltimore Orioles
2. New York Yankees
3. Philadelphia Phillies (+2 spots)
4. Cleveland Guardians (-1 spot)
5. Los Angeles Dodgers (-1 spot)
6. Arizona Diamondbacks (+4 spots)
7. San Diego Padres
8. Milwaukee Brewers (+1 spot)
9. Kansas City Royals (-3 spots)
10. Minnesota Twins (+3 spots)
11. Houston Astros (+5 spots)
12. Seattle Mariners (+2 spots)
13. Boston Red Sox (-1 spot)
14. New York Mets (-3 spots)
15. Atlanta Braves (-7 spots)
16. San Francisco Giants (+3 spots)
17. St. Louis Cardinals (-2 spots)
18. Tampa Bay Rays (-1 spot)
19. Chicago Cubs (+2 spots)
20. Cincinnati Reds
21. Pittsburgh Pirates (-3 spots)
22. Detroit Tigers (+3 spots)
23. Washington Nationals
24. Texas Rangers (-2 spots)
25. Los Angeles Angels (-1 spot)
26. Oakland Athletics (+1 spot)
27. Toronto Blue Jays (-1 spot)
28. Colorado Rockies
29. Miami Marlins
30. Chicago White Sox
AL Award Rankings
AL MVP
1. Aaron Judge, NYY
2. Bobby Witt Jr., KC
3. Juan Soto, NYY
4. Gunnar Henderson, BAL
5. Rafael Devers, BOS
6. José Ramírez, CLE
7. Jarren Duran, BOS
8. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., TOR
9. Yordan Alvarez, HOU
10. Steven Kwan, CLE
AL Cy Young
1. Tarik Skubal, DET
2. Corbin Burnes, BAL
3. Seth Lugo, KC
4. Logan Gilbert, SEA
5. Cole Ragans, KC
AL Rookie of the Year
1. Luis Gil, NYY
2. Colton Cowser, BAL
3. Hunter Gaddis, CLE
*Note: Until decisive information is released to the contrary, I'm working under the assumption that Oakland Athletics closer Mason Miller exceeded rookie eligibility limits in 2023 since his status is listed as such on his Baseball Reference page.
NL Award Rankings
NL MVP
1. Shohei Ohtani, LAD
2. Ketel Marte, ARI
3. Marcell Ozuna, ATL
4. Bryce Harper, PHI
5. Jurickson Profar, SD
6. Francisco Lindor, NYM
7. Freddie Freeman, LAD
8. Elly De La Cruz, CIN
9. Bryan Reynolds, PIT
10. Matt Chapman, SF
NL Cy Young
1. Zack Wheeler, PHI
2. Chris Sale, ATL
3. Dylan Cease, SD
4. Paul Skenes, PIT
5. Hunter Greene, CIN
NL Rookie of the Year
1. Paul Skenes, PIT
2. Jackson Merrill, SD
3. Shōta Imanaga, CHC
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