Donovan Clingan, left, and Stephon Castle. Jamie Squire/Getty Images

2024 NBA Mock Draft: 1st-Round Predictions from Latest Rumors

Zach Buckley

Decision time is creeping closer for the Atlanta Hawks—and for all the other teams slated to select behind them at this month's 2024 NBA draft.

The NCAA's early-entry withdrawal deadline is done, the workout cycle is ongoing and the draft world is buzzing with new information about potential plans and picks.

We'll lean on some of this latest intel to build out a trade-free mock version of how all 30 picks of the opening round could play out.

1. Atlanta Hawks: Alex Sarr, PF/C, Perth Wildcats

Kamil Krzaczynski/NBAE via Getty Images

So, this actually goes against predictions in the latest mocks from B/R's Jonathan Wasserman and ESPN's combo of Jonathan Givony and Jeremy Woo, all of whom put Zaccharie Risacher in the top spot. And maybe that winds up being the direction Atlanta ultimately goes.

Still, Alex Sarr's unique blend of size, fluidity, defensive versatility and offensive potential, arguably, give him the highest ceiling in this class. And when there isn't a clear-cut prospect at the top of the class, swinging for the most upside feels like the best move, even if it's unclear where the franchise is headed.

If Sarr's shot-making develops, he could be a star. At worst, he's an all-purpose stopper with the handles and vision to make plays on the move. At best, he's a perennial All-Defensive candidate with range, creation and a knockout-powered scoring punch.

2. Washington Wizards: Zaccharie Risacher, SG/SF, JL Bourg-en-Bresse

Aurelien Meunier/Getty Images

While this draft feels devoid of certainties, the closest anything comes to a sure thing is this: Zaccharie Risacher won't be waiting long to hear his name called.

Risacher fits the proverbial—and highly coveted—big-wing archetype and boasts a drool-worthy mix of shot-making, transition scoring and ball-handling, not to mention potentially impactful defensive tools.

NBA teams have clearly taken note of all of this based on the latest buzz.

"Every team in the top five has significant interest in Risacher, and it is looking highly unlikely, barring a major surprise, that he'll drop out of the top two," Givony wrote.

Given where the Wizards are with their post-Bradley Beal rebuild—effectively starting from scratch—they only need to consult a two-player big board for this pick.

The best-player-available route is clearly the option to take here, and a lot of arrows point toward Risacher being that player—provided he isn't snatched up at No. 1.

3. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Reed Sheppard, PG/SG, Kentucky

Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Trade talks have swirled around this pick from the moment it went to Space City, and that could easily continue up to the draft on June 26-27.

If Houston holds onto it, though, then it makes sense to target shooting here, especially if the Rockets have big plans for last year's No. 4 pick, Amen Thompson, who went a dismal 8-of-58 from distance during an otherwise eventful rookie season.

Reed Sheppard is more than a shooting specialist—the eye-opening hops he showed at the combine were the latest evidence of that—but Houston would be first and foremost drawn to his fireball. During his one-and-one run with the Wildcats, he launched 144 perimeter shots and converted them at a ridiculous 52.1 percent clip.

4. San Antonio Spurs: Stephon Castle, PG/SG, UConn

Jeff Haynes/NBAE via Getty Images

With Victor Wembanyama already on a superstar trajectory, the Spurs could get awfully aggressive with upgrading their roster around him. That means one or both of their top-10 picks could be in play on the trade market.

And if either or both are moved, it's probably happening in a deal for a playmaker, since that's an obvious area of need and a position in which the right player could make life much easier on San Antonio's centerpiece.

If the Spurs stay in this spot, they could wind up deciding between Stephon Castle and Nikola Topić.

Castle's offensive potential might be the harder to pin down—his three-ball needs a lot of work—but his two-way versatility could make him an easier fit with however San Antonio shapes its roster going forward.

It's also worth noting the Spurs have "demonstrated strong interest in Castle," according to Woo.

5. Detroit Pistons: Matas Buzelis, SF, G League Ignite

Jeff Bottari/NBAE via Getty Images

With the Pistons struggling to gain traction on their rebuilding project and having zero luck at the lottery, some have argued they should trade this pick. But after shaking up things behind the scenes—Trajan Langdon in, Troy Weaver out—that feels too dramatic for this new-look front office.

Instead, Detroit's new decision-makers can try their luck at squeezing more out of this roster, and Matas Buzelis should help with that.

His ceiling is tricky to set without knowing how (or if) his shooting will develop, but he's a big forward with the instincts and athleticism to fit with almost anyone.

6. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Clingan, C, UConn

Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

If Donovan Clingan somehow makes it out of the top five, as he does in this mock, the Hornets' phone lines might be blowing up with trade offers.

And they could certainly give those some thought, as Woo noted they are "said to be high on the long-term future of Mark Williams."

Saying that, the presence of Williams shouldn't stop Charlotte from taking Clingan if he is the top remaining prospect in its eyes. He's an interior-only big man who was just limited to 19 games by injuries. The Hornets probably shouldn't be factoring him into any big-picture decisions.

Clingan's elite defensive potential and shooting prowess shown on the workout circuit could give him a higher ceiling in the long run.

7. Portland Trail Blazers: Dalton Knecht, SG/SF, Tennessee

Mike Mulholland/Getty Images

Coming off a campaign in which they lost 61 games, the Blazers could aim for more upside with someone like Ron Holland or Tidjane Salaun. Then again, they might feel like they're covered on the potential front by Scoot Henderson and Shaedon Sharpe.

Plus, they have sort of indicated a desire to put capable contributors around them by retaining veterans such as Jerami Grant, Malcolm Brogdon and Deandre Ayton.

If the aim is to put the young players—Henderson, in particular—in a position to succeed, then adding an older bucket-getter such as Dalton Knecht might be the move.

The 6'6" scorer is skilled, polished and super-productive. His lone season in the SEC (he transferred to Tennessee from Northern Colorado) yielded 21.7 points per game and a 45.8/39.7/77.2 shooting slash.

8. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Nikola Topić, PG, KK Crvena Zvezda

Emrah Yorulmaz/Anadolu via Getty Images

If this is how the board breaks—and if San Antonio doesn't trade for an impact point guard—the Spurs absolutely could double down on playmakers with their two lottery picks.

Provided no alarms are raised with Nikola Topić's medicals (he suffered multiple knee injuries this season), his ability to lead an attack and create offense should be firmly on the franchise's radar.

Although his game can be a bit stiff, he is nimble and crafty with his movements. If his jumper trends up, he'll be an offensive asset.

9. Memphis Grizzlies: Cody Williams, SF/PF, Colorado

Jacek Boczarski/Anadolu via Getty Images

It feels like the Grizzlies have been hunting for an impact two-way wing since their grit-and-grind days, and maybe Cody Williams can be the one who finally scratches that itch.

This might be a hair on the earlier side of his mock-draft range, but Wasserman reported Williams "has been trending in NBA conversations after his workouts and pro day" and could "go earlier than expected."

Williams' frame needs to fill out, and his jumper underwhelms, but he could be a Swiss Army knife stopper who can finish in transition and make plays (and smart reads) on the move.

10. Utah Jazz: Ron Holland, SF, G League Ignite

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The Jazz could try finding a more polished prospect who can help Lauri Markkanen right away, but a quick scan of their situation shows a nagging need for upside.

Utah has been a lottery participant in back-to-back years. This talent base requires an expansion.

It makes sense, then, for the Jazz to end Ron Holland's skid here. His game needs buffing in most aspects, but they should be willing to play it patient with a prospect who was once regarded as the best in this class.

He is a turbo-charged athlete with good size, defensive versatility and heat-up-in-a-hurry shot-making.

11. Chicago Bulls: Tidjane Salaun, PF, Cholet

Selecting Tidjane Salaun might elicit two rounds of cheers from Bulls fans.

One would be for the prospect himself, as the 18-year-old is a 6'9" shot-maker with the athleticism and motor needed to fully tap into his physical tools.

The other would be for making a future-focused decision from a front office that has far too often prioritized a mediocre-at-best present.

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Rob Dillingham, PG, Kentucky

Michael Chang/Getty Images

Admittedly, the Thunder probably aren't heading into the draft with hopes of snatching up a 6'1", 164-pound guard. Still, the great front offices will pounce on a favorable situation when they can, and Rob Dillingham falling to No. 12 would qualify.

Wasserman reported the 19-year-old has "fans" in this draft, "and even teams like the Washington Wizards at No. 2 and San Antonio Spurs will give him a look."

But if Dillingham's lack of size scares off those would-be suitors, Oklahoma City might be glad to snatch up a spark-plug scorer who shows the kind of creativity this club sometimes struggled to find from players not named Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

13. Sacramento Kings: Devin Carter, PG/SG, Providence

Sarah Stier/Getty Images

A number of factors could steer Sacramento toward Devin Carter, including Malik Monk's impending free agency and the dwindling hopes that a Davion Mitchell breakout remains in the works.

If the Kings want a backcourt boost, Carter could provide it. His 2023-24 stats were stellar—19.7 points, 8.7 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2.8 combined steals and blocks—and his combine testing was, arguably, even better.

"A big winner from athletic testing, Devin Carter set an NBA combine record in the sprint, tied for the highest max vertical and finished third in lane agility time," Wasserman wrote. "He also measured a near 6'9" wingspan, huge and key for a guard who could be considered undersized at the 2."

14. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors): Ja'Kobe Walter, SG/SF, Baylor

Justin Ford/Getty Images

If this mock actually played out in real life, you might hear audible groans emanating from the Pacific Northwest with the prior selections of Ron Holland and Tidjane Salaun. Because if the Blazers play it safe with Dalton Knecht earlier in the lottery, this is a perfect spot to chase potential.

Ja'Kobe Walter is an electric, 19-year-old shot-maker with the footwork to catch and fire on the move and the handles to free himself in spurts. He isn't a defensive stopper at the moment, but he could become one with the right amount of development.

15. Miami Heat: Kel'el Ware, C, Indiana

David Berding/Getty Images

The idea of Miami adding another big man to pair with Bam Adebayo up front has long been intriguing, but only if it didn't somehow spoil this offense's limited spacing.

Enter Kel'el Ware. The 7-footer does everything around the basket that teams want from a traditional big, but there are also hints he'll be a serviceable-at-worst stretch center.

To be clear, though, his shooting outlook is not at all a certainty. While he converted 42.5 percent from distance this season, he also shot just 63.4 percent from the foul line.

16. Philadelphia 76ers: Jared McCain, PG, Duke

Patrick Smith/Getty Images

While Philly's hopes of building basketball's next Big Three could send this selection elsewhere, it also might help the budget if it can add a cost-controlled contributor here.

And if Jared McCain makes it this far, the Sixers can check that box without sacrificing upside.

The 6'3" scoring guard seems capable of perking up an NBA bench offense right now. His three-ball runs fiery hot, and he's an off-the-dribble shooting threat from anywhere on the floor. He is also a clever ball-handler and pick-and-roll creator who can create clean looks for his teammates.

17. Los Angeles Lakers: Tristan da Silva, SF/PF, Colorado

Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

This pick could be up for grabs on the trade market, but if the Lakers keep it, they'll want someone who can play right away.

LeBron James turns 40 in December. No team hears the tick of the clock louder than this one.

There aren't a lot of rookies-to-be who can step into a hopeful contender's rotation on opening night, but Tristan da Silva might be among the exceptions.

The 23-year-old has three-and-D skills and the know-how and willingness to play a role.

18. Orlando Magic: Johnny Furphy, SG/SF, Kansas

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Johnny Furphy felt like a candidate to stay at Kansas given his wiry-thin 189-pound frame and the defensive challenges it will present until he fills out.

Still, it isn't a shock that teams would be intrigued enough by his blend of size and shooting to justify entering the draft.

Orlando will surely give him a close look and serious consideration given its near-dearth of shooting. The Magic finished this season 30th in made threes, 29th in attempts and 24th in percentage.

19. Toronto Raptors (via Pacers): Kyshawn George, SG/SF, Miami

Samuel Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

While Kyshawn George isn't the best athlete in this draft, he's still a quick riser. Literally.

As Givony relayed, the 20-year-old has grown nine inches in the past five years, which might explain how he can now function as a jumbo-sized playmaker at 6'8" and 205 pounds.

What might interest the Raptors most, though, is his outside shot and potential ability to spread the floor around Scottie Barnes.

George launched 130 long-range looks during his lone season at Miami and buried 53 of them for a 40.8 percent connection rate.

20. Cleveland Cavaliers: Isaiah Collier, PG, USC

Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

While there could be a changing of the guard in Cleveland, the Cavaliers might have interest in Isaiah Collier regardless what happens with Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland.

This is a deep discount from where Collier resided earlier in this draft process, which reflects some of his struggles at USC (67.3 percent foul shooting, 3.3 turnovers in 30 minutes per night) but perhaps takes things too far.

He's still a physical, creative guard who can dime his teammates on the move or finish his drives at the basket.

21. New Orleans Pelicans (via Bucks): Yves Missi, C, Baylor

Stacy Revere/Getty Images

The Pelicans could be busy on a lot of fronts this summer as they continue molding their roster around Zion Williamson.

Beyond potentially picking up a playmaker and perhaps trading Brandon Ingram, New Orleans might seek out a new center to replace free agent Jonas Valančiūnas.

Yves Missi would be an intriguing option. While he doesn't have the spacing you'd want from the ideal Williamson running mate, he should be an early contributor as a rim-runner who adds both paint protection and enough fluidity to defend pick-and-rolls.

22. Phoenix Suns: Kyle Filipowski, PF/C, Duke

Lance King/Getty Images

While it's far from guaranteed, the Suns really need this pick to deliver a plug-and-play producer for their wildly top-heavy team. Kyle Filipowski feels like one of the safer selections on the board.

He probably doesn't have the physical tools to reach stardom, but he could expand Phoenix's offensive menu with shooting, post creation and finishing while offering more mobility on defense than Suns' incumbent starting center Jusuf Nurkić.

23. Milwaukee Bucks (via Pelicans): Tyler Smith, PF, G League Ignite

Cooper Neill/NBAE via Getty Images

The Bucks will always look for ways to maximize their spacing as long as Giannis Antetokounmpo resides in the Badger State.

Tyler Smith would not only bring another shot-maker to Milwaukee, but he'd also do so as a 6'9" forward with a 7'1" wingspan.

He may never become more than a role player, but given the Bucks' challenges of finding consistency from their support pieces—and limited means of acquiring them as an over-the-apron big-spender—they'd be thrilled to turn this pick into a reliable shooter with plenty of defensive tools.

24. New York Knicks (via Mavericks): Terrence Shannon Jr., SG/SF, Illinois

Jamie Schwaberow/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Terrence Shannon Jr. feels almost impossible to mock given his legal situation.

It's possible more information could come from a June 10 court date that was set after a May 10 hearing for first-degree felony rape and felony sexual aggravated battery charges, but who knows what kind of picture teams will have of him come draft night.

In strict basketball terms, he offers a little of everything, including athleticism, quick-strike scoring and defensive potential.

25. New York Knicks: Zach Edey, C, Purdue

Kamil Krzaczynski/NBAE via Getty Images

The Knicks don't have an opening at center right now, but that could change here shortly.

Both Isaiah Hartenstein and Precious Achiuwa are ticketed for free agency, and if the Knicks make a significant commitment to even one—a new contract for Hartenstein could get pricey—they may have to get off of Mitchell Robinson and his eight-figure salary.

If New York winds up with a hole in the middle, drafting Zach Edey would be a fascinating way to fill it. He's nearly 7'4" in socks with an almost 7'11" wingspan, and he is super-skilled around the basket as a post scorer, rebounder and rim protector.

26. Washington Wizards (via Clippers): Pacome Dadiet, SF/PF, Ratiopharm Ulm

Harry Langer/DeFodi Images via Getty Images

If upside isn't the word of the day inside Washington's draft room, the Wizards are doing it wrong. This is the infancy of their rebuild, so they need to make the biggest swings possible until they start forming the outline of a foundation.

The draft arrives before Pacome Dadiet's 19th birthday, which highlights how much room the French swingman has to grow.

The Ringer's Kevin O'Connor wrote that Dadiet has "raw go-to scoring upside," while Wasserman cited his "shooting versatility, play-finishing and brief on-ball flashes."

There's a lot to like here, particularly for a franchise as patient as this one should be.

27. Minnesota Timberwolves: Kevin McCullar Jr., SG/SF, Kansas

Jamie Squire/Getty Images

The Timberwolves just won 56 games and made the Western Conference Finals with two of their top-four rotation players being under the age of 24: Anthony Edwards (22) and Jaden McDaniels (23).

Barring any dramatic deals this summer, they have every reason to believe they'll be right back in the championship chase next season.

They'll want an early contributor in that case, and Kevin McCullar Jr. should be that, so long as the late-season injuries he suffered at Kansas don't linger.

His three-ball is a question mark, but that might be the only mystery beyond his medicals.

28. Denver Nuggets: DaRon Holmes II, C, Dayton

Chris Gardner/Getty Images

Can the Nuggets get Nikola Jokić a legitimate backup? Sure they can—if this is how the draft board breaks.

DaRon Holmes II isn't huge (6'9", 236 lbs), but he plays big as a shot-blocker and rebounder while also adding shot-making on the offensive end.

Woo reported he "recently canceled several workouts, raising strong suspicions that he has secured a guarantee in the back part of the first round."

29. Utah Jazz (via Thunder): Bobi Klintman, SF/PF, Cairns Taipans

Kamil Krzaczynski/NBAE via Getty Images

The Jazz could play it safer here, but why?

The West could be as loaded as ever next season, and the 51 losses Utah just suffered suggest this club is nowhere near escaping this conference.

So, the Jazz could go upside again and see whether Bobi Klintman can become the coveted big-wing (6'9") who stretches the defense, scores in the open court and defends all over.

30. Boston Celtics: Carlton Carrington, PG/SG, Pittsburgh

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Boston might boast basketball's best roster, which frees the front office to go virtually any direction here.

The Celtics could place a little emphasis on finding a center, but given how this mock played out, grabbing one of the remaining bigs here would feel like a reach.

So, the Shamrocks may look to jolt their backup backcourt with Carlton Carrington, who might be the kind of combo guard who wears the label not because of a poor fit, but rather due to the potential ability to handle both scoring and playmaking duties.

   

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