Between grading prospects, ranking them and mock drafts, sometimes it feels like the only job an NFL draft analyst has is making projections. But since the draft is over and the next one isn't for 50 weeks, surely that will change soon, right? Wrong.

Now that we know where the rookies are headed, it's time to project their impact in year one.

The ideal situation is what the Houston Texans had last year as both of their first-round picks not only became starters but also made major impacts as C.J. Stroud and Will Anderson Jr. won the Rookie of the Year awards for their respective sides of the ball.

However, not every Day 1 selection will catch on as quickly, and that's OK as some players need time to develop.

Here, we'll go through each first-round pick from this year's draft and dive into their situation with their new clubs to make some projections on how much of an impact they will make.

Picks 1-4

Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears

Caleb Williams is currently the betting favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year on DraftKings Sportsbook and for good reason. Not only is he an extremely talented quarterback, but he's also walking into what could be the best situation a No. 1 overall pick has had in recent years.

After trading for wide receivers DJ Moore and Keenan Allen in the last two offseasons, the Bears have two wideouts who combined for over 2,600 yards and 15 touchdowns last season. That plus another top-10 pick in Rome Odunze and a productive tight end in Cole Kmet gives Williams plenty of options to throw to.

Also, Chicago's offensive line is strong when healthy, so expecting Williams to take home some hardware at the end of the year might be lofty, but it's not unreasonable.

Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders

Especially after being a five-year starter in college, Jayden Daniels should have no problem beating out Marcus Mariota as the Commanders' Week 1 starting quarterback by the end of training camp, if not sooner.

That's the first way he'll make an immediate impact, and the team's supporting cast should help the Heisman Trophy winner hit the ground running.

Despite Washington's unstable quarterback situation in the past, Terry McLaurin has logged four consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns to be the young signal-caller's go-to target. Also, Austin Ekeler provides a good check-down option as well as supplementing the team's rushing attack with Brian Robinson Jr.

Plus, the front office added some new interior offensive linemen in Tyler Biadasz and Nick Allegretti. So, while Daniels may not be the favorite to be this year's OROY, there's a good chance he ends up being a finalist.

Drake Maye, New England Patriots

This might be a situation where Drake Maye is better off sitting for the majority of his rookie season.

The Patriots have several question marks on the offensive line, including who is starting at left tackle; third-round pick Caedan Wallace or Vederian Lowe who has eight career starts. Also, the team's receiving corps is rather lackluster and unproven outside of Hunter Henry.

So, rather than throwing a 22-year-old into the fire with bad protection and not many options to throw to, it might be best for Maye to ride the bench to begin his NFL career. Obviously, that would make his impact pretty low in year one.

Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals

There is little to no reason why Marvin Harrison Jr. can't be the Cardinals' No. 1 wide receiver right away. He's one of the highest-graded prospects since B/R's scouting department was formed three years ago and was widely considered the best wideout to enter the draft since Calvin Johnson Jr.

The Ohio State product will have a good quarterback throwing him the ball as Kyler Murray enters this season fully healthy after finishing the 2023 campaign strong.

While NFL awards almost always favor quarterbacks, Harrison could put up some numbers to crash the party and take home the OROY trophy.

Picks 5-8

Joe Alt, Los Angeles Chargers

While Joe Alt specifically won't win anyone a fantasy football championship, he will help improve the Chargers' offense as a whole.

Trey Pipkins III hasn't been a bad player for the Bolts by any means, but he did surrender nine sacks and posted a run-blocking grade of 50.3 last season, per Pro Football Focus.

Alt is undoubtedly an upgrade in both phases of the game, which gives Los Angeles two highly talented offensive tackles between him and Rashawn Slater to bookend the team's offensive line. Those are a couple of good weapons in Jim Harbaugh's ground-and-pound system.

Malik Nabers, New York Giants

Much like Marvin Harrison Jr. in Arizona, there's no reason why Malik Nabers can't immediately become the No. 1 receiver in New York. He's ultra-talented, and the rest of the team's receiving corps are more complementary pieces such as Jalin Hyatt and Wan'Dale Robinson.

That should lead to plenty of targets for the LSU product, and the Giants addressed their pass protection/offensive line issues in free agency to give him time to win down the field. However, the G-Men do have a big question mark at quarterback with Daniel Jones coming off of a torn ACL, which may end up dampening Nabers' first-year impact.

JC Latham, Tennessee Titans

The Titans desperately needed help at offensive tackle heading into the draft, so JC Latham will walk in as a day-one starter. But he will be switching from the right side of the line to the left, and he hasn't protected the blind side since high school.

That could cause the Alabama product to stumble out of the gate, and it might take him a while to get comfortable at the new position. Granted, having a great offensive line coach in Bill Callahan will help.

Michael Penix Jr., Atlanta Falcons

To be blunt, if Michael Penix Jr. gets significant playing time for the Falcons this season, something went wrong. That's not meant to be a dig at him, it's just that the front office signed Kirk Cousins in the offseason to be the team's starting quarterback.

So, it's hard to imagine the rookie will see the field much this fall unless something bad happens to the veteran.

Picks 9-12

Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears

Heading into the season, Caleb Williams and Rome Odunze project to form one of the best rookie-to-rookie duos in the NFL. It's not often that two top-10 picks get to play with and complement each other.

However, what could lessen the Washington product's impact in year one is that the Bears have a lot of mouths to feed offensively. DJ Moore, Keenan Allen and Cole Kmet will likely account for a good amount of targets, and Chicago has a deep backfield with D'Andre Swift, Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson.

So, Odunze might have an underwhelming stat line this fall and take a year to put up some eye-popping numbers.

J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings

At this juncture, it's difficult to predict how much of an impact J.J. McCarthy will have this season. While he's more talented than Sam Darnold, the 21-year-old could also benefit from sitting and learning before getting thrown into the fire.

That might lead to a slower start for the 10th overall pick, but he will have a good supporting cast once he hits the field with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson and the Vikings' offensive line.

Olumuyiwa Fashanu, New York Jets

While the Jets got a great offensive tackle for the future in Olumuyiwa Fashanu, ideally, he won't play much as a rookie. New York's front office also signed Tyron Smith and Morgan Moses to bookend the team's offensive line.

Those two are in their 30s and have battled injuries lately, so the rookie could get some playing time this season but will be more of a swing tackle or backup option rather than a starter.

Bo Nix, Denver Broncos

Bo Nix enters a decent situation in Denver where he should be able to win the starting job over Zach Wilson or Jarrett Stidham in training camp. Also, the Oregon product is a good fit in Sean Payton's offense and will have a familiar face to throw to in college teammate and top target over the last two years, Troy Franklin.

However, the Broncos' supporting cast isn't great and the team's top returning receiver, Courtland Sutton, has been the subject of trade rumors this offseason. Also, they have a big question mark at center after losing Lloyd Cushenberry III in free agency.

All of that could lead to some early struggles for a rookie quarterback.

Picks 13-16

Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders

While Michael Mayer might be the "starting" tight end in Las Vegas this fall, Brock Bowers should still get plenty of playing time to make an impact. The former Bulldog will serve as the team's third target behind wideouts Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers and is a dynamic weapon that can be used in several different ways.

However, the big variable in this equation is the Raiders' quarterback situation. Aidan O'Connell and Gardner Minshew II are set to enter a training camp battle, but neither inspires much confidence heading into the campaign. That would be the biggest reason Bowers' impact as a rookie doesn't meet expectations.

Taliese Fuaga, Oregon State

While Taliese Fuaga is a devastating run-blocker, his B/R scouting report highlights a few issues in pass protection on the edge and projects him as more of a guard.

However, the Saints are hoping the first-round pick can replace Trevor Penning, who also struggled to keep the quarterback clean, at left tackle.

Between switching positions and projecting better on the inside, the Oregon State product might stumble out of the gates this season.

Laiatu Latu, Indianapolis Colts

The Colts already had a good collection of pass-rushers before the draft as Samson Ebukam, Kwity Paye, Dayo Odeyingbo and Tyquan Lewis accounted for 30 sacks last season. Also, they recently picked up Paye's fifth-year option, signaling that he'll remain a starter and should have a big role moving forward.

That could limit how much playing time Laiatu Latu gets as a rookie. He'll likely be more of a third-down rusher with Ebukam holding down the other starting spot.

Granted, the UCLA product should draw plenty of one-on-one blocks to make an impact as a pass-rusher, especially with DeForest Buckner on the inside to go along with the four players listed above.

Byron Murphy II, Seattle Seahawks

With Dre'Mont Jones being a bit of a disappointment last season and ending up playing more on the edge than inside, Byron Murphy II could easily earn a starting spot in Seattle as a rookie. He has plenty of potential to make an impact on all three downs and has a strong supporting cast to put up some impressive numbers.

Leonard Williams and Uchenna Nwosu should draw opposing offenses' attention to give the Texas product plenty of one-on-one opportunities next fall. Also, Boye Mafe is coming off a strong campaign to give the first-round pick even more support in the trenches.

Picks 17-20

Dallas Turner, Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings needed some pass-rush help heading into the draft, especially with the team's sack leader Danielle Hunter leaving in free agency. So, Dallas Turner will certainly be able to make an impact on third downs this season.

However, Minnesota did sign Andrew Van Ginkel and Jonathan Greenard in the spring, meaning it might be a year or two before the Alabama product becomes an every-down contributor.

Amarius Mims, Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius Mims comes into the NFL without much starting experience in college after playing behind future pros his first two years at Georgia and suffering an injury in the middle of last season. He has plenty of tools to be a good player at the next level but is considered more of a project, which will lessen his impact as a rookie.

Also, the Bengals are returning Orlando Brown Jr. at left tackle and signed Trent Brown on the right side, so it's even more likely that the former Bulldog will spend most of this season on the bench.

Trent Brown is only on a one-year deal, though, paving the way for Mims to crack the starting lineup in 2025.

Jared Verse, Los Angeles Rams

Heading into the draft, finding pass-rushers to help replace the production Aaron Donald left behind was one of the Rams' biggest needs. That's a big reason why general manager Les Snead spent the team's first-round pick on Jared Verse as he has several moves he can win with at the next level.

Also, Los Angeles has a young but talented defensive line with Kobie Turner, Byron Young and fellow former Seminole Braden Fiske to help Verse draw some one-on-one blocks this season.

The Florida State product is more than just a rusher as he was the most well-rounded edge defender in the draft class, meaning he can make an impact against the run, too. So, don't be surprised if the No. 19 overall pick is in the running for the Defensive Rookie of the Year Award.

Troy Fautanu, Pittsburgh Steelers

Offensive tackle has been a need for the Steelers over the last several drafts, and the front office finally found a solution at left tackle in Troy Fautanu.

The Washington product should be able to beat out Dan Moore Jr. for the starting job and will be an upgrade, especially since Moore surrendered eight sacks in 2024, per Pro Football Focus.

Picks 21-24

Chop Robinson, Miami Dolphins

Chop Robinson's immediate impact will largely depend on how quickly Bradley Chubb (torn ACL) and Jaelan Phillips (torn Achilles) can get back on the field after their late-season injuries. If both or even just one of them is ready to go for Week 1, then the Penn State product will likely just be a third-down rusher.

He has some work to do as a run defender, and the Dolphins signed Shaquil Barrett this offseason as a veteran insurance policy in case Chubb or Phillips aren't 100 percent to begin the campaign.

Quinyon Mitchell, Philadelphia Eagles

After a down year from James Bradberry, the Eagles needed to add some talent at cornerback in the offseason. Hence why general manager Howie Roseman used a first-round pick on Quinyon Mitchell, who has excellent ball skills to fill Bradberry's role on the defense.

The Toledo product has a good chance to win the starting job in training camp and make a significant impact as a rookie. However, in addition to the veteran, he'll have to fight off second-rounder Cooper DeJean for playing time.

In other words, it's hard to pin down how significant Mitchell's role will be this fall.

Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars

There is a wide spectrum of outcomes for Brian Thomas Jr.'s first NFL season as he could become the Jaguars' No. 1 to No. 3 receiver this fall.

Jacksonville needed some talent out wide after losing Calvin Ridley in free agency, but the front office brought in Gabe Davis to help mitigate the loss. Also, Christian Kirk has proved to be a valuable target over the last few years.

That being said, Davis was a boom-or-bust type of player in Buffalo, and Kirk is more of a slot receiver whose size has prevented him from being a go-to target. So, there's a chance the LSU product ends up being Trevor Lawrence's primary option in year one.

Terrion Arnold, Detroit Lions

Not only is Terrion Arnold excellent in coverage but he's also a physical run defender who doesn't take any plays off. That's what makes him a great fit with head coach Dan Campbell and his collection of knee-biters.

Cornerback was one of the Lions' weaknesses last year and their biggest area of need during the offseason. That should allow the No. 24 overall pick to earn a starting job by the end of training camp, and he could easily become the team's top player at the position by the end of the year.

Picks 25-28

Jordan Morgan, Green Bay Packers

With David Bakhtiari officially out of the mix, the Packers are doing some reshuffling along the offensive line this season. The team's brass thinks Zach Tom is a "potential Hall of Fame center," per ESPN's Rob Demovsky on Wilde & Tausch, suggesting he will slide inside from the right tackle spot he held down in 2023.

That likely means Rasheed Walker, who filled in for Bakhtiari at left tackle last season, will flip sides of the line and Jordan Morgan will protect Jordan Love's blindside. Even if Walker stays put, moving Tom means Green Bay will have at least one first-string tackle spot open for the rookie.

However, B/R's scouting department did project Morgan to be a better guard than tackle at the next level, so he might struggle in pass protection this fall.

Graham Barton, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

From a team-needs standpoint, this is a great fit as the Buccaneers have needed help at center over the last few years with Ryan Jensen's injuries.

However, it's been four years since Graham Barton has seen game action at center, having played the position as a true freshman at Duke before switching to left tackle in his sophomore season.

So, possessing some experience playing the position should help him transition to the next level, but how quickly the former Blue Devil can make the switch will play a factor in his year-one impact.

Darius Robinson, Arizona Cardinals

Darius Robinson's best position in the NFL is a bit of a question mark as he fits into the tweener category, lacking some athleticism to line up on the edge and being a little undersized for the interior.

That being said, he landed in a good spot with the Cardinals as the team could use a lot of help on the defensive line.

The Missouri product can easily earn a starting spot over L.J. Collier and is a better pass-rusher from interior alignments than exterior. Granted, if the rookie starts having success early on, Arizona's lack of talent in the trenches could mean he starts drawing more double teams, which would negatively affect his stat line.

Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs

A lot was made about the Chiefs' lack of talent at wide receiver last season as that was the primary reason why their offense wasn't as explosive as it has been in the past. While Rashee Rice broke out toward the end of the campaign, he has struggled to stay out of trouble this offseason and will likely face some discipline from the NFL.

Kansas City did bring in Hollywood Brown in free agency, but he is coming off a couple of down years in Arizona. Meanwhile, Xavier Worthy has world-class speed and likely reminds Andy Reid of what he had in Tyreek Hill.

Don't be surprised if the Texas product becomes the Chiefs' top wide receiver and second target behind Travis Kelce in year one.

Picks 29-32

Tyler Guyton, Dallas Cowboys

After Tyron Smith struggled to stay healthy over the last several years and left in free agency, the Cowboys were widely expected to target a left tackle in the draft. That, plus keeping All-Pro guard Tyler Smith on the interior are the main reasons why Jerry Jones and company used the 29th overall selection on Tyler Guyton.

However, the Oklahoma product was primarily a right tackle in college and, according to his B/R scouting report, "will need to be brought along slowly". Between switching positions and being more of a project, he might stumble out of the gates as a rookie.

Nate Wiggins, Baltimore Ravens

Marlon Humphrey has battled injuries over the last several years, missing 12 regular-season games in the last three seasons. That's been an issue because not only have the Ravens been forced to play without their top cornerback, but also the defense doesn't have much talent at the position behind the three-time Pro Bowler.

Nate Wiggins should have no issues earning a starting spot by the end of training camp this summer. He also has elite speed to avoid getting beat deep and good ball skills to immediately become the No. 2 corner in Baltimore and potentially take over Humphrey's role down the line.

Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers

Between Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk and Christian McCaffery, it might be tough for Ricky Pearsall to make a significant impact this fall as those four will likely draw the lion's share of targets from Brock Purdy. Also, Kyle Shanahan's offense is notoriously difficult for rookie wide receivers to pick up because it has a complicated route tree.

Granted, Aiyuk has been the subject of trade rumors this spring and San Francisco would get over $14 million of cap relief by dealing him this summer, per Over The Cap. If that happens, the former Gator's target share will increase. But, don't expect him to post eye-popping numbers in year one until it does.

Xavier Leggette, Carolina Panthers

On the other end of the spectrum, Carolina desperately needed to get Bryce Young some weapons this offseason. So, Xavier Leggette could see plenty of passes come his way to make a significant impact as a rookie.

However, the South Carolina product was overdrafted as he ranked 71st overall on B/R's final big board. So, he may not be as productive as the Panthers are hoping, and the front office did trade for Dionte Johnson to serve as the team's No. 1 receiver while Adam Thielen is next in line as the quarterback's second option.