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2024 NBA Mock Draft: Lottery Simulation and Full 2-Round Predictions

Jonathan Wasserman

While the NBA lottery odds are set, the pingpong balls rarely give teams their projected order.

Bleacher Report used Tankathon to simulate this week's mock draft order. It resulted in the Washington Wizards landing the No. 1 pick and the Houston Rockets making the biggest jump into the top four.

That jump forces the Toronto Raptors to fall outside the top six and give up their protected pick to the San Antonio Spurs, who end up with two top-10 selections in this update.

April 27 was the deadline for prospects to declare for the draft, so anyone who hasn't already will be returning to college or choosing an alternate pro pathway.

NCAA prospects still have until May 29 to withdraw from the draft and return to college.

*Some analysis in this article was previously published in last week's 2024 NBA Mock Draft.

1. Washington Wizards: Alex Sarr

Paul Kane/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 1

Team: Perth Wildcats

Position: PF/C

Size: 7'1", 216 lbs

Age/Year: 19

Nationality: French

Pro Comparison: Jaren Jackson Jr.

The Washington Wizards' rebuild started at the bottom floor last draft. But it is still in the beginning stage where only selecting the best player available should matter, whether they win the lottery or fall outside the top five.

Alex Sarr may check both boxes for top talent and best fit with the Wizards. While the main draw to the 7'1" Frenchman revolves around his switchable defense and shot-blocking, the ability to handle in the open floor, shoot with range and knock down pull-ups and fallaways separates him from other rim protectors.

The Wizards wouldn't have to worry about any positional logjam affecting prospects' development. Sarr would plug right in as the starting center and give the roster a second two-way cornerstone after Bilal Coulibaly to start fresh.

*Check out our full Alexandre Sarr 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Profile.

2. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Topić

Seskim Photo/MB Media/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 5

Team: KK Crvena Zvezda

Position: PG

Size: 6'6", 198 lbs

Age/Year: 18

Nationality: Serbian

Pro Comparison: Goran Dragić

After missing the last three months, Nikola Topić looked good in his return to Red Star, scoring eight points in under 16 minutes and generating a handful of assist opportunities.

More than anything else, the San Antonio Spurs will value his ability to create shots for teammates with his dribble manipulation, vision and advantageous 6'6" size for passing. The Spurs also don't have a ball-handler who puts pressure on defenses and the rim like Topić. And it was promising to see him hit both of his three-point attempts in his first game back.

While his outside percentages have been underwhelming, he shows confidence and command stepping into jumpers, and his free-throw numbers have always been near or over 80.0 percent.

Unless the Spurs question the translatability of his scoring or see more upside in a 6'8" shotmaker like Zaccharie Risacher, Topić's production/comfort level overseas and his fit with Victor Wembanyama could give him an edge with San Antonio.

3. Detroit Pistons: Zaccharie Risacher

Aurelien Meunier/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 4

Team: JL Bourg-en-Bresse

Position: SG/SF

Size: 6'8", 204 lbs

Age/Year: 19

Nationality: French

Pro Comparison: Harrison Barnes

While Zaccharie Risacher will qualify as a best-player-available candidate at No. 3, he'd also plug an obvious hole on Detroit's wing with off-ball shotmaking.

He'd fit nicely with the Pistons, playing alongside superior ball-handlers in Cade Cunningham and Jaden Ivey in the same spot-up-heavy role he plays now for JL Bourg. Aside from excelling in transition, he thrives as a catch-and-shoot scorer and straight-line slasher.

The Pistons could also start Ausar Thompson and let Risacher experiment with more second-unit on-ball reps to improve his creation skill/confidence.

*Check out our full Zaccharie Risacher 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Profile.

4. Houston Rockets (via Nets): Reed Sheppard

Justin K. Aller/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 4

Team: Kentucky

Position: PG/SG

Size: 6'3", 187 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Kirk Hinrich

A year after drafting a pair of A+ athletes in Amen Thompson and Cam Whitmore, the Houston Rockets may be drawn to Reed Sheppard's 51.4 catch-and-shoot percentage.

He also hit 52.1 percent of his pull-ups and 9-of-15 floaters while averaging 6.2 assists per 40 minutes sharing the ball with Rob Dillingham and DJ Wagner. Sheppard has some hidden/untapped self-creation and playmaking ability that could show in Houston's second unit.

Regardless, his floor-spacing would be an ideal fit alongside Thompson, who could also allow the 6'3" Sheppard to defend smaller guards.

*Check out our full Reed Sheppard 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Profile.

5. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Clingan

Jamie Schwaberow/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 9

Team: Connecticut

Position: C

Size: 7'2", 280 lbs

Age/Year: 20, Sophomore

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Rudy Gobert

The Charlotte Hornets' defense ranked No. 29 in the NBA, which has likely already led to plenty of front-office chatter about Donovan Clingan.

While Rob Dillingham's creativity may look enticing, he doesn't have the potential to help strengthen or change the team's identity like Clingan can with his 7'2", 280-pound size and rim protection.

And he should still add value offensively as another easy-basket target who'll earn Charlotte second-chance points.

*Check out our full Donovan Clingan 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Profile.

6. Portland Trail Blazers: Stephon Castle

Set Number: X00004 TK1

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 5

Team: Connecticut

Position: SG

Size: 6'6", 215 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Anthony Black

The Portland Trail Blazers will be in a tricky spot at draft time with young guards who need minutes and contractual commitments to forward Jerami Grant and center Deandre Ayton. Roster changes seem needed at some point, so fit shouldn't factor too much into the front office's decision.

A mix of 6'6" size, playmaking, lockdown defense and offensive rebounding represent differentiator skills and traits that make Stephon Castle and his archetype extra compelling.

Even without a jump shot, you could feel his impact in other ways during Connecticut's national title run, when he showcased his passing, tough driving, perimeter defense and knack for being in the right spots at the right times to finish plays.

Improved shooting would unlock upside, though teams could still see a useful Swiss Army knife who won't need to make threes.

*Check out our full Stephon Castle 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Profile.

7. San Antonio Spurs (via Raptors): Rob Dillingham

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Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 2

Team: Kentucky

Position: PG/SG

Size: 6'3", 176 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Darius Garland

The San Antonio Spurs will likely consider Rob Dillingham with their first pick, though Nikola Topić's 6'6" size and superior playmaking could give him an edge for this particular roster.

Shot selection and defensive concerns could allow San Antonio to grab Dillingham with the Toronto Raptors' pick. He would give the Spurs lineup an additional ball-handler who also shot 47.8 percent off the catch, a good sign for his potential to play alongside a more natural point guard.

There isn't a prospect in the draft with a more potent package of creativity and shotmaking. But scouts will be eager to learn his updated measurements, with Kentucky listing him at just 176 pounds.

*Check out our full Rob Dillingham 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Profile.

8. Memphis Grizzlies: Ron Holland

David Becker/NBAE via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 7

Team: G League Ignite

Position: SF

Size: 6'6", 204 lbs

Age/Year: 18

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Cam Whitmore

Ron Holland should find himself in the best-player-available conversation at No. 8, and the Grizzlies could deem him interchangeable with 6'6" size, explosive athleticism and defensive quickness.

At worst, he projects as a high-level energizer who'll provide rim pressure and finishing if nothing else improves. But over the course of the G League season, we saw enough signs of ball-handling and tough shotmaking for scouts to feel optimistic about his ability to develop more offensively in the half court.

*Check out our full Ron Holland 2024 NBA Draft Profile.

9. Utah Jazz: Dalton Knecht

Aaron J. Thornton/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 8

Team: Tennessee

Position: SG/SF

Size: 6'6", 204 lbs

Age/Year: 22, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Wally Szczerbiak

Later in the lottery, teams may start to value certainty over upside. And Dalton Knecht is perceived as one of the surest bets on the board with 6'6" size, elite shotmaking and huge scoring outputs against quality opponents, including 37 points against Purdue, 40 against Kentucky, 39 against Auburn, 31 against South Carolina, 39 against Florida and 37 against North Carolina.

Few players in the draft spent more time running off screens than Knecht. He has a skill and mentality that should create an easy fit and quick transition to the next level.

10. Atlanta Hawks: Matas Buzelis

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Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 10

Team: G League Ignite

Position: SF

Size: 6'8", 209 lbs

Age/Year: 19

Nationality: American/Lithuanian

Pro Comparison: Hedo Türkoğlu

Matas Buzelis' G League reel highlights a coveted mix of big-wing size and scoring versatility from on and off the ball. His physical tools and perimeter skill set create an enticing archetype that could sway teams to reach and remain patient in spite of his inconsistency.

Regarding his shooting, he'll have workouts to convince teams that his high school percentages were better indicators of his potential than his disappointing 27.3 three-point percentage with Ignite.

*Check out our full Matas Buzelis 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Report.

11. Chicago Bulls: Cody Williams

Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 11

Team: Colorado

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'9", 190 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Jaden McDaniels

Cody Williams' off-ball scoring, efficient spot-up shooting and excellent defensive tools suggest he'll fit easily with an established, veteran core. Though not the most skilled offensive weapon or shotmaker, scouts admire his ability to score off teams' gravity, capitalize on spacing as a driver and play within the flow.

He could go closer to top-five if teams see longer-term upside tied to his 6'9" size, ball-screen flashes, three-point range and ability to guard multiple positions.

*Check out our full Cody Williams 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Profile.

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Rockets): Ja'Kobe Walter

Justin Ford/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 19

Team: Baylor

Position: SG/SF

Size: 6'5", 195 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

After struggling during the Big 12 tournament, Ja'Kobe Walter scored 19 and 20 points against Colgate and Clemson, respectively, in the NCAAs. He showed exactly what the scouting report read all season: Catch-and-shoot shotmaking, physical line-driving and limited creativity off the dribble.

In 35 games, he had 75 threes, 145 made free throws and just 50 assists—numbers that clearly reflect his strengths and weaknesses.

Walter figures to interest late-lottery to mid-first-round teams that could use more wing depth and see a three-and-D rotation player.

13. Sacramento Kings: Jared McCain

Jack Dempsey/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 12

Team: Duke

Position: PG/SG

Size: 6'3", 197 lbs

Age/Year: 20, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Immanuel Quickley

North Carolina State's upset win over Duke overshadowed Jared McCain's 32-point game, which was the second time he went for 30-plus in the NCAA tournament.

He's become one of the draft's most convincing shotmakers, and though his size and athletic limitations do raise questions, he's shown plenty of ways to compensate with his crafty ball-handling and pace, shooting versatility, touch shots in the lane and finishing adjustments.

Teams will view McCain as either a scoring combo and secondary playmaker or offensive spark to bring off the bench.

14. Portland Trail Blazers (via Warriors) Kel'el Ware

David Berding/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 18

Team: Indiana

Position: C

Size: 7'0", 242 lbs

Age/Year: 20, Sophomore

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Brook Lopez

It seems like Kel'el Ware can only rise during a pre-draft process that will highlight his outstanding measurements, athleticism and comfort level shooting threes.

Though he struggled during Indiana's finale and loss to Nebraska, he mostly had a strong last two months in terms of scoring and impact.

Narratives that point out empty stats or low-impact production have lost steam. He delivered more consistently in one-on-one situations around the basket while also flashing bonus shotmaking touch and range that create more offensive upside.

15. Miami Heat: Isaiah Collier

Ric Tapia/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 15

Team: USC

Position: PG

Size: 6'5", 210 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Tyreke Evans

The strength of the point guard position in the NBA could cause Isaiah Collier to fall out of the lottery. Teams may be reluctant to draft a backup ball-handler near the top 10, but at some point, he should look like a best player available who's too difficult to pass on.

The combination of strength and shiftiness separates Collier from other playmakers. The question is whether he'll improve his shot and decision-making, and if not, how much will his shooting limitations and turnovers devalue his game.

Even if there isn't a starting spot open for Collier, his creativity and rim pressure should be well suited for a bench-spark role.

*Check out our Full Isaiah Collier 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Report.

16. Philadelphia 76ers: Kyle Filipowski

Lance King/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 14

Team: Duke

Position: PF/C

Size: 7'0", 248 lbs

Age/Year: 20, Sophomore

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Santi Aldama

A strong sophomore season for Kyle Filipowski ended in disappointing fashion in the Elite Eight, with his three-point shot not falling and North Carolina State's physical bigs forcing tougher two-point attempts.

But the biggest scouting takeaway was that he struggled defensively to contain DJ Burns Jr.'s strength and footwork in the post. It served as a reminder that Filipowski should be better suited to play the 4 most nights in the NBA.

Overall, his draft stock remains relatively unchanged after he hit three threes against Houston and totaled eight assists through the tournament's first two rounds. Shooting range, post skill, improved finishing and passing and defensive mobility create versatility that should lock Filipowski into the late-lottery/mid-first-round range.

While he doesn't project as a top option like he was at Duke, he checks the right complementary boxes to make a quick transition to a supporting stretch 4 or 5 role.

*Check out our Full Kyle Filipowski 2024 NBA Draft Scouting Report.

17. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers): Terrence Shannon Jr.

Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 17

Team: Illinois

Position: SG/SF

Size: 6'6", 225 lbs

Age/Year: 23, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Kelly Oubre Jr.

Front offices will debate Terrence Shannon Jr.'s speed, slashing, shotmaking improvement and defensive tools versus age, streaky shooting and a reliance on high usage and athleticism. Their investigation into rape allegations will be the most important part of pre-draft homework.

Illinois recently decided to drop its investigation, citing insufficient evidence. However, a criminal case in Kansas remains open, and Shannon will have an important hearing on May 10.

The results will obviously be critical for his draft stock, as will each team's own findings. Otherwise, his on-court development, which resulted in 23.0 points and 2.4 threes per game, has earned him lottery grades.

18. Orlando Magic: Devin Carter

Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 12

Team: Providence

Position: PG/SG

Size: 6'3", 195 lbs

Age/Year: 22, Junior

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Derrick White

Devin Carter was quick to announce his decision to enter the draft after a breakout year showing significant offensive improvement, a needle-mover for one of the nation's top perimeter defenders.

He closed the year with another outstanding performance, putting up 27 points on 14 shots against Marquette.

Regardless of the scoring outbursts this year, he's going to earn NBA minutes and paychecks off versatility and intangibles. For a 6'3" guard, the 32 blocked shots and 8.7 rebounds per game are telling.

Unteachable defensive intensity, toughness and instincts separate Carter and fuel his identity, though he's entered the lottery conversation by developing into a dangerous shot-maker and crafty pick-and-roll ball-handler.

19. Toronto Raptors (via Pacers): Tyler Smith

Cooper Neill/NBAE via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 20

Team: Ignite

Position: PF

Size: 6'11", 224 lbs

Age: 19

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Channing Frye

There will be a long list of teams trying to get Tyler Smith in for workouts. His production and shooting this year felt unexpected, but it earned scouts' attention, given the obvious appeal to a 6'11" forward who made 58 threes in 43 games.

There are some questions about his defensive upside and whether he'll be a threat to put the ball on the floor. In the mid-to-late first round, though, there should be enough teams interested in just adding a surefire, frontcourt shotmaker and finisher.

20. Cleveland Cavaliers: Tristan da Silva

Ben Solomon/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 16

School/team: Colorado

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'9", 220 lbs

Age/Year: 22, Senior

Nationality: German/Brazilian

Pro comparison: Kyle Kuzma

A strong three-game NCAA tournament (18.0 PPG, 60.0 percent FG) helped Tristan da Silva continue to sell his scoring versatility and IQ for passing and defense.

The lack of explosiveness and physicality brings down his perceived ceiling, but he's too big, skilled and efficient for it to matter outside the lottery.

Regardless of how much his athletic limitations hold him back, teams can bank on his shooting, passing and overall discipline.

21. New Orleans Pelicans (via Bucks): Tidjane Salaun

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 22

Team: Cholet

Position: PF

Size: 6'9", 212 lbs

Age: 18

Nationality: French

Pro comparison: Obi Toppin

Tidjane Salaun continues to trade productive games with off ones, but scouts will surely put more stock into the 18-year-old's production and flashes over the inconsistency.

Despite the hot and cold shooting, he's still scored in double figures in four of his last five games, showing he can attack closeouts and use his mobility and tools for play-finishing off the ball.

Still, it's the shotmaking for a 6'9" forward that's going to earn him top-20 looks. He's now made 68 threes in 48 games while converting 82.7 percent of his free throws.

22. Phoenix Suns: Yves Missi

Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 21

School: Baylor

Position: C

Size: 7'0", 235 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: Cameroon

Pro comparison: Mark Williams

Yves Missi would give the Phoenix Suns a different looks from Jusuf Nurkić with how well he slides laterally and elevates above the rim.

His physical tools, athleticism and archetype are traditionally translatable to rim protection and finishing, though he also flashed some face-up scoring skill as the season went on, attacking his man in space.

23. Milwaukee Bucks (via Pelicans): Zach Edey

Brett Wilhelm/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 23

School/team: Purdue

Position: C

Size: 7'4", 300 lbs

Age: 21, Senior

Nationality: Canadian

Pro comparison: Jonas Valančiūnas

With a 37-point effort in the national championship game, Zach Edey finished Purdue's NCAA tournament run averaging 29.5 points.

It will be interesting to see his updated weight at this year's NBA combine after he came in at 306.4 pounds last May.

He's changed a number of minds regarding his pro outlook and potential to carve out an NBA role, even without adding any modern skills. His combination of 7'4" height and one-handed touch creates a tremendous advantage in the post. And improved mobility has led to increased, quicker defensive court coverage around the key.

As we saw against Connecticut's Donovan Clingan, he could still be predictable playing with his back to the basket. And NBA offenses will have an obvious game plan to put him in ball-screen situations and pull him away from the basket. Connecticut picked up two big second-half baskets against him as he failed to retreat back to the rim to contest the roll man.

Still, Edey should still be able to justify consideration in the teens or 20s for a team that could use more easy baskets, physicality inside and shot-blocking.

24. New York Knicks (via Mavericks): Johnny Furphy

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 24

Team: Kansas

Position: SF

Size: 6'9", 202 lbs

Age/Year: 19, Freshman

Nationality: Australian

Pro Comparison: Cam Johnson

Johnny Furphy has scored an invite to Australia's preliminary national team for the Paris Olympics. He's earned fans this year with a combination of 6'9" size, shooting, play-finishing and intangibles that point to an easy off-ball fit for any lineup.

He may ultimately be more appealing to established, competitive rosters that can afford to wait on his physical development and aren't concerned about upside.

25. New York Knicks: Kevin McCullar Jr.

David Buono/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 25

School/team: Kansas

Position: SG/SF

Size: 6'7", 214 lbs

Age: 23, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Josh Hart

Kansas ruled Kevin McCullar Jr. out for the NCAA tournament before it started, and the conversation heading into pre-draft now revolves around his knee.

The Jayhawks looked like a different team without him, which speaks to his impact and wide-ranging contributions getting Kansas into offense, finishing plays, making shots and defending opponents' top wings.

Scouts buy his versatility and defense for a supporting NBA role, though he'll have to avoid any medical-report concerns.

26. Washington Wizards (via Clippers): Kyshawn George

Samuel Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 26

Team: Miami

Position: SG/SF

Size: 6'8", 205 lbs

Age/Year: 20, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Dalano Banton

The combination of 6'8" size, 40.8 percent three-point shooting, ball-handling and passing skills create an archetype and intrigue that Kyshawn George may ride into the first round.

Zero explosion and a 46.7 two-point percentage does hint at some bust potential. It wouldn't be surprising if he was advised to skip scrimmaging at the combine and continue to sell his fluidity and shot during workouts.

27. Minnesota Timberwolves: Harrison Ingram

C. Morgan Engel/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 27

School/team: North Carolina

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'7", 235 lbs

Age: 21, Junior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Naji Marshall

Harrison Ingram could go in the first round to a team that sees an easy fit with shooting and passing skills for a connector.

Then again, he could also find himself still on the board in the 30s or 40s if teams are concerned about his weight, athleticism and the validity of this year's 38.5 three-point percentage, considering he struggled through two seasons at Stanford and hasn't broke 67.0 percent from the free-throw line.

28. Denver Nuggets: Bobi Klintman

Emily Barker/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 28

Team: Cairns Taipans

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'8", 215 lbs

Age: 21

Nationality: Swedish

Pro Comparison: De'Andre Hunter

Bobi Klintman has started preparing for the draft after an encouraging season in the NBL, showing teams his transition ball-handling, shooting range, athleticism around the rim, some live-dribble passing and strong defensive tools.

While he hasn't established one signature skill, versatility and fit have become selling points for an NBA combo forward.

29. Utah Jazz (via Thunder): Tyler Kolek

Jack Dempsey/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous mock draft spot: No. 29

Team: Marquette

Position: PG

Size: 6'3", 195 lbs

Age/Year: 23, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Jason Preston

Though the scouting report hasn't changed on Tyler Kolek from one season to the next, he made more fans this year with his advanced ball-screen feel and crafty finishes.

He's going to draw interest from teams that could use a second-unit engine capable of creating and setting the table, though his efficient catch-and-shoot stroke figures to also give him an extra scoring method from off the ball.

30. Boston Celtics: DaRon Holmes II

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 30

School/team: Dayton

Position: C

Size: 6'10", 235 lbs

Age: 21, Junior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Trayce Jackson-Davis

DaRon Holmes II enters this pre-draft process with more momentum than he had last year. Improved range, handles/body control attacking the basket and passing have raised his draft stock, and he's coming off a 23-point, 11-rebound, three-assist, four-stock game with a pair of threes against Arizona in the NCAA tournament.

There still seems to be some reluctance from scouts who question his defensive fit and how translatable his shot and face-up game are. But the believers out there do sound high on Holmes, and it's sounding possible that one of them could use a first-round pick to get him.

31. Toronto Raptors (via Pistons): Jaylon Tyson

Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 31

Team: California

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'7", 215 lbs

Age/Year: 21, Junior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Caleb Martin

Jaylon Tyson figures to get looks from teams starting in the mid-to-late first round after a breakout season averaging 19.6 points and 3.5 assists.

A 30.1 percent usage on a 13-19 California team does cast a cloud over his statistical production. But the eye test clearly shows a scorer with NBA traits and skills, including 6'7" size, ball-handling for creation/playmaking and tough shotmaking.

Tyson should be able to help himself by standing out during NBA combine scrimmages.

32. Utah Jazz (via Wizards): Pacome Dadiet

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Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 33

Team: Ratiopharm Ulm

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'8", 210 lbs

Age/Year: 18

Nationality: French

Pro Comparison: Wilson Chandler

Officially entering the draft, Pacome Dadiet could become a popular sleeper or target due to his big-wing archetype, shooting versatility and motor.

Between his age, efficient production in the German League and EuroCup and an adaptable, off-ball game, he seems to have a high floor and a trajectory to hit some upside.

33. Milwaukee Bucks (via Blazers): KJ Simpson

Dylan Buell/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 31

Team: California

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'7", 215 lbs

Age/Year: 21, Junior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Caleb Martin

Jaylon Tyson figures to get looks from teams starting in the mid-to-late first round after a breakout season averaging 19.6 points and 3.5 assists.

A 30.1 percent usage on a 13-19 California team does cast a cloud over his statistical production. But the eye test clearly shows a scorer with NBA traits and skills, including 6'7" size, ball-handling for creation/playmaking and tough shotmaking.

Tyson should be able to help himself by standing out during NBA combine scrimmages.

34. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hornets): Dillon Jones

Tommy Martino/University of Montana/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 34

School/Team: Weber State

Position: SF

Age/Year: 22, Junior

Size: 6'6", 235 lbs

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Tosan Evbuomwan

Dillon Jones should be attending his second NBA combine in May, this time with executives more familiar with his game.

While there is still some debate over his NBA fit, there are bound to be certain teams willing to take a chance on a 6'6" ball-handler whose creation, live-dribble passing, physicality and shotmaking translated to 20.8 points, 9.8 boards, 5.2 assists and 2.0 steals per game.

35. San Antonio Spurs: Carlton Carrington

Greg Fiume/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 35

School/team: Pittsburgh

Position: PG/SG

Size: 6'5", 190 lbs

Age: 18, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Carlton Carrington could generate first-round consideration, but he's not a lock, which will lead to an interesting decision over whether to scrimmage at the NBA combine.

It's easy to see the appeal to a 6'5", 18-year-old guard who averaged 4.1 assists and 2.0 threes and hit 102 pull-up jumpers. There are just questions about his lack of quickness and burst, which limited his rim pressure and led to a red-flag low steal rate.

36. Indiana Pacers (via Raptors): Ryan Dunn

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Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 41

School/team: Virginia

Position: PF

Size: 6'8", 216 lbs

Age/Year: 21, Sophomore

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Matisse Thybulle

It would be a surprise to see Ryan Dunn participating in NBA combine scrimmages. Instead, he figures to let his athletic testing results do the selling. He seems poised to put up near top-of-the-class verticals and quickness/reaction times.

Dunn finished the year with one double-digit scoring game in February and March. But certain teams will be willing to accept his scoring limitations, given his defensive specialist potential and explosiveness for play-finishing.

37. Minnesota Timberwolves (via Grizzlies): Ajay Mitchell

Sam Wasson/Getty Images

Previous mock draft spot: No. 36

School/team: UC Santa Barbara

Position: PG

Size: 6'5", 190 lbs

Age: 21, Junior

Nationality: Belgian

Pro comparison: Andrew Nembhard

Currently viewed as second-round pick by scouts, Ajay Mitchell will have a key opportunity to improve his image against power-conference guards and more mid-major stars during NBA combine scrimmages

His year ended with him scoring over 35 points in two of Santa Barbara's final three games. A weak strength of schedule, record (seventh in the Big West) and his lack of three-point volume work against him. But there will be believers in his scoring translating based on how effectively he uses change of speed to get to spots and touch shots/adjustments around the paint.

Plus, despite taking just 2.9 threes in 31.5 minutes as a third-year college guard, he made them at a solid rate (39.3 percent), burying free throws (85.8 percent) and demonstrating the shotmaking versatility to connect off the catch and dribble.

38. New York Knicks (via Jazz): Jamal Shead

Justin Ford/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 38

School/team: Houston

Position: PG

Size: 6'1", 200 lbs

Age: 21, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Jevon Carter

While a lack of size and questionable shooting will limit Jamal Shead's first-round looks, translatable defense, playmaking and toughness point to a backup point guard role and second-round value.

39. Memphis Grizzlies (via Nets): Ulrich Chomche

Cameron Browne/NBAE via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 37

Team: NBA Africa Academy

Position: C

Size: 6'11", 225 lbs

Age/Year: 18

Nationality: Cameroon

Pro Comparison: Serge Ibaka

Scouts sounded surprised to hear Ulrich Chomche declare so quickly after the Nike Hoop Summit. He had some nice moments in Portland that showcased his athleticism around the rim, vision and shooting potential, but overall he still seemed far away without a bankable offensive skill or much aggression.

The idea of a rim protector with potential range, passing skill and some post touch could be enough for a patient team in the late 20s or 30s. But it seemed fairly obvious that he won't be of much use over the next year or two.

40. Portland Trail Blazers (via Hawks): Adem Bona

David Becker/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 40

School/team: UCLA

Position: C

Size: 6'10", 245 lbs

Age: 21, Sophomore

Nationality: Turkish/Nigerian

Pro comparison: Isaiah Jackson

NBA teams should know what they're getting and what they're not with Adem Bona.

He can bring instant defensive activity/switchability and athletic finishing. And he'll remain a threat in the post with his drop steps into hooks.

Being foul- and turnover-prone will just mean a reduced role, likely one off the bench for the foreseeable future.

41. Philadelphia 76ers (via Bulls): Baylor Scheierman

Mike Mulholland/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 39

School/team: Creighton

Position: SF

Size: 6'7", 205 lbs

Age: 23, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Joe Ingles

Baylor Scheierman went out swinging in Creighton's loss to Tennessee with 25 points off deep shooting and some improvised shotmaking.

He finished the season with 110 three-point makes and a 19.9 assist percentage, numbers that reflect shooting and passing skills, which don't require plus athletic traits.

42. Charlotte Hornets (via Rockets): Alex Karaban

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Previous mock draft spot: No. 42

School/Team: Connecticut

Position: SF

Size: 6'6", 215 lbs

Age/Year: 23, Senior

Nationality: Swedish

Pro comparison: Christian Braun

Alex Karaban's shot didn't fall during the championship game, but he impacted it with some impressive defensive displays of foot speed and instincts.

Still, shotmaking and cutting will be behind the NBA interest in the 21-year-old, who has a fitting off-ball skill set and mentality for a supporting role.

43. Miami Heat: Pelle Larsson

C. Morgan Engel/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 43

School/Team: Arizona

Position: SF

Size: 6'6", 215 lbs

Age/Year: 23, Senior

Nationality: Swedish

Pro comparison: Christian Braun

During Arizona's loss to Clemson, Pelle Larsson had a forgettable offensive performance and some bad defensive lapses late in the game.

The timing was poor, but he had been highly reliable all season, finishing at 42.6 percent from three and 47.2 percent on pull-ups with 3.7 assists and highly efficient pick-and-roll and transition play.

Teams could see a plug-and-play wing with Larsson if this year's improved shooting wasn't fluky.

44. Houston Rockets (via Warriors): Jaxson Robinson

Michael Reaves/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 44

Team: BYU

Position: SF

Size: 6'7", 190 lbs

Age: 21, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Julian Champagnie

Jaxson Robinson's breakout should earn an NBA combine invite after he drilled 81 threes with 6'7" size and a projectable stroke. Though listed as a senior, he's still 21 with a year left of eligibility and his former BYU coach is now at Kentucky.

Robinson should have some interesting options and decisions to make over the next month, but staying in the draft will likely mean someone takes him for shooting in the second round.

45. Sacramento Kings: Cam Christie

Zach Bolinger/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous mock draft spot: No. 45

School/team: Minnesota

Position: SG

Size: 6'6", 190 lbs

Age: 18

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Allen Crabbe

Cam Christie caught scouts' attention this year with his smooth shotmaking and passing flashes for a 6'6", 18-year-old. Other scouts wanted to see more to buy in this early—he rarely got to the rim, and he grades as the draft's worst finisher on lay-up attempts.

Positional size, built-in-shooting and age will buy him time with certain teams, but he'll likely need a strong showing during NBA combine scrimmages to generate legit first-round interest.

46. San Antonio Spurs (via Lakers): PJ Hall

Ben Solomon/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 50

Team: Clemson

Position: PF/C

Size: 6'10", 238 lbs

Age: 22, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Dean Wade

PJ Hall's strengths and weaknesses were evident during Clemson's four NCAA tournament games.

He showed his ability to get shots off in the post by sealing defenders, spinning off them or fading away. He showed confidence in his shooting range, even if the threes weren't falling.

Hall became vulnerable when forced to face up and put the ball down, and despite encouraging form and shotmaking ability, his 31.5 three-point percentage reflects some unreliability.

47. Los Angeles Clippers (via Lakers): Melvin Ajinça

David Grau/Euroleague Basketball via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 47

Team/nationality: Saint-Quentin

Position: SG/SF

Size: 6'7"

Age: 19

Nationality: French

Pro comparison: Evan Fournier

Out with a sternum injury, Melvin Ajinça missed a key opportunity to improve his stock at the Nike Hoop Summit.

An impressive shotmaking resume between FIBA and LNB Pro A (for a 6'7" 19-year-old) should be enough for him to go somewhere in the second round.

48. Orlando Magic: Justin Edwards

Bryan Lynn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 48

School/Team: Kentucky

Position: SF

Size: 6'8", 203 lbs

Age/Year: 20, Freshman

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: James Young

Justin Edwards has ground to make up during the pre-draft process after starting the season viewed as a lottery pick.

He had a promising stretch of shotmaking late in the season, and that shooting potential for an athletic, 6'8" forward should keep teams patient.

However, unless there is a team willing to completely ignore this season and instead buy the high school prospect it saw before Kentucky, he's most likely a second-rounder whose missing a surefire, offensive skill.

49. Indiana Pacers (via Cavaliers): Payton Sandfort

Michael Hickey/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 49

School/team: Iowa

Position: SFpa

Size: 6'7", 215 lbs

Age: 21, Junior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Sam Hauser

Payton Sandfort will look to use NBA combine drills, scrimmages and team workouts to sell teams on his shooting versatility/accuracy and competitiveness.

His stroke could look clean enough to justify a special role, while the right intangibles could give him an extra edge.

50. Washington Wizards (via Suns): Jalen Bridges

Joe Murphy/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 46

School/team: Baylor

Position: SF/PF

Size: 6'9", 225 lbs

Age: 22, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Dorian Finney-Smith

Scouts are starting to mention Jalen Bridges in the second-round sleeper discussion.

After hitting 6-of-10 threes in two NCAA tournament games, he finished the year at 41.2 percent on 5.1 attempts per game.

Even if teams aren't buying the improved self-creation and pull-up flashes, he's developed into an accurate off-ball shotmaker (15-of-27 off screens) with an excellent defensive profile at 6'9", 225 pounds.

51. Indiana Pacers (via Pelicans): Oso Ighodaro

Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 51

Team: Marquette

Position: PF/C

Size: 6'11", 235 lbs

Age/Year: 21, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro Comparison: Brandon Clarke

Oso Ighodaro went out quietly to North Carolina State, playing mostly a background role to Marquette's guards and wings.

His value at the next level will revolve more around his ball-handling and passing from the frontcourt, skills that can give a lineup a different look and Ighodaro advantages against bigs. But he'll also earn minutes with his play-finishing, touch shots and defensive versatility.

52. Golden State Warriors (via Bucks): Tristen Newton

Set Number: X00004 TK1

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 52

School/team: Connecticut

Position: PG

Size: 6'5", 195 lbs

Age: 23, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Terance Mann

Even if there are flaws tied to Tristen Newton's athletic limitations and shooting, his versatility and winning percentage will earn him two-way contract offers.

The Final Four's Most Outstanding Player was Connecticut's engine during its win over Purdue, finishing with 20 points, seven assists, five boards and zero turnovers.

He's ultimately showcased enough shotmaking, passing and tough finishing for teams to take a chance on an older player who might not pass the eye test.

53. Detroit Pistons (via Knicks): Hunter Sallis

G Fiume/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 53

School/team: Wake Forest

Position: SG

Size: 6'5", 185 lbs

Age: 21, Junior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Malaki Branham

Declaring for the draft while maintaining college eligibility, Hunter Sallis will likely try to play himself into the first round during combine scrimmages and workouts.

A breakout season with Wake Forest reignited interest around his three-level scoring. He's viewed more safely as a second-rounder right now due to limited playmaking for a 185-pound guard.

However, improved creation, shotmaking and athleticism also led to 18.0 points per game on an efficient 59.6 percent true shooting.

54. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Coleman Hawkins

Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 54

School/team: Illinois

Position: PF

Size: 6'10", 225 lbs

Age: 22, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Georges Niang

Coleman Hawkins was having a strong NCAA tournament until Illinois ran into Connecticut.

While scouts have their reservations, he has their attention with a shoot-dribble-pass skill set that creates a valuable stretch-playmaking 4 archetype.

55. Los Angeles Lakers (via Clippers): Antonio Reeves

Joe Sargent/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 55

School/Team: Kentucky

Position: SG

Size: 6'6", 195 lbs

Age/Year: 23, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Justin Holiday

Even if Antonio Reeves isn't drafted, he'll be getting calls for two-way contract offers.

Regardless of age, athletic limitations or defense, he's clearly a productive enough scorer and skilled shotmaker for teams to think about him for training camp or their G League affiliate.

56. Denver Nuggets (via Timberwolves): Cam Spencer

Set Number: X00004 TK1

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 56

School/team: Connecticut

Position: SG

Size: 6'4", 205 lbs

Age: 24, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Jeff Hornacek

At 24 years old and with underwhelming physical and athletic traits, Cam Spencer will be earning himself draft looks thanks to consistent, off-screen shooting and ball-screen skills with his pull-up, floater and passing.

His competitiveness and toughness could give him an extra edge in front-office conversations.

57. Memphis Grizzlies (via Thunder): N'Faly Dante

Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: No. 57

School/Team: Oregon

Position: C

Size: 6'11", 265 lbs

Age/Year: 22, Senior

Nationality: Malian

Pro comparison: Daniel Gafford

Through five postseason games between the NCAAs and Pac-12 tournament, N'Faly Dante averaged 22.4 points on 74.6 percent shooting.

Even though he hasn't expanded his range or added any ball-handling skill, he's improved offensively in the paint with his footwork, poise and off-hand. A career 2.8 steal percentage is also extremely rare for a center.

Dante has become a name worth watching heading into the pre-draft process, and more impact two-way play at the combine could further strengthen his chances of being drafted.

58. Dallas Mavericks (via Celtics): Isaac Jones

Tyler Schank/NCAA Photos via Getty Images

Previous Mock Draft Spot: Off the board

School/team: Washington State

Position: PF

Size: 6'9", 245 lbs

Age: 23, Senior

Nationality: American

Pro comparison: Precious Achuiwa

The clear standout at the Portsmouth Invitational, Isaac Jones now seems like a good bet to earn an invite to Elite Camp and the NBA combine next month. He moved differently than most in attendance, looking quicker and bouncier, leading to easy baskets, defensive contests and offensive rebounds.

Though already 23 years old, he continues to make a case for a potential frontcourt energizer and big-wing defender.

   

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