The Golden State Warriors beat the Los Angeles Lakers, 128-121, on Saturday.

And while L.A. lost Anthony Davis to a corneal abrasion after just 12 minutes, the game still felt like a reminder of the Warriors' contending upside.

Slim as their chances are (they're a play-in team after all), hot shooting nights from Stephen Curry or Klay Thompson could fatten those up. The rapid in-season development of Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski could help too.

Those things, and the history and pedigree of a core that's won four championships, makes Golden State arguably the most dangerous of this season's potential play-in participants.

But it's not the only one with the hint of a chance at a possibility to maybe make a deep playoff run. The rest can be found below.

The No-chancers

But first, a look at some of the teams in the mix for which we simply cannot suspend enough disbelief.

To get a mention at all, we're zeroing in on the teams that fall between a specific range of Basketball Reference's Playoff Probabilities Report.

They have to have less than a 60 percent chance to finish in the top six of their conference and more than a 10 percent chance to finish top 10.

That leaves us with the Indiana Pacers, Miami Heat, Philadelphia 76ers, Chicago Bulls, Atlanta Hawks and Brooklyn Nets in the East.

In the West, it's the Sacramento Kings, Dallas Mavericks, Phoenix Suns, Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Lakers and Houston Rockets in that range.

And with all due respect, a deep playoff run (which we'll define, perhaps arbitrarily, as a conference finals appearance) just isn't in the cards for the Pacers (too young), Bulls (too old), Hawks (too Hawks), Nets (probably won't even be in the play-in), Kings (the toughest cut) and Rockets (too young). They're out.

Based on championship pedigree, recent performance and plenty of subjectivity, the rest are ranked from least to most dangerous to win a couple playoff series (and from there, who knows what can happen).

6. Dallas Mavericks

Chance to Win the West: 1.4%

The case for the Mavericks begins and ends with a superstar duo that has already had plenty of absurd playoff moments.

Among players with at least 1,000 career playoff minutes, Luka Dončić is fourth in box plus/minus. He's averaged 32.5 points, 9.3 rebounds, 7.9 assists and 3.5 threes in 28 playoff games. He's already made a conference finals.

And there's a very real possibility he could be the best individual player in any individual series against any opponent. In basketball, when there are only 10 athletes on the floor at a time, having the best player can go a long way.

Kyrie Irving has obviously had his playoff moments too. He's top 60 in the aforementioned career playoff box plus/minus leaderboard. On the way to a title, he averaged 27.1 points, 3.9 assists, 2.1 threes and 2.1 steals in the 2016 NBA Finals.

Either or both getting hot enough to steal four out of seven games doesn't sound outrageous, but the rest of their supporting cast (even after the additions of P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford) just doesn't bring the same upside as some of the others below.

There's an open debate on whether Gafford, rookie Dereck Lively II or recent EuroLeague star Dante Exum is the team's third best player. The dropoff after the top two is going to be tough to overcome.

5. Phoenix Suns

Chance to Win the West: 1.7%

On talent alone, you could argue for having the Phoenix Suns in the top spot in this exercise.

Kevin Durant and Devin Booker have both performed like top-15 players all season (or at least they've been in that range). When those two are on the floor with Bradley Beal, Phoenix is plus-8.4 points per 100 possessions (and scores 126.7 points per 100 possessions).

Grayson Allen (who's averaging 13.2 points and shooting a league-leading 47.6 percent from deep), Jusuf Nurkić (whose rebounding and passing have more than made up for the loss of Deandre Ayton), Eric Gordon (12.0 points with a 38.3 three-point percentage) and Royce O'Neale give that trio an underrated supporting cast too.

But there's a very real concern with durability here.

KD has only missed seven games, but he's 35 and has a robust injury history (including a ruptured Achilles). Devin Booker has missed 14. And Beal has only played in 38. If any one of them goes down for a series during the gauntlet that is the West, things could get rough in a hurry for the Suns.

When any fewer than three members of those of that trio is on the floor, the net rating plummets to plus-1.5.

4. Philadelphia 76ers

Chance to Win the East: 1.8%

This is obviously and entirely about Joel Embiid.

If he's back and 90-95 percent of the player he was prior to the meniscus injury that sidelined him, the 76ers have a shot.

With his volume scoring, ability to get to the free-throw line and rim protection, along with Tyrese Maxey's rise to stardom, Philadelphia has (or at least can have) one of the best duo's in the league.

And this 76ers team has a selfless, versatile supporting cast engineered to space the floor and fill in gaps on both ends around those two.

Of course, health has been an issue for Embiid in multiple postseasons prior to this one. And even if he does return before the playoffs, it's impossible to know how he'll look or where his conditioning will be.

3. Los Angeles Lakers

Chance to Win the West: 0.3%

The Lakers' loss to the Warriors on Saturday may have caused some concern for their fans, but AD's injury clearly impacted that game. Plus, the 9-10 play-in matchup between those two was pretty much locked in before the game.

And a long climb from there to the third round of the postseason, even if the projection systems disagree, is still a possibility.

The Lakers just pulled that off last season (though they did so from the top half of the play-in that time), and LeBron James and Anthony Davis have both been top-10 to -15 players this season.

If those two are healthy (a big if, to be sure), L.A. can get to a ceiling that perhaps every team but the Denver Nuggets can't.

In the last couple months, D'Angelo Russell, Austin Reaves and Rui Hachimura have looked ready for a postseason run too. The outside shooting that all three bring, as well as the creation from Reaves and Russell, can make this an offensive juggernaut.

Age, lack of durability and lack of depth could doom them, but it was easy to count the Lakers out prior to last year's conference finals too.

2. Miami Heat

Chance to Win the West: 0.6%

The Miami Heat are coming off an uninspiring four-game losing streak. And a lot of the same criticisms about health and age leveled at previous teams probably apply here.

But we should know by now that the Jimmy Butler-era Miami Heat are an entirely different team under the playoff lights.

This is Butler's fifth season with Miami, and it made the conference finals in three of the first four. The Heat were in the Finals just last season. They also got there in the bubble.

When the pressure's on, Butler channels some kind of inner Michael Jordan. He becomes automatic from the mid-range. He dominates matchups defensively. He can control possessions like an All-NBA point guard.

He and Bam Adebayo have already carried this organization to three deep playoff runs together, and this year's team might even have a higher ceiling than 2022-23's.

Swapping Terry Rozier in for Kyle Lowry turned the clock back on Miami's point guard minutes. Tyler Herro missed most of last postseason. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played like a veteran for much of his rookie campaign. And Duncan Robinson is having a re-breakout campaign in which his game has expanded well beyond three-point shooting.

Going from the play-in to the Finals feels like a once-in-a-generation event, and the Heat may have already used up that possibility for this generation. But counting this team out is risky.

1. Golden State Warriors

Chance to Win the West: 0.9%

There's a reason Golden State currently finds itself in the bottom half of the West's play-in mix. The chances of the Warriors making it to the conference finals or Finals aren't great.

But there are plenty of justifications for their positioning. A pair of Draymond Green suspensions played a factor (though the second one may have facilitated Jonathan Kuminga's breakout). Klay Thompson getting and adjusting to a bench role took a while. Chris Paul missed plenty of time with an injury. And Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski and Trayce Jackson-Davis weren't playing at the level they're currently at until recently.

Everything has sort of fallen into place over the last couple months, and Golden State will have an identity as long as Stephen Curry is around.

The Warriors fell to five games below .500 when they lost to the Lakers in late January. After beating that same team on Saturday, they're now four games over .500.

And like Luka with the Mavs, Curry is good enough to emerge from any individual series as its best player.