The tippy top of NBA free agency has lacked movement and even genuine flight risks over the past few years. Most marquee names have either re-signed or not reached the open market at all, instead opting for long-term extensions and windfalls over the chance to be wined and dined by prospective suitors.

That might change this summer.

No, this year's free-agency class is neither the starriest nor deepest. But a hefty share of the most notable names expected to be available seem, well, actually available. Among the top 10 players scheduled to hit the open market, roughly half profile as legitimately poachable.

In pretty much every case, the potential for changes in scenery has nothing to do with on-court returns. The players who appear here remain really good, even if they've regressed a tad. Their gettability rating is driven almost entirely by alternative factors.

Certain squads may be ready to start anew. Others might just get pocket shy in the face of punitive luxury-tax forecasts. Nearly every one of these players may prefer the chance to try out new digs and different roles, end up seduced by more aggressive admirers or some combination of both.

Please do not interpret this list as predictive gospel. These cream-of-the-crop free agents aren't guaranteed to suit up elsewhere next year. But they could. And that's the entire point.

Jerami Grant, Portland Trail Blazers

Jerami Grant essentially has a standing four-year, $112 million extension offer on the table from the Portland Trail Blazers, according to The Athletic's Jason Quick. His decision not to sign it doesn't necessarily portend departure. He could just know that he'll land more on the open market.

Which, in the end, might actually portend departure.

Putting pen to paper now would leave Grant with a salary next season of around $25.2 million. Based on the current cap projections, entering free agency would allow him to sign for a starting salary up to $40.2 million—the equivalent of a 30 percent max.

No team is paying Grant over $40 million per year. At least, no team should. But something in the ballpark of $30 million or slightly more could prove obtainable.

Grant will be 29 when next season tips off, still firmly in his prime. The combination of his three-point shooting (40.3 percent this year), positional defense and bandwidth to generate looks for himself going downhill will leave him in high demand.

That mark is bound to include Portland—which, despite its hazy trade-deadline activity, must weigh all win-now possibilities to maximize what's currently the best version of Damian Lillard we've ever seen. But we have seen Grant leave an interested party for a higher-profile role before. And while the Blazers don't deploy him as the pure accessory the Denver Nuggets did, others may be able to offer a more central offensive focus.

In the event role isn't the issue (it probably won't be), the money eventually has to matter. The Blazers already have nearly $87 million allocated to Lillard, Jusuf Nurkic and Anfernee Simons next season. Tacking on another $30-plus million for Grant will make it difficult to duck the luxury tax while retaining Cam Reddish (restricted), Matisse Thybulle (restricted) and actively looking to make other upgrades.

Portland might just also have a walk-away number. The Blazers are amply motivated to keep Grant after not moving him at the deadline, but there is always a walk-away number on non-stars. And other teams might be open to hitting it.

Potential Suitors to Watch: Houston, Indiana, Oklahoma City

Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors (Player Option)

Let's get this out of the way: Draymond Green is not here because of #ThePunch. Well, not entirely.

Green told Bleacher Report's Taylor Rooks in January his relationship with Jordan Poole is a work in progress, but the fallout from this incident has not come close to defining the Golden State Warriors' season. Any subtle podcasting digs or admissions and irritated mid-game glances are merely part and parcel of both The Draymond Green and Jordan Poole Experiences.

This is more about the Dubs. More specifically, it's about their wallet.

Green has a $27.6 million player option for next season. If that salary holds in his next deal, Golden State's roster could rise north of $450 million after factoring in the repeater tax. That number will only climb if Green costs more on a per-year basis and/or the Warriors use their mini mid-level exception.

Whether Golden State's collective C-Suite has the stomach to foot such a gargantuan bill remains to be seen. This franchise is obligated to go all-in on Stephen Curry's prime, which continues to be alive and well. But the crux of its roster is aging.

Green just turned 33. Ditto for Klay Thompson, who will be entering the final year of his deal next season. Steph turns 35 on March 14. The Warriors have also already recommitted to Poole and Andrew Wiggins. They might be flush, but are they flush enough to carry $24-plus million salaries for five players?

Maybe the Warriors gut it out for another year and confront the awkward and tough questions later. Perhaps Green re-signs for cheaper than we think. More likely, maybe Thompson is the one accepting a hometown discount in his next deal.

Collateral damage still feels inevitable. That could come in the form of a Poole trade over the summer. But it could—it might—manifest with Green shopping around for more lucrative opportunities than Golden State is prepared to offer.

Potential Suitors to Watch: Houston, Indiana, Lakers

James Harden, Philadelphia 76ers (Player Option)

James Harden doesn't forecast as your typical flight risk—not this far in advance of free agency anyway.

The Philadelphia 76ers are either title contenders or as close to a championship threat as you can get without actually being one. Harden took less money last summer to facilitate flexibility, a gesture that paved the way for the P.J. Tucker, Danuel House and even De'Anthony Melton acquisitions.

Philly also still has Joel Embiid, an MVP candidate. And Tyrese Maxey, already a fringe All-Star. Even if the Sixers flame out in this year's playoffs, they are not without infrastructure or direction.

And yet, the Harden-to-Houston noise is too damn loud.

ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski reported all the way back on Christmas Day that there was mutual interest in a reunion between Harden and the Rockets. The Sixers have mostly surged since then, but so, too, has the scuttlebutt.

"Houston is widely expected to pursue the 13-year veteran point guard if, as is expected, he declines his player option for the 2023-24 season," Sam Amick and Kelly Iko of The Athletic reported. "And even more surprisingly, sources with knowledge of Harden's outlook say he's as serious about as a possible return now as he was when he left town."

This isn't about the Sixers. It isn't even about the Rockets' future. Maybe Harden brings another star with him. The Rockets have the assets and salary-cap flexibility to do it.

Regardless, this is about Houston—the city, not the team. Harden genuinely seems to love it. And as Amick and Iko explained, he has deep ties to it. Don't even bother sussing out other possible suitors. This dalliance, clearly, is bigger than basketball—and real as hell.

Potential Suitors to Watch: Houston, Houston, Houston

Kyrie Irving, Dallas Mavericks

Kyrie Irving wouldn't have requested a trade from the Brooklyn Nets if he didn't have some interest in his next team acquiring his Bird rights and the capacity to offer him a five-year, $272 million deal that comes with it. The Dallas Mavericks, meanwhile, wouldn't have forked over Dorian Finney-Smith and an unprotected first that conveys seven drafts from now, among other assets, if they didn't want to keep Kyrie long-term.

Penciling in these two parties for a prolonged relationship is a safe bet.

Counterpoint: There is no safe bet when it comes to Kyrie. As I wrote after the Mavs initially acquired him:

"This is the same Kyrie who requested a a trade from the Cleveland Cavaliers while playing beside prime LeBron and on the heels of making three straight Finals appearances. It is the same Kyrie who left the Boston Celtics after declaring his intent to re-sign. It is the same Kyrie whose refusal to get the COVID-19 vaccine torpedoed a championship favorite, exacerbating the workload placed upon Kevin Durant last season while driving James Harden out of town.

"It is the same Kyrie who tried to find a sign-and-trade away from the Nets, the team he chose in 2019, only to return when he couldn't. And it is the same Kyrie who then requested a trade barely two weeks after saying [nobody in Brooklyn's locker room was only halfway in]."

This all says nothing of the eight-game suspension in November for promoting an antisemitic film on social media and then refusing to apologize for it and denounce antisemitism. Predicting what he does or says next is futile. Case in point: His latest soliloquy on why he's misunderstood and unfairly portrayed, despite being neither of those things, that only served to prove yet again, for the umpteenth time, he just doesn't get it.

Kyrie's foray into free agency could be a non-issue. The Mavs are flawed in exactly the way they look on paper, and there have been some crunch-time warts, but they are handedly winning the minutes he plays with Luka Dončić. This might just all end with a long-term sub-max contract, or a short-term max contract, or an agreement somewhere in between.

Could it also end with Kyrie (taking a pay cut and) signing with the Los Angeles Lakers? Or with the Phoenix Suns getting involved, for some reason? Or with him eyeing another team to be determined later? Or with him saying or doing something that prompts the Mavs to prioritize cap space or sign-and-trade scenarios over his retention?

A limited number of obvious suitors renders the most nuclear or off-the-beaten scenarios unlikely. Or perhaps they're just tough to decipher. For all we know, the cap-rich Rockets could max him out at four years and $210.1 million after getting spurned by old-friend James Harden. And in the absence of other max offers, from Dallas included, Irving could take them up on it.

When it comes to Kyrie, anything seems possible.

Potential Suitors to Watch: Houston, Lakers, Phoenix

Fred VanVleet, Toronto Raptors (Player Option)

The Toronto Raptors' trade-deadline approach runs counter to Fred VanVleet appearing here. Not only did they avoid selling, but they actively bought, picking up Jakob Poeltl from San Antonio while surrendering a top-six-protected first-rounder in 2024.

That still isn't enough to nudge VanVleet off this list. The Raptors now have him, Poeltl and Gary Trent Jr. (player option) all entering free agency, with new deals for O.G. Anunoby and Pascal Siakam on the horizon. Diving into the luxury tax to preserve the current core would make sense if they were on the cusp of title contention. Toronto is instead on the fringes of the play-in race.

But why would you give up a loosely protected first-rounder if you're not planning to pay everyone and you're unsure about your immediate future? You wouldn't. And it's not like the Raptors can afford to lose VanVleet independent of the Poeltl trade. Even as his outside shooting slumps, he remains one of their two most important offensive players.

Letting him walk for nothing after they could have moved him at the trade deadline would be horrific asset management. But VanVleet has a say in all this. He might want a change of scenery or merely stumble into an offer Toronto won't plan to match.

Plenty of the cap-space teams this summer could use a scalable scorer, passer and defender like him. Most are on a rebuilding(ish) timeline, and VanVleet just turned 29. But poaching steady point-of-attack offense and defense can accelerate the development of everyone already in-house and, by extension, of the timeline itself.

Toronto should suck it up, pay FVV whatever the market dictates and figure out the rest later. He doesn't seem unhappy, so any exit would be the direct result of money. But that's not a tiny issue. The Raptors will be bracing for the three-year, $100 million specials that may head his way. Are they also preparing for an over-the-top pursuit from someone prepared to offer four years? Or $35 million per season? Or even up to his max of $40.2 million?

As no worse than the fourth-best free agent on the board, FVV's market could plausibly test, if not exceed, the limits of Toronto's finances.

Potential Suitors to Watch: Detroit, Houston, Orlando

Unless otherwise noted, stats courtesy of NBA.com, Basketball Reference, Stathead or Cleaning the Glass and accurate entering Thursday's games. Salary information via Spotrac.

Dan Favale covers the NBA for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter (@danfavale), and subscribe to the Hardwood Knocks podcast, co-hosted by Bleacher Report's Grant Hughes.