Adrián Beltré Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

In or Out: Voting on the Next 5 MLB Hall of Fame Classes

Joel Reuter

The 2023 Baseball Hall of Fame class is officially set.

Third baseman Scott Rolen was announced Tuesday night as the only player to receive the necessary 75 percent of the vote from the BBWAA to earn induction. He will join first baseman Fred McGriff, who was selected by the Contemporary Baseball Era Committee last month, in entering the hallowed halls of Cooperstown this July.

The next few years should bring more Hall of Fame talent to the ballot with Adrián Beltré, Joe Mauer and Chase Utley set to become eligible for the first time in 2024, and Ichiro Suzuki and CC Sabathia waiting just around the corner in 2025.

Here, we're taking a closer look at the next five years of Hall of Fame ballot newcomers. We'll make our best guess at who will be a first-ballot selection, who will eventually get to the necessary support after a few years on the ballot, and who could stick around for a few years but will ultimately wind up in the Hall of Very Good.

To appear on the ballot, players need to spend 10 years in the majors and be five years removed from retirement.

Let's start with a look at the first-time eligibles for 2024.

2024 Class Overview

Joe Mauer Bruce Kluckhohn/Getty Images

ELIGIBLE FIRST-TIMERS

OF José Bautista
3B Adrián Beltré
RP Santiago Casilla
SP Bartolo Colón
SP Doug Fister
SP Yovani Gallardo
1B Adrián González
3B Chase Headley
OF Matt Holliday
SP Phil Hughes
RP Jim Johnson
RP Ryan Madson
C/DH Victor Martínez
C Joe Mauer
RP Brandon Morrow
2B Brandon Phillips
SS José Reyes
SP James Shields
OF Denard Span
SP Chris Tillman
2B Chase Utley
3B David Wright
RP Brad Ziegler

2024 Hall of Fame Class Predictions

Adrián Beltré Rick Yeatts/Getty Images

FIRST BALLOT

3B Adrián Beltré

With 3,166 hits, five Gold Glove Awards and a 93.5 career WAR total that ranks third all-time among third basemen behind only Mike Schmidt (106.8) and Eddie Mathews (96.1), Beltré should cruise into the Hall of Fame in his first year on the ballot. He also aged as well as any player in recent memory with 52.2 WAR from his age-30 season until his retirement.

EVENTUALLY

C Joe Mauer

Only seven times in MLB history has a catcher won the batting title, and three of those belong to Mauer. Concussions forced him out of the crouch shortly after he turned 30 and he had a good-not-great second half of his career, but his .306/.388/.439 batting line and impressive list of accolades that includes 2009 AL MVP honors should be enough to eventually earn him the call.

2B Chase Utley

Utley had an amazing five-year peak where he racked up 39.7 WAR and helped bring the Philadelphia Phillies their first World Series title in 28 years. His 64.5 WAR ranks 14th all-time among second basemen, right in between Craig Biggio (65.5) and Jackie Robinson (63.8). However, he's behind Lou Whitaker (75.1) and Willie Randolph (65.9), both of whom are not enshrined. It might take him the full 10 years to get there, but Utley should eventually be a Hall of Famer.

HALL OF VERY GOOD

OF José Bautista
SP Bartolo Colón

OF Matt Holliday
3B David Wright

A late-bloomer with an impressive peak, Bautista should be able to stick around on the ballot for at least a few seasons. The same goes for Holliday, who had a career that most closely resembles Moises Alou, Magglio Ordóñez and Shawn Green, according to Similarity Scores at Baseball Reference.

Colón ranks in the top 50 all-time in wins (247, 50th) and strikeouts (2,535, 36th), but he did it more with longevity than dominance, posting a 4.12 ERA and 106 ERA+ in 3,461.2 career innings.

Wright was on a potential Hall of Fame trajectory before spinal stenosis limited him to only 77 games after his age-31 season. He doesn't have the counting numbers of a Hall of Famer, but his peak performance could be enough to keep him around on the ballot for a few years.

2025 Class Overview

CC Sabathia Brian Bahr/Getty Images

ELIGIBLE FIRST-TIMERS

SP Clay Buchholz
OF Melky Cabrera
SS/OF Ian Desmond
3B David Freese
OF Carlos Gómez
OF Carlos González
OF Curtis Granderson
SP Félix Hernández
SP Edwin Jackson
OF Adam Jones
2B Ian Kinsler
SP Francisco Liriano
C Russell Martin
C Brian McCann
DH Kendrys Morales
2B Dustin Pedroia
IF Martín Prado
SS Hanley Ramírez
3B Mark Reynolds
RP Fernando Rodney
SP CC Sabathia
OF Ichiro Suzuki
1B Mark Trumbo
SS Troy Tulowitzki
SP Jason Vargas
2B Ben Zobrist

2025 Hall of Famer Class Predictions

Ichiro Suzuki Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

FIRST BALLOT

OF Ichiro Suzuki

Ichiro already had 1,278 hits over nine professional seasons in Japan before becoming the first position player ever to make the leap from the Japanese League to MLB in 2001. Despite that late start to his big league career, he still piled up 3,089 hits while tallying 10 All-Star selections, 10 Gold Glove Awards, two batting titles and 2001 AL MVP honors. He should come close to 100 percent of the vote.

EVENTUALLY

SP CC Sabathia

Sabathia was a bona fide ace for more than a decade while pitching atop the rotation in Cleveland, Milwaukee and New York. He finished in the top five in Cy Young voting five different times, and he took home the AL hardware in 2007. He ranks 18th all-time with 3,093 strikeouts, and every other eligible member of the 3,000-strikeout club has been inducted aside from Roger Clemens and Curt Schilling. Mike Mussina had a comparable career, and it took him six years to get to 75 percent of the vote.

HALL OF VERY GOOD

SP Félix Hernández
2B Dustin Pedroia

The best comparison for Félix Hernández might be Johan Santana, who had a similarly dominant peak but fell short of the overall numbers generally associated with a Hall of Fame career. Santana received only 2.4 percent of the vote in his lone year on the ballot, so the odds are stacked against King Felix.

Pedroia was on his way before injuries derailed his career in his 30s. With 51.9 career WAR, he sits 21st all-time among second basemen, behind contemporaries Jeff Kent (55.4) and Ian Kinsler (54.1), both of whom are headed for the Hall of Very Good as well.

2026 Class Overview

Ryan Braun Brad Mangin/MLB Photos via Getty Images

ELIGIBLE FIRST-TIMERS

OF Ryan Braun
OF Shin-Soo Choo
1B Chris Davis
DH Edwin Encarnación
SP Gio González
OF Alex Gordon
SP Cole Hamels
RP Kelvin Herrera
OF Matt Kemp
2B Howie Kendrick
2B Jason Kipnis
OF Nick Markakis
2B Daniel Murphy
OF Hunter Pence
SP Rick Porcello
SP Jeff Samardzija
SP Edinson Vólquez
2B Neil Walker
C Matt Wieters

2026 Hall of Famers

Cole Hamels Rob Foldy/Getty Images

HALL OF VERY GOOD

OF Ryan Braun
SP Cole Hamels

There are no slam dunk Hall of Famers on the ballot for the first time in 2026. That should make it a prime year for some of the "eventually" guys from the previous two years and any other longtime holdovers on the cusp to finally get over the hump.

Braun is on a short list of players with at least 300 home runs and 200 steals in his career. He had a pair of 30/30 seasons at his peak, which included 2011 NL MVP honors, but his positive PED test likely will keep him out.

Hamels is hoping to make a comeback in 2023 after watching from the sidelines for the past two seasons. At 39 years old, he could get a shot to catch on with a team in need of rotation help. His career compares favorably to Bret Saberhagen's, who also had some high-profile postseason success early in his career and was a legitimate ace for a number of years.

2027 Class Overview

Jon Lester Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

ELIGIBLE FIRST-TIMERS

SP Jake Arrieta
C Alex Avila
RP John Axford
RP Dellin Betances
OF Jay Bruce
IF Asdrúbal Cabrera
SS Starlin Castro
RP Wade Davis
RP Neftalí Feliz
OF Dexter Fowler
3B Todd Frazier
OF Brett Gardner
SP J.A. Happ
SP Derek Holland
OF Jon Jay
SP Scott Kazmir
SP Jon Lester
C Jonathan Lucroy
RP Andrew Miller
C Buster Posey
C Wilson Ramos
OF Josh Reddick
3B Pablo Sandoval
SP Ervin Santana
3B Kyle Seager
RP Joakim Soria
RP Tony Watson
1B/3B Ryan Zimmerman
SP Jordan Zimmermann

2027 Hall of Famers

Buster Posey Christian Petersen/Getty Images

FIRST BALLOT

C Buster Posey

When Posey hung up his spikes following the 2021 season, I wrote an article trying to answer where he fits all-time among catchers. I ultimately slotted him in the No. 8 spot among a sea of Hall of Famers. With NL Rookie of the Year, NL MVP, NL batting champ, seven-time All-Star and three-time World Series winner among his accolades, he is one of the most decorated players ever at the position. That should vault him to a first-ballot induction.

EVENTUALLY

SP Jon Lester

Lester starred when the lights shined brightest with a 1.77 ERA in 35.2 career World Series innings en route to a pair of rings with the Boston Red Sox and a third as the ace of the staff for the Chicago Cubs in 2016. During the regular season, he tallied 200 wins, 2,488 strikeouts and 43.5 WAR. His stellar postseason work should help elevate a Hall of Very Good career to serious Cooperstown consideration.

HALL OF VERY GOOD

1B/3B Ryan Zimmerman

Zimmerman rather quietly tallied 284 home runs and 1,061 RBI in 16 seasons with the Washington Nationals. He was a two-time All-Star, two-time Silver Slugger winner, and his 40.1 WAR is good for 38th all-time among third basemen, ahead of guys like Tim Wallach (38.5), Eric Chavez (38.2) and Troy Glaus (38.1). That could be good enough to help him spend multiple years on the ballot.

2028 Class Overview

Yadier Molina Alex Trautwig/MLB Photos via Getty Images

ELIGIBLE FIRST-TIMERS

RP Steve Cishek
UT Brock Holt
C Yadier Molina
1B Albert Pujols
C Kurt Suzuki
C Stephen Vogt

2028 Hall of Famers

Albert Pujols Scott D. Weaver/Icon SMI/Icon Sport Media via Getty Images

FIRST BALLOT

C Yadier Molina
1B Albert Pujols

Pujols is arguably the greatest right-handed hitter in baseball history. With 703 home runs (fourth all-time), 2,218 RBI (second all-time), 1,914 runs (12th all-time), 3,384 hits (10th all-time) and 101.7 WAR (29th all-time), he is a legitimate candidate to make a run at 100 percent of the vote.

Molina is not as much of a slam dunk to be a first-ballot selection, despite his stellar defensive track record and longevity. Johnny Bench and Ivan Rodriguez are the only catchers in MLB history to be inducted in their first year on the ballot, so it's an uphill battle in general at the position. But the universal respect that Molina had throughout his career should help him join that exclusive group.

Zack Greinke might also be part of this class, as he has yet to sign with any team for the 2023 season.

All stats courtesy of Baseball Reference.

   

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